Matteo Arnaldi and Liam Broady will play each other in the 2nd round of the Bergamo Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:30 pm on PALAINTRED. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Broady who should win in 3 sets.
Liam Broady -> 1.82
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Liam Broady
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Liam Broady since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-26 | 11-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 140 (career-high), the Italian reached the 2nd round after beating Gregoire Barrere 6-3 6-1.
In the 1st round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Barrere (6-3 6-1). During the match, Arnaldi scored 64 points vs Barrere’s 36. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi struck 5 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Matteo Arnaldi was very efficient on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Matteo broke Barrere 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Arnaldi has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 63% of his matches (135-78). 3-7 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Arnaldi has an aggregate7-15 win-loss record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.
Arnaldi’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Francavilla Challenger,the San Marino Challenger and the St. Tropez Challenger.
Arnaldi has an aggregate 49-31 win-loss record in 2022, 3-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bergamo Challenger
Liam Broady
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-22 | 30-10 | 10-4 | 23-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-18 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-28 | 23-9 | 2-4 | 15-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 16-9 | 2-5 | 10-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-26 | 19-10 | 7-5 | 16-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 157, Liam got to the 2nd round after beating Zizou Bergs 7-5 4-1 ret..
In the 1st round against Bergs, the Brit had a free pass after Bergs retired on a 7-5 4-1 . scoreline.
Broady’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Phoenix Challenger.
Liam has a compiled 35-23 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bergamo Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 17 |
| Pts | 64-36 | 68-53 |
| Total Points | 100 | 121 |
| Winners | 23 | 28 |
| %Winners | 36% | 41% |
Both Arnaldi and Broady played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Arnaldi has played 1 set(s) less than Broady (2 vs 3). Therefore, Arnaldi played 1 game less than Broady. The Italian scored 23 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit fired 28 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 27/42 | 38/65 |
| %1st in | 64% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 23/27 | 28/38 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 14/27 |
| %2nd pts | 73% | 52% |
Arnaldi made 5 aces . Broady bagged 3 aces . Arnaldi won 85% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Broady won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Broady |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 3/3 |
| % Converted | 40% | 100% |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Arnaldi broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. Liam broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. Liam conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | |||
| R1 Barrere | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 64-36 | 64-36 | |
| Total points | 100 | 100 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 27/42 | 27/42 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/27 | 23/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 11/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Broady | |||
| R1 Bergs | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 68-53 | 68-53 | |
| Total points | 121 | 121 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/65 | 38/65 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 28/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 14/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Bergamo Challenger
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Dennis NovakNovak (6-3 4-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Otto VirtanenOtto – Zhizhen ZhangZhizhen (6-4 7-6(7)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Altug CelikbilekCelikbilek – Jurij RodionovRodionov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea VavassoriVavassori – Borna GojoGojo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (0-0) – H2H and prediction