Matteo Arnaldi and Liam Broady will play each other in the 2nd round of the Bergamo Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:30 pm on PALAINTRED. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Broady who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Liam Broady is the pick to win this match.
Liam Broady -> 1.82
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.95

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Liam Broady

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Liam Broady since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
61
High
30
LLWWWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-26 11-14 7-6 5-4 0-2 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 140 (career-high), the Italian reached the 2nd round after beating Gregoire Barrere 6-3 6-1.

In the 1st round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Barrere (6-3 6-1). During the match, Arnaldi scored 64 points vs Barrere’s 36. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Arnaldi struck 5 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Matteo Arnaldi was very efficient on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 73% (11/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Matteo broke Barrere 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Arnaldi has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 63% of his matches (135-78). 3-7 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Arnaldi has an aggregate7-15 win-loss record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.

Arnaldi’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Francavilla Challenger,the San Marino Challenger and the St. Tropez Challenger.

Arnaldi has an aggregate 49-31 win-loss record in 2022, 3-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Bergamo Challenger

Bergamo Challenger
Arnaldi's Record

Liam Broady

Liam Broady

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
305
High
93
LWWWLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-22 30-10 10-4 23-7 1-1 0-0
2024 10-18 8-13 0-0 2-3 0-2 0-0
2023 45-28 23-9 2-4 15-9 5-6 0-0
2022 36-25 16-9 2-5 10-5 8-6 0-0
2021 45-26 19-10 7-5 16-7 3-4 0-0

Ranked no. 157, Liam got to the 2nd round after beating Zizou Bergs 7-5 4-1 ret..

In the 1st round against Bergs, the Brit had a free pass after Bergs retired on a 7-5 4-1 . scoreline.

Broady’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Phoenix Challenger.

Liam has a compiled 35-23 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Bergamo Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.

Bergamo Challenger
Broady's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Arnaldi
L.Broady
0h:57
0h:57
Time on court​
1h:25
1h:25
!
0h:57
0h:57
Last match​
1h:25
1h:25
1
1
Match played
1
1
16
16
Games Played​
17
17
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
64
64
Total points​
68
68
64
64
Avg point​
68
68
23
23
Winners
28
28
23
23
Avg Winners​
28
28
36%
36%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
3
3
5
5
Avg Aces
3
3
0
0
Double Faults
1
1
0
0
Avg Double Faults
1
1
23/27
23/27
1st won total​
28/38
28/38
!
85%
85%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
11/15
11/15
2nd won total​
14/27
14/27
!
73%
73%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
4/10
4/10
BP won
3/3
3/3
4/10
4/10
Avg BP won
3/3
3/3
40%
40%
Won
!
100%
100%
3
3
Conceded
5
5
3
3
Avg Conceded
5
5
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
3
3
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Arnaldi Broady
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 16 17
Pts 64-36 68-53
Total Points 100 121
Winners 23 28
%Winners 36% 41%

Both Arnaldi and Broady played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Arnaldi has played 1 set(s) less than Broady (2 vs 3). Therefore, Arnaldi played 1 game less than Broady. The Italian scored 23 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit fired 28 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Arnaldi Broady
Aces 5 3
Avg per match 5 3
1st in 27/42 38/65
%1st in 64% 58%
1st pts 23/27 28/38
%1st pts 85% 74%
2nd pts 11/15 14/27
%2nd pts 73% 52%

Arnaldi made 5 aces . Broady bagged 3 aces . Arnaldi won 85% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Broady won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Arnaldi Broady
Won 4 3
Converted 4/10 3/3
% Converted 40% 100%
Conceded 3 5
Saved 3 4
% Saved 100% 80%
Times Broken 0 1

Arnaldi broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. Liam broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. Liam conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Arnaldi
R1
Barrere
Total
Score 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 64-36 64-36
Total points 100 100
Winners 23 23
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 27/42 27/42
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 23/27 23/27
% 1st pts 85% 85%
2nd pts 11/15 11/15
% 2nd pts 73% 73%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/10 4/10
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Broady
R1
Bergs
Total
Score 7-5 4-1 ret.
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 68-53 68-53
Total points 121 121
Winners 28 28
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 38/65 38/65
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 28/38 28/38
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 14/27 14/27
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/3 3/3
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 4/5 4
Saved % 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores in Bergamo Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw