Jan-Lennard Struff and Otto Virtanen will fight against each other in the final of the Bergamo Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:30 pm on PALAINTRED. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan-Lennard Struff who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jan-Lennard Struff is the pick to win this match.
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 1.34
Otto Virtanen -> 3.14
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Prediction and head to head Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Otto Virtanen
There is no head to head record between Jan-Lennard Struff and Otto Virtanen since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Jan-Lennard Struff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-30 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 12-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-21 | 4-8 | 15-5 | 5-6 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-24 | 21-9 | 14-7 | 5-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-22 | 3-10 | 7-4 | 12-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-30 | 8-11 | 11-8 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 168, Struff got to the final after beating Flavio Cobolli 6-1 6-2, Luca Nardi 6-4 7-61, Matteo Arnaldi 4-6 6-1 6-4 and Jurij Rodionov 2-6 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal against Rodionov, Struff recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-2). During the match, Struff scored 95 points vs Rodionov’s 84. Jan-Lennard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Struff scored 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jan-Lennard Struff lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Struff put 62% of his first serves in, winning 78% (36/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (12/28) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Rodionov 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Struff has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (336-279). 11-2 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Struff has a composed 117-79 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The German’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Braunschweig Challenger.
Jan-Lennard has an overall 22-20 win-loss record in 2022, 11-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bergamo Challenger
Otto Virtanen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-24 | 4-9 | 5-9 | 12-6 | 6-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-28 | 9-11 | 5-7 | 24-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-31 | 4-6 | 4-10 | 22-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-31 | 4-1 | 7-12 | 25-13 | 8-3 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 40-21 | 2-2 | 16-11 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 3-2 |
Ranked no. 265, Virtanen reached the final after beating Henri Squire 6-4 7-64, Antoine Bellier 7-64 6-2, Manuel Guinard 6-4 7-5, Zhizhen Zhang 6-4 7-67, Dominic Stephan Stricker 6-4 7-65 and Nuno Borges 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal, Virtanen had a good straight sets win against Borges (6-4 7-5). During the match Virtanen scored 69 points vs Borges’s 59. The Finn was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Virtanen made 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Otto Virtanen was quite effective on serve to win 72% (28/39) of his 1st serve and 64% (14/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Virtanen broke Borges 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Finn started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Otto’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Vilnius and M15 Kouvola.
Otto has a compiled 41-29 win-loss record in 2022, 20-11 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Struff | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 91 | 134 |
| Pts | 341-282 | 465-398 |
| Total Points | 623 | 863 |
| Winners | 146 | 205 |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% |
Struff played 4 matches while Virtanen competed in 6 matches. Virtanen started his run from the qualifications while Struff had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jan-Lennard Struff conceded 2 sets while Otto Virtanen hasn’t dropped a set so far. Struff has played 2 set(s) less than Virtanen (10 vs 12). Therefore, Struff played 43 games less than Virtanen. Jan-Lennard scored 146 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Otto struck 205 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Struff | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 34 | 66 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 11 |
| 1st in | 190/308 | 268/419 |
| %1st in | 62% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 146/190 | 205/268 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 56/118 | 88/151 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 58% |
Struff struck 34 aces (8.5 per match). Virtanen bagged 66 aces (11 per match). Struff won 77% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Virtanen won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Struff | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 16 |
| Converted | 14/41 | 16/45 |
| % Converted | 34% | 36% |
| Conceded | 21 | 28 |
| Saved | 15 | 21 |
| % Saved | 71% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 7 |
Jan-Lennard broke his opponents 14 times with a 34% conversion rate. Struff surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Virtanen broke his opponents 16 times with a 36% conversion rate. Virtanen conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Struff | ||||||
| R1 Cobolli |
R2 Nardi |
1/4 Arnaldi |
1/2 Rodionov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 7-61 | 4-6 6-1 6-4 | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 23 | 27 | 26 | 91 | |
| pts | 61-40 | 96-88 | 89-70 | 95-84 | 341-282 | |
| Total points | 101 | 184 | 159 | 179 | 623 | |
| Winners | 29 | 42 | 39 | 36 | 146 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 44% | 44% | 38% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 42/56 | 57/97 | 45/81 | 46/74 | 190/308 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 59% | 56% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 42/57 | 39/45 | 36/46 | 146/190 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 74% | 87% | 78% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 19/40 | 16/36 | 12/28 | 56/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 48% | 44% | 43% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 2/9 | 4/7 | 4/15 | 14/41 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 22% | 57% | 27% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 5/6 | 3/5 | 4/7 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 83% | 60% | 57% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Virtanen | ||||||||
| Q1 Squire |
Q3 Bellier |
R1 Guinard |
R2 Zhang |
1/4 Stephan |
1/2 Borges |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | 7-64 6-2 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 7-67 | 6-4 7-65 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 134 | |
| pts | 74-63 | 73-57 | 79-69 | 81-78 | 89-72 | 69-59 | 465-398 | |
| Total points | 137 | 130 | 148 | 159 | 161 | 128 | 863 | |
| Winners | 36 | 39 | 31 | 36 | 35 | 28 | 205 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 53% | 39% | 44% | 39% | 41% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 14 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 66 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 43/67 | 45/62 | 42/74 | 54/85 | 45/70 | 39/61 | 268/419 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 73% | 57% | 64% | 64% | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 36/43 | 39/45 | 31/42 | 36/54 | 35/45 | 28/39 | 205/268 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 87% | 74% | 67% | 78% | 72% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 9/17 | 17/32 | 20/31 | 16/25 | 14/22 | 88/151 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 53% | 53% | 65% | 64% | 64% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/6 | 3/9 | 3/5 | 2/12 | 4/9 | 16/45 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 33% | 33% | 60% | 17% | 44% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 28 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/3 | 6/7 | 5/7 | 3/4 | 1/3 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 86% | 71% | 75% | 33% | 110% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (0-0) – H2H and prediction
