Facundo Bagnis and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva will clash against each other in the final of the Ambato Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Facundo Bagnis who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Facundo Bagnis is the pick to win this match.
Facundo Bagnis -> 1.21
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva -> 4.2
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Prediction and head to head Facundo Bagnis vs. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
This will be the 2nd time that Facundo Bagnis and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bagnis (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Bagnis won 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in the Campinas Challenger back in 2020.
Facundo Bagnis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-15 | 1-3 | 29-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-27 | 4-6 | 23-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-29 | 9-9 | 37-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-23 | 2-5 | 35-16 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 1-2 | 24-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 114, Facundo got to the final after defeating Arklon Huertas Del Pino 6-3 7-60, Nikola Milojevic 7-66 6-4, Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna 6-4 6-3 and Thiago Agustin Tirante 6-3 6-73 7-65.
In the semifinal, The Argentine defeated Agustin Tirante (6-3 6-73 7-65). During the match, Bagnis and Agustin Tirante scored the same amount of points (105). However, the world no. 114 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Argentine was pretty aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bagnis scored 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Facundo Bagnis was very efficient on serve to win 76% (54/71) of his 1st serve and 57% (24/42) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine broke Agustin Tirante twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bagnis has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Bagnis has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (386-249). 30-17 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bagnis has a compiled 361-206 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Bagnis’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Pereira Challenger.
Bagnis has a compiled 37-26 win-loss record in 2022, 30-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Ambato Challenger
Bagnis has never competed in this tournament before.
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-27 | 0-2 | 21-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-32 | 4-7 | 24-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-24 | 4-3 | 31-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-30 | 8-5 | 24-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-10 | 19-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 448, Lucas Reis Da reached the final after beating Juan Pablo Ficovich 7-69 6-4, Nicolas Alvarez 5-7 6-1 6-4, Miljan Zekic 7-61 6-1 and Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Pablo Patino-Samudio (6-4 6-4). During the match Lucas Reis Da scored 54 points vs Pablo Patino-Samudio’s 50. Lucas Reis Da was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Lucas Reis Da managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva was pretty effective on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Lucas Reis Da broke Pablo Patino-Samudio twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Joao has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Lucas Reis Da’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Guayaquil and M15 Recife.
Joao has a compiled 31-19 win-loss record in 2022, 28-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bagnis | Lucas Reis Da |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 99 | 92 |
| Pts | 297-263 | 299-257 |
| Total Points | 560 | 556 |
| Winners | 154 | 143 |
| %Winners | 52% | 48% |
Both Bagnis and Lucas Reis Da played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Facundo Bagnis surrendered 1 set, while Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Bagnis and Lucas Reis Da have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Bagnis played 7 games more than Lucas Reis Da. Facundo scored 154 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian managed to score 143 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bagnis | Lucas Reis Da |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 32 | 43 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 10.8 |
| 1st in | 191/292 | 183/293 |
| %1st in | 65% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 154/191 | 143/183 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 65/101 | 63/110 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 57% |
Bagnis fired 32 aces (8 per match). Lucas Reis Da recorded 43 aces (10.8 per match). Bagnis won 81% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Lucas Reis Da won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bagnis | Lucas Reis Da |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 11 |
| Converted | 6/17 | 11/24 |
| % Converted | 35% | 46% |
| Conceded | 9 | 17 |
| Saved | 8 | 13 |
| % Saved | 89% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. Facundo lost his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Lucas Reis Da broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Lucas Reis Da conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bagnis | ||||||
| R1 Huertas Del Pino |
R2 Milojevic |
1/4 Fa Rodriguez Taverna |
1/2 Agustin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-60 | 7-66 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-73 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 23 | 19 | 35 | 99 | |
| pts | 62-46 | 67-63 | 63-49 | 105-105 | 297-263 | |
| Total points | 108 | 130 | 112 | 210 | 560 | |
| Winners | 32 | 38 | 30 | 54 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 57% | 48% | 51% | 52% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 35/57 | 47/64 | 38/58 | 71/113 | 191/292 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 73% | 66% | 63% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 32/35 | 38/47 | 30/38 | 54/71 | 154/191 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 81% | 79% | 76% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/22 | 11/17 | 14/20 | 24/42 | 65/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 65% | 70% | 57% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 1/1 | 1/6 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 6/17 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 17% | 40% | 40% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 6/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 100% | 86% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lucas Reis Da | ||||||
| R1 Pablo Ficovich |
R2 Alvarez |
1/4 Zekic |
1/2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-69 6-4 | 5-7 6-1 6-4 | 7-61 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 29 | 20 | 20 | 92 | |
| pts | 79-71 | 100-90 | 66-46 | 54-50 | 299-257 | |
| Total points | 150 | 190 | 112 | 104 | 556 | |
| Winners | 37 | 46 | 31 | 29 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 46% | 47% | 54% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 43 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 50/77 | 62/101 | 37/58 | 34/57 | 183/293 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 61% | 64% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 46/62 | 31/37 | 29/34 | 143/183 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | 84% | 85% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/27 | 19/39 | 13/21 | 14/23 | 63/110 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 49% | 62% | 61% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 4/9 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 11/24 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 44% | 50% | 50% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 5/7 | 3/4 | 3/3 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 71% | 75% | 100% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Facundo BagnisBagnis (0-1) – H2H and prediction
