Madison Keys and Ajla Tomljanovic will face off in the 2nd round of the Guadalajara Open Akron for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on Grandstand Caliente. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.
Madison Keys -> 1.61
Ajla Tomljanovic -> 2.30
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Ajla Tomljanovic
This will be the 4th time that Madison Keys and Ajla Tomljanovic face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played, Keys won 6-4 6-2 in the 1st round in London back in 2018.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-15 | 24-6 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, the American reached the 2nd round after beating Magda Linette 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Madison had a good straight sets win against Linette (6-3 6-3). During the match, Keys scored 75 points vs Linette’s 58. Madison was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys managed to score 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 63% of her first serves in, winning 63% (22/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. Madison broke Linette 6 times after converting 35% of her break points (6/17).
Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (265-156). 24-11 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Keys has an overall 159-93 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Alison Riske in the final 6-1 6-2.
The American has an overall 29-18 win-loss record in 2022, 24-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Guadalajara
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Ajla Tomljanovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-26 | 14-15 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-20 | 12-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 7-3 | 2-2 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-27 | 19-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 11-12 | 10-6 | 3-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, Tomljanovic got to the 2nd round after defeating Fernanda Contreras Gomez 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Contreras Gomez (6-2 6-1). During the match Tomljanovic scored 57 points vs Contreras Gomez’s 34. Ajla was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Tomljanovic wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Ajla Tomljanovic conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 76% of her first serves in, win 87% (27/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (5/10) on the 2nd serve. Ajla broke Contreras Gomez 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Tomljanovic has a compiled 36-24 win-loss record in 2022, 19-13 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 15 |
| Pts | 75-58 | 57-34 |
| Total Points | 133 | 91 |
| Winners | 22 | 27 |
| %Winners | 29% | 47% |
Both Keys and Tomljanovic played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Keys and Tomljanovic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Keys played 3 games more than Tomljanovic. Madison scored 22 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Tomljanovic managed to score 27 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 0 |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 31/41 |
| %1st in | 63% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 22/35 | 27/31 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 87% |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 5/10 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 50% |
Keys managed to score 5 aces . Tomljanovic didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Keys won 63% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Tomljanovic won 87% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 4 |
| Converted | 6/17 | 4/12 |
| % Converted | 35% | 33% |
| Conceded | 8 | 0 |
| Saved | 5 | 0 |
| % Saved | 63% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Madison broke her opponent 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. The American surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Tomljanovic broke her opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Australian was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Keys | |||
| R1 Linette | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 75-58 | 75-58 | |
| Total points | 133 | 133 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 35/56 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 22/35 | 22/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/17 | 6/17 | |
| Converted % | 35% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Tomljanovic | |||
| R1 Contreras Gomez | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 57-34 | 57-34 | |
| Total points | 91 | 91 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 31/41 | 31/41 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 27/31 | 27/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Guadalajara
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Lin ZhuZhu (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Petra KvitovaKvitova (3-6 6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel YooYoo – Yunseong ChungChung (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Cheong-Eui KimKim – Ku Keon KangKeon Kang (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Madison KeysKeys (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Sloane StephensStephens (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca MarinoMarino – Caroline GarciaGarcia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Donna VekicVekic (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Eugenie BouchardBouchard – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Magdalena FrechFrech (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction