Denis Shapovalov and Alex De Minaur will face off in the quarter of the Stockholm Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.83
Denis Shapovalov -> 2.02
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 5th time that Denis Shapovalov and Alex De Minaur play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, De Minaur won 7-5 7-6(4) in the 1st round in Montreal back in August 2022.
Highlights Alex De Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov – Montreal 09-August-2022
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 14-11 | 2-5 | 9-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, the Canadian got to the quarter after beating Antoine Bellier 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Denis had a good straight sets win against Bellier (6-4 7-5). During the match, Shapovalov scored 64 points vs Bellier’s 53. Denis was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shapovalov recorded 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Denis Shapovalov was quite efficient on serve to win 86% (32/37) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Shapovalov broke Bellier twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Shapovalov has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (257-164). 1-1 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shapovalov has a composed55-37 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
Denis’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Seoul.
The Canadian has a compiled 28-21 win-loss record in 2022, 1-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stockholm
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, De Minaur got to the quarter after defeating Benjamin Bonzi 6-3 6-1 and Jeff Wolf 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Wolf (6-4 6-2). During the match De Minaur scored 65 points vs Wolf’s 46. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, De Minaur struck 4 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alex De Minaur lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 68% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Wolf 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
De Minaur hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Atlanta where he defeated Jenson Brooksby in the final 6-3 6-3.
Alex has an aggregate 42-21 win-loss record in 2022, 7-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stockholm
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 34 |
| Pts | 64-53 | 126-88 |
| Total Points | 117 | 214 |
| Winners | 32 | 51 |
| %Winners | 50% | 40% |
Shapovalov played 1 match while De Minaur competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Shapovalov has played 2 set(s) less than De Minaur (2 vs 4). Therefore, Shapovalov played 12 games less than De Minaur. Denis scored 32 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian blasted 51 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 3 |
| 1st in | 37/54 | 68/105 |
| %1st in | 69% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 32/37 | 51/68 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 22/37 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 59% |
Shapovalov managed to score 8 aces . De Minaur bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Shapovalov won 86% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 8 |
| Converted | 2/4 | 8/13 |
| % Converted | 50% | 62% |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 |
| Saved | 0 | 4 |
| % Saved | 0% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Canadian broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Shapovalov quite strong on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Alex broke his opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shapovalov | |||
| R2 Bellier | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 64-53 | 64-53 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/54 | 37/54 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 32/37 | 32/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 12/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| De Minaur | ||||
| R1 Bonzi | R2 Wolf | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 | 34 | |
| pts | 61-42 | 65-46 | 126-88 | |
| Total points | 103 | 111 | 214 | |
| Winners | 23 | 28 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/46 | 40/59 | 68/105 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 68% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 28/40 | 51/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 70% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 11/19 | 22/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 58% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/5 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 80% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Stockholm
- Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara – Roman Jebavy/Adam PavlasekJebavy/Adam Pavlasek (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Santiago Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni – Cameron Norrie/Tommy PaulNorrie/Tommy Paul (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Mikael YmerYmer (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-3) – H2H and prediction