Jan-Lennard Struff and Otto Virtanen will fight against each other in the final of the Bergamo Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:30 pm on PALAINTRED. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan-Lennard Struff who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jan-Lennard Struff is the pick to win this match.
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 1.34
Otto Virtanen -> 3.14

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Prediction and head to head Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Otto Virtanen

There is no head to head record between Jan-Lennard Struff and Otto Virtanen since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Jan-Lennard Struff

Ranked no. 168, Struff got to the final after beating Flavio Cobolli 6-1 6-2, Luca Nardi 6-4 7-6¹, Matteo Arnaldi 4-6 6-1 6-4 and Jurij Rodionov 2-6 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal against Rodionov, Struff recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-2). During the match, Struff scored 95 points vs Rodionov’s 84. Jan-Lennard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Struff scored 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jan-Lennard Struff lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Struff put 62% of his first serves in, winning 78% (36/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (12/28) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Rodionov 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Struff has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (336-279). 11-2 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Struff has a composed 117-79 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

The German’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Braunschweig Challenger.

Jan-Lennard has an overall 22-20 win-loss record in 2022, 11-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Bergamo Challenger

Otto Virtanen

Ranked no. 265, Virtanen reached the final after beating Henri Squire 6-4 7-6⁴, Antoine Bellier 7-6⁴ 6-2, Manuel Guinard 6-4 7-5, Zhizhen Zhang 6-4 7-6⁷, Dominic Stephan Stricker 6-4 7-6⁵ and Nuno Borges 6-4 7-5.

In the semifinal, Virtanen had a good straight sets win against Borges (6-4 7-5). During the match Virtanen scored 69 points vs Borges’s 59. The Finn was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Virtanen made 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Otto Virtanen was quite effective on serve to win 72% (28/39) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Virtanen broke Borges 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Finn started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Otto’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Vilnius and M15 Kouvola.

Otto has a compiled 41-29 win-loss record in 2022, 20-11 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Struff	Virtanen
Match played	4	6
Tot Set	10	12
Tot Games	91	134
Pts	341-282	465-398
Total Points	623	863
Winners	146	205
%Winners	43%	44%

Struff played 4 matches while Virtanen competed in 6 matches. Virtanen started his run from the qualifications while Struff had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jan-Lennard Struff conceded 2 sets while Otto Virtanen hasn’t dropped a set so far. Struff has played 2 set(s) less than Virtanen (10 vs 12). Therefore, Struff played 43 games less than Virtanen. Jan-Lennard scored 146 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Otto struck 205 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Struff	Virtanen
Aces	34	66
Avg per match	8.5	11
1st in	190/308	268/419
%1st in	62%	64%
1st pts	146/190	205/268
%1st pts	77%	76%
2nd pts	56/118	88/151
%2nd pts	47%	58%

Struff struck 34 aces (8.5 per match). Virtanen bagged 66 aces (11 per match). Struff won 77% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Virtanen won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Struff	Virtanen
Won	14	16
Converted	14/41	16/45
% Converted	34%	36%
Conceded	21	28
Saved	15	21
% Saved	71%	75%
Times Broken	6	7

Jan-Lennard broke his opponents 14 times with a 34% conversion rate. Struff surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Virtanen broke his opponents 16 times with a 36% conversion rate. Virtanen conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Struff
	R1 Cobolli	R2 Nardi	1/4 Arnaldi	1/2 Rodionov	Total
Score	6-1 6-2	6-4 7-61	4-6 6-1 6-4	2-6 6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	15	23	27	26	91
pts	61-40	96-88	89-70	95-84	341-282
Total points	101	184	159	179	623
Winners	29	42	39	36	146
%Winners	48%	44%	44%	38%	43%
SERVE
Aces	9	6	11	8	34
Double Faults	0	5	7	1	13
1st in	42/56	57/97	45/81	46/74	190/308
% 1st in	75%	59%	56%	62%	62%
1st pts	29/42	42/57	39/45	36/46	146/190
% 1st pts	69%	74%	87%	78%	77%
2nd pts	9/14	19/40	16/36	12/28	56/118
% 2nd pts	64%	48%	44%	43%	47%
Breaks
Won	4	2	4	4	14
Converted	4/10	2/9	4/7	4/15	14/41
Converted %	40%	22%	57%	27%	34%
Conceded	3	6	5	7	21
Saved	3/3	5/6	3/5	4/7	15
Saved %	100%	83%	60%	57%	75%
Times Broken	0	1	2	3	6

Virtanen
	Q1 Squire	Q3 Bellier	R1 Guinard	R2 Zhang	1/4 Stephan	1/2 Borges	Total
Score	6-4 7-64	7-64 6-2	6-4 7-5	6-4 7-67	6-4 7-65	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	2	2	12
Tot Games	23	21	22	23	23	22	134
pts	74-63	73-57	79-69	81-78	89-72	69-59	465-398
Total points	137	130	148	159	161	128	863
Winners	36	39	31	36	35	28	205
%Winners	49%	53%	39%	44%	39%	41%	44%
SERVE
Aces	14	15	8	15	7	7	66
Double Faults	2	2	2	0	2	1	9
1st in	43/67	45/62	42/74	54/85	45/70	39/61	268/419
% 1st in	64%	73%	57%	64%	64%	64%	64%
1st pts	36/43	39/45	31/42	36/54	35/45	28/39	205/268
% 1st pts	84%	87%	74%	67%	78%	72%	76%
2nd pts	12/24	9/17	17/32	20/31	16/25	14/22	88/151
% 2nd pts	50%	53%	53%	65%	64%	64%	58%
Breaks
Won	2	2	3	3	2	4	16
Converted	2/4	2/6	3/9	3/5	2/12	4/9	16/45
Converted %	50%	33%	33%	60%	17%	44%	36%
Conceded	4	3	7	7	4	3	28
Saved	3/4	3/3	6/7	5/7	3/4	1/3	21
Saved %	75%	100%	86%	71%	75%	33%	110%
Times Broken	1	0	1	2	1	2	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (0-0) – H2H and prediction