Matteo Berrettini and Lorenzo Musetti will play each other in the final of the Tennis Napoli Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.41
Lorenzo Musetti -> 3
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Lorenzo Musetti
There is no head to head record between Matteo Berrettini and Lorenzo Musetti since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, the Italian reached the final after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 6-2, Taro Daniel 6-2 6-3 and Mackenzie Mcdonald 3-6 7-62 6-3.
In the semifinal against Mcdonald, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-62 6-3). During the match, Berrettini scored 96 points vs Mcdonald’s 89. Berrettini was quite aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Berrettini managed to score 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve 4 times. Furthermore, Berrettini put 61% of his first serves in, winning 78% (40/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Berrettini broke Mcdonald 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Berrettini has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 67% of his matches (280-135). 15-8 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Berrettini has an aggregate121-58 record in the last 9 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Stuttgart where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 5-7 6-3 and in London where he beat Filip Krajinovic in the final 7-5 6-4.
The Italian has an aggregate 32-11 win-loss record in 2022, 15-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Naples
Berrettini has never competed in this tournament before.
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24 (career-high), Musetti reached the final after beating Laslo Djere 7-5 6-3, Daniel Elahi Galan 6-3 6-0 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-3 6-4). During the match Musetti scored 68 points vs Kecmanovic’s 51. Lorenzo was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Musetti scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lorenzo Musetti lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 73% of his first serves in, winning 79% (34/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (7/16) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Kecmanovic 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lorenzo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Hamburg where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 6-4.
Musetti has a compiled 39-24 win-loss record in 2022, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 55 |
| Pts | 226-180 | 194-142 |
| Total Points | 406 | 336 |
| Winners | 94 | 92 |
| %Winners | 42% | 47% |
Both Berrettini and Musetti played 3 matches. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini surrendered 1 set while Lorenzo Musetti hasn’t lost a set so far. Berrettini has played 1 set more than Musetti (7 vs 6). Therefore, Berrettini played 11 games more than Musetti. Matteo scored 94 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Musetti bagged 92 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 26 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 8.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 114/176 | 116/171 |
| %1st in | 65% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 94/114 | 92/116 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 31/62 | 32/55 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 58% |
Berrettini scored 26 aces (8.7 per match). Musetti managed to score 5 aces (1.7 per match). Berrettini won 82% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 9 |
| Converted | 12/26 | 9/24 |
| % Converted | 46% | 38% |
| Conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Saved | 1 | 11 |
| % Saved | 20% | 92% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Matteo broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 20% of the break points that he conceded. Musetti broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve once and he saved 92% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | |||||
| R2 Carballes Baena |
1/4 Daniel |
1/2 Mcdonald |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 3-6 7-62 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 31 | 66 | |
| pts | 67-47 | 63-44 | 96-89 | 226-180 | |
| Total points | 114 | 107 | 185 | 406 | |
| Winners | 29 | 25 | 40 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/52 | 28/41 | 51/83 | 114/176 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 68% | 61% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 25/28 | 40/51 | 94/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 89% | 78% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 7/13 | 14/32 | 31/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 54% | 44% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/9 | 5/12 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 44% | 42% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 0% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Musetti | |||||
| R2 Djere |
1/4 Elahi Galan Riveros |
1/2 Kecmanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-3 6-0 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 15 | 19 | 55 | |
| pts | 62-52 | 64-39 | 68-51 | 194-142 | |
| Total points | 114 | 103 | 119 | 336 | |
| Winners | 30 | 28 | 34 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 44% | 50% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 40/62 | 33/50 | 43/59 | 116/171 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 66% | 73% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 28/33 | 34/43 | 92/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 85% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/22 | 9/17 | 7/16 | 32/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 53% | 44% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/10 | 3/10 | 9/24 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 40% | 30% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 7/7 | 2/3 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 67% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
