Sebastian Korda and Dominic Thiem will face off in the semifinal of the European Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.63
Dominic Thiem -> 2.34
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Korda vs. Dominic Thiem
There is no head to head record between Sebastian Korda and Dominic Thiem since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Sebastian Korda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-14 | 8-6 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-10 | 6-4 | 6-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-1 |
Ranked no. 36, Korda reached the semifinal after defeating Marcos Giron 6-3 6-70 6-4, Karen Khachanov 7-5 7-69 and Yoshihito Nishioka 6-0 6-2.
In the quarter, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Nishioka (6-0 6-2). During the match, Korda scored 54 points vs Nishioka’s 23. Korda was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Korda scored 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Sebastian Korda was very effective on serve to win 92% (22/24) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sebastian broke Nishioka 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Korda has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (184-119). 11-3 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Korda has an aggregate34-18 win-loss record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
Korda’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Gijon.
Korda has a composed 33-20 win-loss record in 2022, 11-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Antwerp
Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.
Dominic Thiem
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 4-7 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-30 | 1-5 | 18-15 | 8-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-19 | 2-2 | 8-11 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-9 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-9 | 14-4 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 132, Dominic got to the semifinal after defeating Michael Geerts 6-4 6-0, Francisco Cerundolo 6-1 1-6 7-5 and Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 7-69 7-64.
In the quarter against Hurkacz, Dominic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-69 7-64). During the match Thiem scored 110 points vs Hurkacz’s 109. Thiem was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.
About the serving games, Thiem struck 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Dominic Thiem was pretty effective on serve to win 81% (51/63) of his 1st serve and 60% (26/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dominic has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Austrian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Rennes Challenger.
The Austrian has a compiled 22-17 win-loss record in 2022, 12-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Korda | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 77 |
| Pts | 235-198 | 245-211 |
| Total Points | 433 | 456 |
| Winners | 97 | 116 |
| %Winners | 41% | 47% |
Both Korda and Thiem played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Korda surrendered 1 set, while Dominic Thiem dropped 2 sets. Korda has played 1 set(s) less than Thiem (7 vs 8). Therefore, Korda played 6 games less than Thiem. Sebastian scored 97 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Thiem blasted 116 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Korda | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 4 |
| 1st in | 125/202 | 153/226 |
| %1st in | 62% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 97/125 | 116/153 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 42/77 | 44/73 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 60% |
Korda recorded 24 aces (8 per match). Thiem managed to score 12 aces (4 per match). Korda won 78% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Thiem won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Korda | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 8 |
| Converted | 12/16 | 8/15 |
| % Converted | 75% | 53% |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 |
| Saved | 4 | 5 |
| % Saved | 57% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Sebastian broke his opponents 12 times with a 75% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Dominic broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Dominic conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Korda | |||||
| R1 Giron |
R2 Khachanov |
1/4 Nishioka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-70 6-4 | 7-5 7-69 | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 25 | 14 | 71 | |
| pts | 97-98 | 84-77 | 54-23 | 235-198 | |
| Total points | 195 | 161 | 77 | 433 | |
| Winners | 37 | 38 | 22 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 50/88 | 51/78 | 24/36 | 125/202 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 65% | 67% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 38/51 | 22/24 | 97/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 75% | 92% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/38 | 13/27 | 7/12 | 42/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 48% | 58% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/3 | 5/6 | 12/16 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 100% | 83% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | – | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Thiem | |||||
| R1 Geerts |
R2 Cerundolo |
1/4 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 6-1 1-6 7-5 | 3-6 7-69 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 26 | 35 | 77 | |
| pts | 55-29 | 80-73 | 110-109 | 245-211 | |
| Total points | 84 | 153 | 219 | 456 | |
| Winners | 30 | 35 | 51 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 44% | 46% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/42 | 55/78 | 63/106 | 153/226 | |
| % 1st in | 83% | 71% | 59% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 30/35 | 35/55 | 51/63 | 116/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 64% | 81% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/7 | 15/23 | 26/43 | 44/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 65% | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/8 | 0/2 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 50% | 0% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/5 | 3/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 40% | 75% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWLW
LWLWLLLWLW Tennis Scores in Antwerp
- Rohan Bopanna/Matwe MiddelkoopBopanna/Matwe Middelkoop – Sander Arends/David PelArends/David Pel (7-66 2-6 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Richard GasquetGasquet – David GoffinGoffin (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel EvansEvans – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
