[UPDATED R2]. Prediction, H2H of Denis Shapovalov’s draw vs Carreno-Busta, Nadal, Tsitsipas, Ruud, Alcaraz to win the Paris

Paris draw preview with H2H - Denis Shapovalov may need to best Pablo Carreno-Busta, Rafael Nadal, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Casper Ruud, Carlos Alcaraz to conquer the title in the Rolex Paris Masters.

Denis Shapovalov Stats info

Denis Shapovalov is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Paris. Denis has defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6-72 6-3 6-4 to reach the 2nd round where he will face Pablo Carreno-Busta.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Denis Shapovalov’s projected draw with the likely opponents in Rolex Paris Masters. Shapovalov has a weak record (7-11) with the projected opponents.

R1 – Francisco Cerundolo (30) – 6-72 6-3 6-4
R2 – Pablo Carreno-Busta (14) – H2H 2-4
R3 – Rafael Nadal (2) – H2H 2-4
or Tommy Paul (31) – H2H 1-2
1/4 – Stefanos Tsitsipas (5) – H2H 3-1
or Cameron Norrie (13) – H2H 0-2
1/2 – Casper Ruud (4) – H2H 0-2
or Novak Djokovic (7) – H2H 0-7
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (1) – H2H 0-0
or Daniil Medvedev (3) – H2H 2-4
Shapovalov
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R2 – Pablo Carreno-Busta’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Pablo Carreno-Busta

37 - 25win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
10
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0
2020 20-12 9-5 4-2 7-5 0-0 0-0
2019 36-22 20-7 7-9 7-4 2-2 0-0
2018 31-22 17-9 14-10 0-2 0-1 0-0
2017 36-26 14-10 20-9 2-7 0-0 0-0
2016 41-26 13-10 20-12 8-2 0-2 0-0
2015 37-31 6-7 29-18 2-4 0-2 0-0

Pablo Carreno-Busta has a 36-23 record in 2022, 4-3 on indoor hard courts. As for the last 14 years, Carreno-Busta has a 43-42 record on indoor hard courts (Click here to see full career record). Pablo won 5 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the year was winning the competition in Montreal where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 3-6 6-3 6-3.

Last year in Rolex Paris Masters Pablo was defeated by Hugo Gaston in the 2nd round 6-7(3) 6-4 7-5.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

This match would represent the 7th time that Denis Shapovalov and Pablo Carreno-Busta fight against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts in major tournaments.

R3 – Rafael Nadal’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Rafael Nadal

39 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0
2019 58-7 21-2 21-3 11-1 5-1 0-0
2018 45-4 14-2 26-1 0-0 5-1 0-0
2017 68-12 38-8 24-1 3-2 3-1 0-0
2016 39-14 18-10 21-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2015 61-20 20-9 26-6 10-3 5-2 0-0

Rafael Nadal has a 38-5 win-loss record in 2022, but he has not competed hitherto on indoor hard courts. The Spaniard won 8 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the current season was winning the competition in Melbourne where he defeated Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3, at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5, in Acapulco where he defeated Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4, and at the French Open where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 6-3 6-0.

Last year in Rolex Paris Masters Rafael didn’t compete in this event.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Rafael Nadal

This contest would be 7th time that Denis Shapovalov and Rafael Nadal fight against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Denis Shapovalov may square off with Tommy Paul. Their H2H record is 2-1 for Tommy Paul.

1/4 – Stefanos Tsitsipas’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Denis Shapovalov

61 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
4
High
3
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 61-24 18-8 17-4 18-9 8-3 0-0
2021 55-19 26-8 23-5 6-5 0-1 0-0
2020 29-14 11-6 11-3 7-5 0-0 0-0
2019 54-25 22-12 15-5 15-5 2-3 0-0
2018 56-30 19-13 15-6 16-8 6-3 0-0
2017 57-31 14-8 25-12 14-8 4-3 0-0
2016 49-18 16-7 30-6 1-3 0-0 2-2
2015 32-18 23-14 9-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 55-21 win-loss record in 2022, 14-6 on indoor hard courts. In the course of the last 8 years, the Greek has a 73-40 record on indoor hard courts (Click here to see full career record). Stefanos won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of the current season was winning the tournament in Carlo where he defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 6-3 7-6(3), and in Mallorca where he defeated Roberto Bautista Agut in the final 6-4 3-6 7-6(2).

Last year in Rolex Paris Masters Stefanos reached the 2nd round in 2021 in Paris before retiring against Alexei Popyrin when he was 4-2 ret..

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

This match would represent the 5th time that Denis Shapovalov and Stefanos Tsitsipas clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Shapovalov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Denis Shapovalov may compete against Cameron Norrie. Their head to head record is 2-0 for Cameron Norrie.

1/2 – Casper Ruud’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Casper Ruud

51 - 22win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
2019 44-31 8-10 27-13 9-7 0-1 0-0
2018 43-29 19-9 19-18 5-1 0-1 0-0
2017 30-32 3-6 22-23 5-3 0-0 0-0
2016 56-19 5-4 46-13 5-2 0-0 0-0
2015 13-7 0-1 6-2 7-4 0-0 0-0

Casper Ruud has a 48-19 win-loss record in 2022, 4-2 on indoor hard courts. In the course of the last 8 years, the Norwegian has a 47-25 record on indoor hard courts (Click here to see full career record). Ruud won 6 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of the current season was winning the competition in Buenos Aires where he overcame Diego Schwartzman in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3, in Geneva where he defeated Joao Sousa in the final 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(1), and in Gstaad where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.

Last year in Rolex Paris Masters the Norwegian was overcome by Alexander Zverev in the quarter 7-5 6-4.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Casper Ruud

This contest would be 3rd time that Denis Shapovalov and Casper Ruud square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Denis Shapovalov may compete against Novak Djokovic. Their H2H is 7-0 for Novak Djokovic.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

57 - 13win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 55-12 win-loss record in 2022, 4-3 on indoor hard courts. As for the last 2 years, Carlos has a 14-6 record on indoor hard courts. Alcaraz won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His best result of the year was conquering the tournament in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Diego Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2, in Miami where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4, in Barcelona where he beat Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-3 6-2, in Madrid where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 6-1, and at the U.S. Open where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 2-6 7-6(1) 6-3.

Last year in Rolex Paris Masters Carlos was defeated by Hugo Gaston in the 3rd round 6-4 7-5.

H2H Denis Shapovalov vs. Carlos Alcaraz

There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Carlos Alcaraz since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Yet, Denis Shapovalov could compete against Daniil Medvedev. Their H2H is 4-2 for Daniil Medvedev.