H2H, PREDICTION Rafael Nadal vs Tommy Paul | Paris odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Paris. Nadal and Paul will face off in the 2nd round of the Rolex Paris Masters. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Tommy Paul

Rafael Nadal and Tommy Paul will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Rafael Nadal is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.23
Tommy Paul -> 4.2

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Prediction and head to head Rafael Nadal vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 2nd time that Rafael Nadal and Tommy Paul face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Nadal (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Nadal won 6-0 7-6(5) in the quarter in Acapulco back in February 2022.

Highlights Rafael Nadal vs Tommy Paul – Acapulco 24-February-2022

Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal
Rafael Nadal

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
153
High
1
LLWLWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-8 2-1 10-6 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 1-3 1-3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 39-8 23-3 10-2 1-3 5-0 0-0
2021 24-5 5-2 19-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 27-7 13-3 9-1 5-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard will start his run in Paris after he played his last match at the Us Open where he lost 6-4 4-6 6-4 6-3 to Tiafoe in the 4th round on the 5th of September.

Rafael has an aggregate 38-5 win-loss record in 2022, 0-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

This will be the first match of the season on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Melbourne where he overcame Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(6) 6-3 and at the Australian Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 2-6 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 7-5 and in Acapulco where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the French Open where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 6-3 6-0.

Talking about his overall career, The Spaniard has an overall 1105-224 record. He has a positive 81-35 record on indoor hard courts.

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2007. See his history.

Nadal
Paris
Nadal's Record

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
13
High
9
LWWLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-6 10-4 2-1 3-1 0-0 0-0
2024 45-20 17-12 10-4 8-2 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 31, the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Roberto Bautista Agut 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Bautista-Agut (6-4 6-4). During the match Paul scored 69 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 55. The American was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Paul scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Tommy Paul was very efficient on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tommy broke Bautista-Agut 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Tommy’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.

The American has an aggregate 37-26 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Paris

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020 and 2021. See his history.

Paul
Paris
Paul's Record
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Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Nadal
Paul
LWWLWLWWWL
2025 2024 2023
0 - 0
15 - 6
0-0
Hard
10-4
0-0
I Hard
3-1
0-0
Clay
2-1

Tennis Scores in Paris

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