Stefan Kozlov and Tennys Sandgren will square off in the final of the Las Vegas Challenger for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tennys Sandgren who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tennys Sandgren is the pick to win this match.
Tennys Sandgren -> 1.66
Stefan Kozlov -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Stefan Kozlov vs. Tennys Sandgren
This will be the 7th time that Stefan Kozlov and Tennys Sandgren play each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Kozlov (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Sandgren won 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Tallahassee Challenger back in 2019.
Stefan Kozlov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-12 | 4-3 | 17-8 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-34 | 14-18 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-15 | 20-12 | 5-2 | 16-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-13 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 133, Kozlov got to the final after defeating Cannon Kingsley 7-5 4-6 6-1, Evan Zhu 7-65 6-2, Alexis Galarneau 6-75 6-4 6-3 and Steve Johnson 6-3 1-6 7-5.
In the semifinal, Kozlov defeated Johnson (6-3 1-6 7-5). During the match, Kozlov scored 91 points vs Johnson’s 80. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kozlov bagged 7 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Stefan Kozlov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kozlov put 62% of his first serves in, winning 68% (36/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the 2nd serve. Kozlov broke Johnson 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stefan has surrendered 3 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Kozlov has good record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (270-212). 14-17 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kozlov has an overall 135-111 match record in the last years on hard.
Kozlov’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Las Vegas Challenger.
The American has a compiled 18-30 win-loss record in 2022, 14-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Las Vegas Challenger
Tennys Sandgren
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-9 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-25 | 20-19 | 0-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-23 | 19-11 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-24 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-13 | 7-5 | 5-3 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 444, the American reached the final after defeating Tristan Mccormick 6-1 7-67, Alexander Bernard 6-2 7-5, Sebastian Fanselow 3-6 7-5 6-3, Jack Pinnington Jones 7-5 6-3, Brandon Holt 6-77 6-2 6-3 and Juncheng Shang 6-3 7-65.
In the semifinal, Tennys had a good straight sets win against Shang (6-3 7-65). During the match Sandgren scored 75 points vs Shang’s 60. Tennys was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Sandgren managed to score 9 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Tennys Sandgren was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (31/42) of his 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tennys broke Shang twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sandgren started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Sandgren’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Las Vegas Challenger.
The American has an overall 21-20 win-loss record in 2022, 18-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Las Vegas Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2017. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kozlov | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 110 | 143 |
| Pts | 403-350 | 489-403 |
| Total Points | 753 | 892 |
| Winners | 143 | 197 |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% |
Kozlov played 4 matches while Sandgren competed in 6 matches. Sandgren started his run from the qualifications while Kozlov had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Stefan Kozlov dropped 3 sets, while Tennys Sandgren dropped 2 sets. Kozlov has played 3 set(s) less than Sandgren (11 vs 14). Therefore, Kozlov played 33 games less than Sandgren. Stefan scored 143 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Tennys blasted 197 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kozlov | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 50 |
| Avg per match | 3.8 | 8.3 |
| 1st in | 201/359 | 249/432 |
| %1st in | 56% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 143/201 | 197/249 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 77/158 | 106/183 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 58% |
Kozlov fired 15 aces (3.8 per match). Sandgren recorded 50 aces (8.3 per match). Kozlov won 71% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Sandgren won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kozlov | Sandgren |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 19 |
| Converted | 21/40 | 19/58 |
| % Converted | 53% | 33% |
| Conceded | 40 | 26 |
| Saved | 26 | 19 |
| % Saved | 65% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 14 | 7 |
Stefan broke his opponents 21 times with a 53% conversion rate. Kozlov surrendered his serve 14 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 19 times with a 33% conversion rate. Sandgren conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kozlov | ||||||
| R1 Kingsley |
R2 Zhu |
1/4 Galarneau |
1/2 Johnson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-1 | 7-65 6-2 | 6-75 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 1-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 21 | 32 | 28 | 110 | |
| pts | 104-86 | 86-72 | 122-112 | 91-80 | 403-350 | |
| Total points | 190 | 158 | 234 | 171 | 753 | |
| Winners | 38 | 26 | 43 | 36 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 30% | 35% | 40% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | |
| 1st in | 46/78 | 39/80 | 63/115 | 53/86 | 201/359 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 49% | 55% | 62% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 38/46 | 26/39 | 43/63 | 36/53 | 143/201 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 67% | 68% | 68% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/32 | 15/41 | 24/52 | 18/33 | 77/158 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 37% | 46% | 55% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 7/11 | 7/12 | 4/8 | 21/40 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 64% | 58% | 50% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 40 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 9/14 | 11/15 | 6/10 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 64% | 73% | 60% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Sandgren | ||||||||
| Q1 Mccormick |
Q3 Bernard |
R1 Fanselow |
R2 Pinnington |
1/4 Holt |
1/2 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-67 | 6-2 7-5 | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-77 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 30 | 21 | 30 | 22 | 143 | |
| pts | 70-56 | 73-53 | 97-94 | 71-56 | 103-84 | 75-60 | 489-403 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | 191 | 127 | 187 | 135 | 892 | |
| Winners | 24 | 28 | 40 | 25 | 49 | 31 | 197 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 38% | 41% | 35% | 48% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 29/61 | 34/56 | 55/93 | 33/58 | 56/99 | 42/65 | 249/432 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 61% | 59% | 57% | 57% | 65% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 28/34 | 40/55 | 25/33 | 49/56 | 31/42 | 197/249 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 82% | 73% | 76% | 88% | 74% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/32 | 12/22 | 17/38 | 14/25 | 23/43 | 17/23 | 106/183 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 55% | 45% | 56% | 53% | 74% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 4/14 | 4/13 | 4/12 | 3/6 | 2/6 | 19/58 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | 31% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 26 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/3 | 8/11 | 1/3 | 5/5 | 2/3 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 73% | 33% | 100% | 67% | 110% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tennys SandgrenSandgren – Stefan KozlovKozlov (1-5) – H2H and prediction
