Jessica Pegula and Sloane Stephens will fight against each other in the quarter of the Guadalajara Open Akron for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on Akron Tennis Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.58
Sloane Stephens -> 2.45

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Sloane Stephens

This will be the 3rd time that Jessica Pegula and Sloane Stephens fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Pegula won 6-1 6-4 in the 2nd round in Miami back in March 2022.

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 5 (career-high), the American reached the quarter after defeating Elena Rybakina 2-6 6-3 7-68 and Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-4 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Andreescu (6-4 6-4). During the match, Pegula scored 69 points vs Andreescu’s 65. Pegula was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pegula blasted 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Pegula put 47% of her first serves in, winning 71% (20/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Andreescu 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jessica has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 51% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (262-163). 25-12 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has an overall 145-81 record in the last years on hard.

Jessica’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Madrid.

Pegula has a compiled 39-18 win-loss record in 2022, 25-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Guadalajara

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Guadalajara
Pegula's Record

Sloane Stephens

Sloane Stephens

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
897
High
3
LLLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 0-6 0-6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 19-22 8-13 9-6 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 25-20 11-14 13-5 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 18-17 13-9 5-6 0-0 0-2 0-0
2021 20-19 6-11 11-6 1-1 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 50, Sloane reached the quarter after defeating Linda Fruhvirtova 6-0 6-2, Belinda Bencic 6-4 6-4 and Caroline Garcia 7-66 7-5.

In the 3rd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Garcia (7-66 7-5). During the match Stephens scored 81 points vs Garcia’s 71. Sloane was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Stephens struck 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Sloane Stephens was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (31/41) of her 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Sloane broke Garcia 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Guadalajara where she overcame Marie Bouzkova in the final 7-5 1-6 6-2.

Stephens has a composed 18-16 win-loss record in 2022, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Guadalajara
Stephens's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pegula
S.Stephens
3h:39
3h:39
Time on court​
4h:04
4h:04
1h:34
1h:34
Last match​
1h:42
1h:42
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
50
50
Games Played​
59
59
5
5
Set played​​
6
6
163
163
Total points​
200
200
81.5
81.5
Avg point​
66.7
66.7
56
56
Winners
91
91
28
28
Avg Winners​
30.3
30.3
34%
34%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
9
9
3
3
Avg Aces
3
3
11
11
Double Faults
8
8
!
5.5
5.5
Avg Double Faults
2.7
2.7
56/73
56/73
1st won total​
91/119
91/119
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
38/78
38/78
2nd won total​
28/55
28/55
49%
49%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
7/22
7/22
BP won
12/18
12/18
3.5/11
3.5/11
Avg BP won
4/6
4/6
32%
32%
Won
!
67%
67%
10
10
Conceded
8
8
5
5
Avg Conceded
2.7
2.7
6
6
Broken
4
4
3
3
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
4
4
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Stephens
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 5 6
Tot Games 50 59
Pts 163-159 200-151
Total Points 322 351
Winners 56 91
%Winners 34% 46%

Pegula played 2 matches while Stephens competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula surrendered 1 set while Sloane Stephens hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pegula has played 1 set(s) less than Stephens (5 vs 6). Therefore, Pegula played 9 games less than Stephens. Jessica scored 56 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Sloane managed to score 91 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Stephens
Aces 6 9
Avg per match 3 3
1st in 73/151 119/174
%1st in 48% 68%
1st pts 56/73 91/119
%1st pts 77% 76%
2nd pts 38/78 28/55
%2nd pts 49% 51%

Pegula recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Stephens struck 9 aces (3 per match). Pegula won 77% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Stephens won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Stephens
Won 7 12
Converted 7/22 12/18
% Converted 32% 67%
Conceded 10 8
Saved 4 4
% Saved 40% 50%
Times Broken 6 4

Pegula broke her opponents 7 times with a 32% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 12 times with a 67% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R2
Rybakina
R3
Andreescu
Total
Score 2-6 6-3 7-68 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 30 20 50
pts 94-94 69-65 163-159
Total points 188 134 322
Winners 36 20 56
%Winners 38% 29% 34%
SERVE
Aces 2 4 6
Double Faults 7 4 11
1st in 45/91 28/60 73/151
% 1st in 49% 47% 48%
1st pts 36/45 20/28 56/73
% 1st pts 80% 71% 77%
2nd pts 23/46 15/32 38/78
% 2nd pts 50% 47% 49%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/8 4/14 7/22
Converted % 38% 29% 32%
Conceded 8 2 10
Saved 4/8 0/2 4
Saved % 50% 0% 25%
Times Broken 4 2 6
Stephens
R1
Fruhvirtova
R2
Bencic
R3
Garcia
Total
Score 6-0 6-2 6-4 6-4 7-66 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 14 20 25 59
pts 52-22 67-58 81-71 200-151
Total points 74 125 152 351
Winners 25 35 31 91
%Winners 48% 52% 38% 46%
SERVE
Aces 2 4 3 9
Double Faults 1 4 3 8
1st in 32/40 46/67 41/67 119/174
% 1st in 80% 69% 61% 68%
1st pts 25/32 35/46 31/41 91/119
% 1st pts 78% 76% 76% 76%
2nd pts 5/8 7/21 16/26 28/55
% 2nd pts 63% 33% 62% 51%
Breaks
Won 5 4 3 12
Converted 5/5 4/7 3/6 12/18
Converted % 100% 57% 50% 67%
Conceded 1 5 2 8
Saved 1/1 3/5 0/2 4
Saved % 100% 60% 0% 80%
Times Broken 0 2 2 4

Tennis Scores in Guadalajara

Upcoming matches in the draw