Mattia Bellucci and Cem Ilkel will fight against each other in the final of the Vilnus Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.66
Cem Ilkel -> 2.17
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Cem Ilkel
There is no head to head record between Mattia Bellucci and Cem Ilkel since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Mattia Bellucci
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-32 | 31-17 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 186 (career-high), Mattia got to the final after defeating Jules Marie 6-4 7-60, Nerman Fatic 7-65 6-3, Zdenek Kolar 6-1 6-3 and Viktor Durasovic 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter, Mattia had a good straight sets win against Kolar (6-1 6-3). During the match, Bellucci scored 62 points vs Kolar’s 40. Bellucci was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bellucci blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mattia Bellucci conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Bellucci put 59% of his first serves in, winning 93% (25/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Kolar 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mattia hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Bellucci has a fantastic record in the last 5 years having won 70% of his matches (148-64). 8-4 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bellucci has a composed15-10 match record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.
Mattia’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir,M15 Poitiers,M25 Grasse,M25 Klosters and the St. Tropez Challenger.
Bellucci has a compiled 63-20 win-loss record in 2022, 8-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Vilnus Challenger
Bellucci has never competed in this tournament before.
Cem Ilkel
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-26 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-29 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 27-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-16 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 16-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-29 | 17-9 | 13-11 | 8-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 13-15 | 2-3 | 1-7 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 416, Cem got to the final after beating Tomas Vaise 6-2 6-1, Luca Potenza 6-4 6-0, Matteo Arnaldi 6-3 6-2, Mate Valkusz 7-61 6-72 6-1, Laurent Lokoli 7-5 6-3 and Dan Added 7-63 6-4.
In the semifinal, Cem had a good straight sets win against Added (7-63 6-4). During the match Ilkel scored 79 points vs Added’s 67. The Turk was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Ilkel struck 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Cem Ilkel was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (36/48) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Turk broke Added twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ilkel started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
The Turk’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Vilnus Challenger.
Ilkel has a compiled 11-13 win-loss record in 2022, 9-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Ilkel |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 81 | 125 |
| Pts | 292-235 | 432-328 |
| Total Points | 527 | 760 |
| Winners | 126 | 149 |
| %Winners | 43% | 34% |
Bellucci played 4 matches while Ilkel competed in 6 matches. Ilkel started his run from the qualifications while Bellucci had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Cem Ilkel surrendered 1 set while Mattia Bellucci hasn’t lost a set so far. Bellucci has played 5 set(s) less than Ilkel (8 vs 13). Therefore, Bellucci played 44 games less than Ilkel. The Italian scored 126 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Ilkel managed to score 149 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Ilkel |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| 1st in | 164/252 | 203/354 |
| %1st in | 65% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 126/164 | 149/203 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 48/88 | 88/151 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 58% |
Bellucci recorded 19 aces (4.8 per match). Ilkel managed to score 31 aces (5.2 per match). Bellucci won 77% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Ilkel won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Ilkel |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 28 |
| Converted | 11/31 | 28/50 |
| % Converted | 35% | 56% |
| Conceded | 15 | 20 |
| Saved | 12 | 11 |
| % Saved | 80% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 9 |
The Italian broke his opponents 11 times with a 35% conversion rate. Mattia conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Ilkel broke his opponents 28 times with a 56% conversion rate. Ilkel conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | |||||
| R1 Marie |
R2 Fatic |
1/4 Kolar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-60 | 7-65 6-3 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 | 16 | 61 | |
| pts | 72-62 | 82-66 | 62-40 | 216-168 | |
| Total points | 134 | 148 | 102 | 384 | |
| Winners | 34 | 33 | 25 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 40% | 40% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 47/68 | 49/73 | 27/46 | 123/187 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 67% | 59% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 34/47 | 33/49 | 25/27 | 92/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 67% | 93% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 15/24 | 9/19 | 36/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 63% | 47% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/7 | 4/7 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 43% | 57% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 60% | 100% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Ilkel | ||||||||
| Q1 Vaise |
Q3 Potenza |
R1 Arnaldi |
R2 Valkusz |
1/4 Lokoli |
1/2 Added |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 6-0 | 6-3 6-2 | 7-61 6-72 6-1 | 7-5 6-3 | 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 17 | 33 | 21 | 23 | 125 | |
| pts | 67-44 | 57-36 | 57-34 | 106-96 | 66-51 | 79-67 | 432-328 | |
| Total points | 111 | 93 | 91 | 202 | 117 | 146 | 760 | |
| Winners | 18 | 21 | 17 | 36 | 21 | 36 | 149 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 37% | 30% | 34% | 32% | 46% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 1 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 20/45 | 27/46 | 22/36 | 58/102 | 28/53 | 48/72 | 203/354 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 59% | 61% | 57% | 53% | 67% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 18/20 | 21/27 | 17/22 | 36/58 | 21/28 | 36/48 | 149/203 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 78% | 77% | 62% | 75% | 75% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 12/19 | 11/14 | 25/44 | 14/25 | 13/24 | 88/151 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 63% | 79% | 57% | 56% | 54% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 28 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 4/5 | 5/11 | 7/10 | 5/7 | 2/4 | 28/50 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 80% | 45% | 70% | 71% | 50% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 20 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 5/10 | 0/2 | 6/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | 50% | 0% | 86% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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