Felix Auger-Aliassime and Holger Rune will face off in the semifinal of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Felix Auger-Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.44
Holger Rune -> 2.875
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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Holger Rune
This will be the 2nd time that Felix Auger-Aliassime and Holger Rune play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Auger-Aliassime won 6-3 7-5 in the final in Basel back in October 2022.
Highlights Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Holger Rune – Basel 30-October-2022
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-25 | 24-10 | 3-6 | 17-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8 (career-high), Auger-Aliassime reached the semifinal after defeating Mikael Ymer 6-76 6-4 7-66, Gilles Simon 6-1 6-3 and Frances Tiafoe 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-1 6-4). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 69 points vs Tiafoe’s 50. Felix was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Auger-Aliassime scored 8 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 72% of his first serves in, win 86% (31/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Tiafoe 3 times after converting 21% of his break points (3/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Auger-Aliassime has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Auger-Aliassime has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 64% of his matches (280-156). 27-4 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Auger-Aliassime has a composed64-30 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 6-2 and in Florence where he defeated Jeff Wolf in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Antwerp where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Basel where he beat Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune in the final 6-3 7-5.
The Canadian has an overall 56-24 win-loss record in 2022, 27-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-22 | 20-10 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18 (career-high), Rune got to the semifinal after beating Stan Wawrinka 4-6 7-5 7-63, Hubert Hurkacz 7-5 6-1, Andrey Rublev 6-4 7-5 and Carlos Alcaraz 6-3 6-6 ret..
In the quarter against Alcaraz, the Dane had a free pass after Alcaraz retired on a 6-3 6-6 . scoreline.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Munich where he beat Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 3-4 ret. and in Stockholm where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Dane has an aggregate 48-27 win-loss record in 2022, 19-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
The Dane has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Auger-Aliassime | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 97 |
| Pts | 263-219 | 311-271 |
| Total Points | 482 | 582 |
| Winners | 127 | 147 |
| %Winners | 48% | 47% |
Auger-Aliassime played 3 matches while Rune competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded 1 set, while Holger Rune conceded 1 set. Auger-Aliassime has played 3 set(s) less than Rune (7 vs 10). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 28 games less than Rune. Auger-Aliassime scored 127 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane scored 147 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Auger-Aliassime | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 169/246 | 191/295 |
| %1st in | 69% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 127/169 | 147/191 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 35/77 | 67/104 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 64% |
Auger-Aliassime struck 30 aces (10 per match). Rune fired 25 aces (6.3 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 75% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Auger-Aliassime | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/26 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded | 19 | 17 |
| Saved | 16 | 15 |
| % Saved | 84% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Auger-Aliassime broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Canadian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded. Holger broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Holger conceded his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Auger-Aliassime | |||||
| R2 Ymer |
R3 Simon |
1/4 Tiafoe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-76 6-4 7-66 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 16 | 17 | 69 | |
| pts | 131-124 | 63-45 | 69-50 | 263-219 | |
| Total points | 255 | 108 | 119 | 482 | |
| Winners | 69 | 27 | 31 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 43% | 45% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | 8 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 97/143 | 36/53 | 36/50 | 169/246 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | 72% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 69/97 | 27/36 | 31/36 | 127/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 75% | 86% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/46 | 9/17 | 7/14 | 35/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 53% | 50% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/7 | 3/14 | 11/26 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 57% | 21% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 17 | 2 | 0 | 19 | |
| Saved | 14/17 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 100% | – | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Rune | ||||||
| R1 Wawrinka |
R2 Hurkacz |
R3 Rublev |
1/4 Alcaraz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 7-63 | 7-5 6-1 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 6-6 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 97 | |
| pts | 110-96 | 60-49 | 72-63 | 69-63 | 311-271 | |
| Total points | 206 | 109 | 135 | 132 | 582 | |
| Winners | 48 | 29 | 30 | 40 | 147 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 48% | 42% | 58% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 60/102 | 38/49 | 40/72 | 53/72 | 191/295 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 78% | 56% | 74% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 48/60 | 29/38 | 30/40 | 40/53 | 147/191 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 76% | 75% | 75% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/42 | 7/11 | 22/32 | 12/19 | 67/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 64% | 69% | 63% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 4/8 | 2/3 | 1/4 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 67% | 25% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 17 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 0/0 | 6/6 | 2/2 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 78% | – | 100% | 100% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWWWWW
LWWLWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Paris
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-3 6-6 ret.) – See score progression
- Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (3-6 6-4 10-6) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Rohan Bopanna/Matwe MiddelkoopBopanna/Matwe Middelkoop (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Kevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas Mies – Tim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael Venus (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara – Matthew Ebden/Jamie MurrayEbden/Jamie Murray (6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Tommy PaulPaul (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (8-2) – H2H and prediction
