Frances Tiafoe and Alex De Minaur will square off in the 3rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.72
Frances Tiafoe -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 4th time that Frances Tiafoe and Alex De Minaur face off. The head to head is 3-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, De Minaur won 4-2 4-1 0-4 4-2 in the semifinal in Next gen atp finals back in 2019.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Frances Tiafoe – Next gen atp finals 08-November-2019
Frances Tiafoe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-8 | 6-6 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-21 | 21-10 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-25 | 19-11 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-27 | 19-13 | 4-7 | 10-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-15 | 7-9 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, the American got to the 3rd round after beating Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 6-4 and Jack Draper 6-3 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Draper (6-3 7-5). During the match, Tiafoe scored 66 points vs Draper’s 62. Tiafoe was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tiafoe blasted 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Frances Tiafoe was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (34/42) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tiafoe broke Draper twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Francis hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Tiafoe has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (300-210). 4-3 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tiafoe has a composed46-39 record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
Tiafoe’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Estoril and Tokyo.
Tiafoe has a composed 34-23 win-loss record in 2022, 4-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-8 | 15-5 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, De Minaur reached the 3rd round after defeating Sebastian Korda 6-4 4-6 6-4 and Daniil Medvedev 6-4 2-6 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Alex defeated Medvedev (6-4 2-6 7-5). During the match De Minaur scored 104 points vs Medvedev’s 103. De Minaur was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.
About the serving games, De Minaur scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 59% of his first serves in, winning 68% (42/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (22/43) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Medvedev 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Atlanta where he overcame Jenson Brooksby in the final 6-3 6-3.
Alex has an overall 45-23 win-loss record in 2022, 10-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019 and 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tiafoe | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 41 | 60 |
| Pts | 128-110 | 208-208 |
| Total Points | 238 | 416 |
| Winners | 61 | 89 |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% |
Both Tiafoe and De Minaur played 2 matches. At the moment, Alex De Minaur surrendered 2 sets while Frances Tiafoe hasn’t dropped a set so far. Tiafoe has played 2 set(s) less than De Minaur (4 vs 6). Therefore, Tiafoe played 19 games less than De Minaur. The American scored 61 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur made 89 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tiafoe | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 74/119 | 130/209 |
| %1st in | 62% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 61/74 | 89/130 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 28/45 | 39/79 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 49% |
Tiafoe scored 10 aces (5 per match). De Minaur bagged 3 aces (1.5 per match). Tiafoe won 82% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tiafoe | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/21 |
| % Converted | 50% | 29% |
| Conceded | 7 | 28 |
| Saved | 7 | 23 |
| % Saved | 100% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
Tiafoe broke his opponents 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Francis extremely effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points. De Minaur broke his opponents 6 times with a 29% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tiafoe | ||||
| R1 Sonego |
R2 Draper |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 21 | 41 | |
| pts | 62-48 | 66-62 | 128-110 | |
| Total points | 110 | 128 | 238 | |
| Winners | 27 | 34 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 52% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 32/49 | 42/70 | 74/119 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 27/32 | 34/42 | 61/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 81% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/17 | 15/28 | 28/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 54% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/5 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 40% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 7/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| De Minaur | ||||
| R1 Korda |
R2 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | 6-4 2-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | 60 | |
| pts | 104-105 | 104-103 | 208-208 | |
| Total points | 209 | 207 | 416 | |
| Winners | 47 | 42 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 68/104 | 62/105 | 130/209 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 59% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 47/68 | 42/62 | 89/130 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/36 | 22/43 | 39/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 51% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/10 | 6/21 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 30% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 15 | 28 | |
| Saved | 11/13 | 12/15 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 85% | 80% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLWLWL
LWLWWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Paris
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Mikael YmerYmer (6-76 6-4 7-66) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Richard GasquetGasquet (6-1 7-67) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – John IsnerIsner (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Maxime CressyCressy (7-61 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 2-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jack DraperDraper (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Mikael YmerYmer (6-7(6) 6-4 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (7-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Gilles SimonSimon (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Rafael NadalNadal (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
