Matteo Berrettini and Mackenzie Mcdonald will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Tennis Napoli Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.27
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 3.92
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald
This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Berrettini and Mackenzie Mcdonald play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Berrettini won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Auckland back in 2019.
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 6-2 and Taro Daniel 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Daniel (6-2 6-3). During the match, Berrettini scored 63 points vs Daniel’s 44. Matteo was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Berrettini bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Matteo Berrettini was very efficient on serve to win 89% (25/28) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Daniel 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.
Berrettini has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 67% of his matches (279-135). 14-8 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Berrettini has a compiled120-58 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Stuttgart where he overcame Andy Murray in the final 6-4 5-7 6-3 and in London where he defeated Filip Krajinovic in the final 7-5 6-4.
Matteo has an overall 31-11 win-loss record in 2022, 14-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Naples
Berrettini has never competed in this tournament before.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 18-12 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-16 | 10-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 74, Mcdonald got to the semifinal after beating Francesco Passaro 6-3 7-5, Roberto Bautista Agut 6-4 6-4 and Zhizhen Zhang 4-6 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter against Zhang, Mcdonald recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Mcdonald scored 92 points vs Zhang’s 74. Mackenzie was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.
About the serving games, Mcdonald scored 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Mackenzie Mcdonald was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (46/62) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mackenzie broke Zhang 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mcdonald has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Mcdonald has an overall 27-28 win-loss record in 2022, 16-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 68 |
| Pts | 130-91 | 239-182 |
| Total Points | 221 | 421 |
| Winners | 54 | 107 |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% |
Berrettini played 2 matches while Mcdonald competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Mackenzie Mcdonald conceded 1 set while Matteo Berrettini hasn’t dropped a set so far. Berrettini has played 3 set(s) less than Mcdonald (4 vs 7). Therefore, Berrettini played 33 games less than Mcdonald. Berrettini scored 54 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Mackenzie bagged 107 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 63/93 | 139/203 |
| %1st in | 68% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 54/63 | 107/139 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 39/64 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 61% |
Berrettini struck 15 aces (7.5 per match). Mcdonald recorded 19 aces (6.3 per match). Berrettini won 86% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 10 |
| Converted | 7/14 | 10/25 |
| % Converted | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded | 1 | 16 |
| Saved | 1 | 12 |
| % Saved | 100% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Matteo broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Matteo had a solid display on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Mackenzie broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. Mackenzie conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | ||||
| R2 Carballes Baena |
1/4 Daniel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 35 | |
| pts | 67-47 | 63-44 | 130-91 | |
| Total points | 114 | 107 | 221 | |
| Winners | 29 | 25 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 7 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/52 | 28/41 | 63/93 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 25/28 | 54/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 89% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 7/13 | 17/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 54% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/9 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 44% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mcdonald | |||||
| R1 Passaro |
R2 Bautista-Agut |
1/4 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 20 | 27 | 68 | |
| pts | 76-57 | 71-51 | 92-74 | 239-182 | |
| Total points | 133 | 122 | 166 | 421 | |
| Winners | 35 | 26 | 46 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 37% | 50% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 40/60 | 37/57 | 62/86 | 139/203 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 65% | 72% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 35/40 | 26/37 | 46/62 | 107/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 70% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 13/20 | 16/24 | 39/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 65% | 67% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/9 | 3/7 | 10/25 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 44% | 43% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 3/5 | 7/8 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 60% | 88% | 108% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWLW
LWLWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Naples
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Taro DanielDaniel (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo Sonego/Andrea VavassoriSonego/Andrea Vavassori – Tomislav Brkic/Gonzalo EscobarBrkic/Gonzalo Escobar (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Taro DanielDaniel (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
