Felix Auger-Aliassime and Holger Rune will face off in the semifinal of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Felix Auger-Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.44
Holger Rune -> 2.875

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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Holger Rune

This will be the 2nd time that Felix Auger-Aliassime and Holger Rune play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Auger-Aliassime won 6-3 7-5 in the final in Basel back in October 2022.

Highlights Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Holger Rune – Basel 30-October-2022

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Felix Auger-Aliassime

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
5
High
5
LWWLLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 50-25 24-10 3-6 17-5 6-4 0-0
2024 32-25 6-10 17-8 9-5 0-2 0-0
2023 23-19 13-13 1-3 9-2 0-1 0-0
2022 60-27 14-9 11-7 31-7 4-4 0-0
2021 38-24 19-10 4-6 5-5 10-3 0-0

Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Auger-Aliassime reached the semifinal after defeating Mikael Ymer 6-76 6-4 7-66, Gilles Simon 6-1 6-3 and Frances Tiafoe 6-1 6-4.

In the quarter, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-1 6-4). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 69 points vs Tiafoe’s 50. Felix was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Auger-Aliassime scored 8 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 72% of his first serves in, win 86% (31/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Tiafoe 3 times after converting 21% of his break points (3/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Auger-Aliassime has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

Auger-Aliassime has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 64% of his matches (280-156). 27-4 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Auger-Aliassime has a composed64-30 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 6-2 and in Florence where he defeated Jeff Wolf in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Antwerp where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Basel where he beat Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune in the final 6-3 7-5.

The Canadian has an overall 56-24 win-loss record in 2022, 27-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Paris
Auger-Aliassime's Record

Holger Rune

Holger Rune

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
15
High
4
LWWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-22 20-10 10-6 4-4 2-2 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 18 (career-high), Rune got to the semifinal after beating Stan Wawrinka 4-6 7-5 7-63, Hubert Hurkacz 7-5 6-1, Andrey Rublev 6-4 7-5 and Carlos Alcaraz 6-3 6-6 ret..

In the quarter against Alcaraz, the Dane had a free pass after Alcaraz retired on a 6-3 6-6 . scoreline.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Munich where he beat Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 3-4 ret. and in Stockholm where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 6-4.

The Dane has an aggregate 48-27 win-loss record in 2022, 19-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

The Dane has never competed in this tournament before.

Paris
Rune's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

F.Auger-Aliassime
H.Rune
6h:36
6h:36
Time on court​
6h:43
6h:43
1h:33
1h:33
Last match​
1h:40
1h:40
3
3
Match played
!
4
4
69
69
Games Played​
97
97
7
7
Set played​​
10
10
263
263
Total points​
311
311
87.7
87.7
Avg point​
77.8
77.8
127
127
Winners
147
147
42.3
42.3
Avg Winners​
36.8
36.8
48%
48%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
30
30
Aces
25
25
10
10
Avg Aces
6.3
6.3
9
9
Double Faults
15
15
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3.8
3.8
127/169
127/169
1st won total​
147/191
147/191
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
35/77
35/77
2nd won total​
67/104
67/104
45%
45%
2nd won %
!
64%
64%
-- Break Points --
11/26
11/26
BP won
9/18
9/18
3.7/8.7
3.7/8.7
Avg BP won
2.3/4.5
2.3/4.5
42%
42%
Won
50%
50%
19
19
Conceded
17
17
6.3
6.3
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
3
3
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
16
16
Saved
15
15

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Auger-Aliassime Rune
Match played 3 4
Tot Set 7 10
Tot Games 69 97
Pts 263-219 311-271
Total Points 482 582
Winners 127 147
%Winners 48% 47%

Auger-Aliassime played 3 matches while Rune competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded 1 set, while Holger Rune conceded 1 set. Auger-Aliassime has played 3 set(s) less than Rune (7 vs 10). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 28 games less than Rune. Auger-Aliassime scored 127 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane scored 147 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Auger-Aliassime Rune
Aces 30 25
Avg per match 10 6.3
1st in 169/246 191/295
%1st in 69% 65%
1st pts 127/169 147/191
%1st pts 75% 77%
2nd pts 35/77 67/104
%2nd pts 45% 64%

Auger-Aliassime struck 30 aces (10 per match). Rune fired 25 aces (6.3 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 75% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Auger-Aliassime Rune
Won 11 9
Converted 11/26 9/18
% Converted 42% 50%
Conceded 19 17
Saved 16 15
% Saved 84% 88%
Times Broken 3 2

Auger-Aliassime broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Canadian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded. Holger broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Holger conceded his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Auger-Aliassime
R2
Ymer
R3
Simon
1/4
Tiafoe
Total
Score 6-76 6-4 7-66 6-1 6-3 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 36 16 17 69
pts 131-124 63-45 69-50 263-219
Total points 255 108 119 482
Winners 69 27 31 127
%Winners 53% 43% 45% 48%
SERVE
Aces 11 11 8 30
Double Faults 6 3 0 9
1st in 97/143 36/53 36/50 169/246
% 1st in 68% 68% 72% 69%
1st pts 69/97 27/36 31/36 127/169
% 1st pts 71% 75% 86% 75%
2nd pts 19/46 9/17 7/14 35/77
% 2nd pts 41% 53% 50% 45%
Breaks
Won 4 4 3 11
Converted 4/5 4/7 3/14 11/26
Converted % 80% 57% 21% 42%
Conceded 17 2 0 19
Saved 14/17 2/2 0/0 16
Saved % 82% 100% 61%
Times Broken 3 0 0 3
Rune
R1
Wawrinka
R2
Hurkacz
R3
Rublev
1/4
Alcaraz
Total
Score 4-6 7-5 7-63 7-5 6-1 6-4 7-5 6-3 6-6 ret.
Tot Set 3 2 2 2 9
Tot Games 35 19 22 21 97
pts 110-96 60-49 72-63 69-63 311-271
Total points 206 109 135 132 582
Winners 48 29 30 40 147
%Winners 44% 48% 42% 58% 47%
SERVE
Aces 10 3 7 5 25
Double Faults 7 1 4 3 15
1st in 60/102 38/49 40/72 53/72 191/295
% 1st in 59% 78% 56% 74% 65%
1st pts 48/60 29/38 30/40 40/53 147/191
% 1st pts 80% 76% 75% 75% 77%
2nd pts 26/42 7/11 22/32 12/19 67/104
% 2nd pts 62% 64% 69% 63% 64%
Breaks
Won 2 4 2 1 9
Converted 2/3 4/8 2/3 1/4 9/18
Converted % 67% 50% 67% 25% 50%
Conceded 9 0 6 2 17
Saved 7/9 0/0 6/6 2/2 15
Saved % 78% 100% 100% 93%
Times Broken 2 0 0 0 2

Tennis Scores in Paris

  • Novak DjokovicDjokovicLorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
  • Holger RuneRuneCarlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-3 6-6 ret.) – See score progression
  • Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin KrajicekRajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (3-6 6-4 10-6) – See score progression
  • Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-AliassimeFrances TiafoeTiafoe (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
  • Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal SkupskiRohan Bopanna/Matwe MiddelkoopBopanna/Matwe Middelkoop (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipasTommy PaulPaul (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
  • Kevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas MiesTim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael Venus (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri HeliovaaraMatthew Ebden/Jamie MurrayEbden/Jamie Murray (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
  • Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipasTommy PaulPaul (6-2 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov RuneFelix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
  • Novak DjokovicDjokovicStefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (8-2) – H2H and prediction