Caroline Garcia and Sloane Stephens will play each other in the 3rd round of the Guadalajara Open Akron for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:30 pm on Grandstand Caliente. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Caroline Garcia who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Caroline Garcia is the pick to win this match.
Caroline Garcia -> 1.76
Sloane Stephens -> 2.11

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Prediction and head to head Caroline Garcia vs. Sloane Stephens

This will be the 6th time that Caroline Garcia and Sloane Stephens fight against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Garcia (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Garcia won 7-6(7) 4-6 6-4 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2021.

Caroline Garcia

Caroline Garcia

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
306
High
4
LLWLLWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 4-9 4-8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 17-17 10-10 6-6 0-0 1-1 0-0
2023 40-27 23-17 4-4 7-3 6-3 0-0
2022 46-21 21-13 11-4 4-1 10-3 0-0
2021 27-26 15-14 8-6 3-3 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 10, the French player reached the 3rd round after beating Rebecca Marino 6-72 6-3 7-65.

In the 2nd round against Marino, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 6-3 7-65). During the match, Garcia scored 118 points vs Marino’s 114. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Talking about the service games, Garcia struck 13 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Caroline Garcia was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (48/61) of her 1st serve and 55% (29/53) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Caroline broke Marino twice after converting 20% of her break points (2/10).

Garcia has good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (323-233). 17-11 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Garcia has an overall 157-131 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Bad Homburg where she overcame Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 and in Warsaw where she defeated Ana Bogdan in the final 6-4 6-1 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Petra Kvitova in the final 6-2 6-4.

Garcia has a compiled 41-19 win-loss record in 2022, 17-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Guadalajara

The French player has never competed in this tournament before.

Guadalajara
Garcia's Record

Sloane Stephens

Sloane Stephens

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
897
High
3
LLLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 0-6 0-6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 19-22 8-13 9-6 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 25-20 11-14 13-5 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 18-17 13-9 5-6 0-0 0-2 0-0
2021 20-19 6-11 11-6 1-1 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 50, the American got to the 3rd round after beating Linda Fruhvirtova 6-0 6-2 and Belinda Bencic 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Bencic (6-4 6-4). During the match Stephens scored 67 points vs Bencic’s 58. Stephens was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about serving, Stephens struck 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Sloane Stephens lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Stephens put 69% of her first serves in, winning 76% (35/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (7/21) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Bencic 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 60% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Guadalajara where she beat Marie Bouzkova in the final 7-5 1-6 6-2.

Sloane has an aggregate 17-16 win-loss record in 2022, 12-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Guadalajara
Stephens's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Garcia
S.Stephens
2h:31
2h:31
Time on court​
2h:22
2h:22
!
2h:31
2h:31
Last match​
1h:29
1h:29
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
35
35
Games Played​
34
34
3
3
Set played​​
4
4
118
118
Total points​
119
119
118
118
Avg point​
59.5
59.5
48
48
Winners
60
60
48
48
Avg Winners​
30
30
41%
41%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
6
6
!
13
13
Avg Aces
3
3
5
5
Double Faults
5
5
5
5
Avg Double Faults
2.5
2.5
48/61
48/61
1st won total​
60/78
60/78
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
29/53
29/53
2nd won total​
12/29
12/29
55%
55%
2nd won %
41%
41%
-- Break Points --
2/10
2/10
BP won
9/12
9/12
2/10
2/10
Avg BP won
4.5/6
4.5/6
!
20%
20%
Won
!
75%
75%
4
4
Conceded
6
6
4
4
Avg Conceded
3
3
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
3
3
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Garcia Stephens
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 4
Tot Games 35 34
Pts 118-114 119-80
Total Points 232 199
Winners 48 60
%Winners 41% 50%

Garcia played 1 match while Stephens competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Caroline Garcia conceded 1 set while Sloane Stephens hasn’t conceded a set so far. Garcia has played 1 set(s) less than Stephens (3 vs 4). However, it’s interesting to notice that Garcia played 1 game more than Stephens. Caroline scored 48 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Stephens bagged 60 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Garcia Stephens
Aces 13 6
Avg per match 13 3
1st in 61/114 78/107
%1st in 54% 73%
1st pts 48/61 60/78
%1st pts 79% 77%
2nd pts 29/53 12/29
%2nd pts 55% 41%

Garcia blasted 13 aces . Stephens blasted 6 aces (3 per match). Garcia won 79% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Stephens won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Garcia Stephens
Won 2 9
Converted 2/10 9/12
% Converted 20% 75%
Conceded 4 6
Saved 3 4
% Saved 75% 67%
Times Broken 1 2

Garcia broke her opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. Garcia dropped her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Stephens broke her opponents 9 times with a 75% conversion rate. Sloane conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Garcia
R2
Marino
Total
Score 6-72 6-3 7-65
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 35 35
pts 118-114 118-114
Total points 232 232
Winners 48 48
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 13 13
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 61/114 61/114
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 48/61 48/61
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 29/53 29/53
% 2nd pts 55% 55%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/10 2/10
Converted % 20% 20%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 3/4 3
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 1 1
Stephens
R1
Fruhvirtova
R2
Bencic
Total
Score 6-0 6-2 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 14 20 34
pts 52-22 67-58 119-80
Total points 74 125 199
Winners 25 35 60
%Winners 48% 52% 50%
SERVE
Aces 2 4 6
Double Faults 1 4 5
1st in 32/40 46/67 78/107
% 1st in 80% 69% 73%
1st pts 25/32 35/46 60/78
% 1st pts 78% 76% 77%
2nd pts 5/8 7/21 12/29
% 2nd pts 63% 33% 41%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/5 4/7 9/12
Converted % 100% 57% 75%
Conceded 1 5 6
Saved 1/1 3/5 4
Saved % 100% 60% 160%
Times Broken 0 2 2

Tennis Scores in Guadalajara

Upcoming matches in the draw