Stefan Kozlov and Lucas Gerch will square off in the 2nd round of the Charlottesville Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:30 pm on COURT 9. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefan Kozlov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Stefan Kozlov is the pick to win this match.
Stefan Kozlov -> 1.46
Lucas Gerch -> 2.64
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Prediction and head to head Stefan Kozlov vs. Lucas Gerch
There is no head to head record between Stefan Kozlov and Lucas Gerch since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Stefan Kozlov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-18 | 16-9 | 17-8 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-34 | 14-18 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-15 | 20-12 | 5-2 | 16-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-13 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 132, Stefan reached the 2nd round after defeating Mitchell Krueger 7-5 0-6 7-61.
In the 1st round, Kozlov defeated Krueger (7-5 0-6 7-61).During the match, Kozlov scored less points (5) than Krueger. In fact, the world no. 132 won 104 points vs Krueger’s. That means that Kozlov was more focused during the important points. Stefan was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kozlov recorded 4 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Stefan Kozlov lost the serve 5 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kozlov put 66% of his first serves in, winning 69% (45/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (12/33) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Krueger 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Kozlov has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (271-213). 2-2 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Kozlov has an aggregate 65-34 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Stefan’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Las Vegas Challenger.
The American has an overall 19-31 win-loss record in 2022, 2-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Charlottesville Challenger
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-23 | 0-2 | 35-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-18 | 14-9 | 7-7 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 328, Gerch reached the 2nd round after beating Ethan Quinn 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Lucas had a good straight sets win against Quinn (6-3 6-3). During the match Gerch scored 58 points vs Quinn’s 43. Lucas was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Gerch struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lucas Gerch was quite effective on serve to win 89% (24/27) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The German broke Quinn 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
The German’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Cancun,M15 Ueberlingen and the Prague 3 Challenger.
Gerch has an aggregate 53-26 win-loss record in 2022, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Charlottesville Challenger
Lucas has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kozlov | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 18 |
| Pts | 104-109 | 58-43 |
| Total Points | 213 | 101 |
| Winners | 45 | 24 |
| %Winners | 43% | 41% |
Both Kozlov and Gerch played 1 match. At the moment, Stefan Kozlov dropped 1 set while Lucas Gerch hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kozlov has played 1 set more than Gerch (3 vs 2). Therefore, Kozlov played 13 games more than Gerch. Stefan scored 45 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The German made 24 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kozlov | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 65/98 | 27/46 |
| %1st in | 66% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 45/65 | 24/27 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 89% |
| 2nd pts | 12/33 | 12/19 |
| %2nd pts | 36% | 63% |
Kozlov struck 4 aces . Gerch bagged 3 aces . Kozlov won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 36% of the points. On the other side, Gerch won 89% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kozlov | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/12 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 25% | 60% |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 29% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 |
Kozlov broke his opponent 3 times with a 25% conversion rate. Stefan lost his serve 5 times and he saved 29% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The German was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Kozlov | |||
| R1 Krueger |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 0-6 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 104-109 | 104-109 | |
| Total points | 213 | 213 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 65/98 | 65/98 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 45/65 | 45/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/33 | 12/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 36% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 3/12 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/7 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 29% | 29% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Gerch | |||
| R1 Quinn |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 58-43 | 58-43 | |
| Total points | 101 | 101 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 27/46 | 27/46 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 24/27 | 24/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLWWLWW
LWWLLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Charlottesville Challenger
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Aziz DougazDougaz (7-5 7-68) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Inaki Montes-De La TorreMontes-De La Torre – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Paul JubbJubb – Michael MmohMmoh (7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Denis KudlaKudla – Ulises BlanchBlanch (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Facundo MenaMena – Emilio NavaNava (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Edan LeshemLeshem – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucas GerchGerch – Stefan KozlovKozlov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
