Pablo Carreno-Busta and Sebastian Baez will face off in the 1st round of the Swiss Indoors Basel for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.196
Sebastian Baez -> 4.6

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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Sebastian Baez

This will be the 2nd time that Pablo Carreno-Busta and Sebastian Baez square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Carreno-Busta (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they locked horns, Carreno-Busta won 6-4 4-6 6-2 in the 1st round in Monte carlo back in April 2022.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
89
High
10
LWLLWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-28 25-10 14-14 2-4 0-0 0-0
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 15, the Spaniard will start his run in Basel after he played his last match in Naples where he lost 7-5 6-2 to Kecmanovic in the quarter on the 21st of October.

Pablo has a compiled 33-22 win-loss record in 2022, 1-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Montreal where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 3-6 6-3 6-3.

Talking about his overall career, Carreno-Busta has an overall 555-307 record. He has a negative 40-41 record on indoor hard courts.

Previously in Basel

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd

round in 2016. See his history.
Basel
Carreno-Busta's Record

Sebastian Baez

Sebastian Baez

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
45
High
18
LLLLLWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-27 3-9 17-14 0-3 0-1 0-0
2024 31-28 5-9 26-11 0-5 0-3 0-0
2023 33-27 9-7 22-13 1-5 1-2 0-0
2022 35-32 6-12 27-12 0-6 2-2 0-0
2021 56-16 2-1 52-12 2-2 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 39, the Argentine will start his run in Basel after he played his last match in Naples where he lost 7-6(5) 7-6(11) to Zhang in the 2nd round on the 20th of October.

Sebastian has a compiled 35-30 win-loss record in 2022, 0-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Estoril where he overcame Frances Tiafoe in the final 6-3 6-2.

In terms of his career, Sebastian has an overall 187-92 record. He has a negative 2-7 record on indoor hard courts.

Basel
Baez's Record

Tennis Scores in Basel

Upcoming matches in the draw