H2H, PREDICTION Madison Keys vs Ajla Tomljanovic | Guadalajara odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Guadalajara. Keys and Tomljanovic will square off in the 2nd round of the Guadalajara Open Akron. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Ajla Tomljanovic

Madison Keys and Ajla Tomljanovic will face off in the 2nd round of the Guadalajara Open Akron for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on Grandstand Caliente. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.61
Ajla Tomljanovic -> 2.30

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Ajla Tomljanovic

This will be the 4th time that Madison Keys and Ajla Tomljanovic face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Keys won 6-4 6-2 in the 1st round in London back in 2018.

Madison Keys

Madison Keys
Madison Keys

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
7
High
5
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-15 24-6 9-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 15, the American reached the 2nd round after beating Magda Linette 6-3 6-3.

In the 1st round, Madison had a good straight sets win against Linette (6-3 6-3). During the match, Keys scored 75 points vs Linette’s 58. Madison was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Keys managed to score 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 63% of her first serves in, winning 63% (22/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. Madison broke Linette 6 times after converting 35% of her break points (6/17).

Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (265-156). 24-11 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Keys has an overall 159-93 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Alison Riske in the final 6-1 6-2.

The American has an overall 29-18 win-loss record in 2022, 24-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Guadalajara

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Keys
Guadalajara
Keys's Record

Ajla Tomljanovic

Ajla Tomljanovic
Ajla Tomljanovic

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
80
High
32
LWLWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-26 14-15 8-6 0-1 5-4 0-0
2024 22-20 12-12 2-4 0-1 8-3 0-0
2023 7-3 2-2 5-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 38-27 19-14 7-6 5-4 7-3 0-0
2021 30-24 11-12 10-6 3-3 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 35, Tomljanovic got to the 2nd round after defeating Fernanda Contreras Gomez 6-2 6-1.

In the 1st round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Contreras Gomez (6-2 6-1). During the match Tomljanovic scored 57 points vs Contreras Gomez’s 34. Ajla was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Tomljanovic wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Ajla Tomljanovic conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 76% of her first serves in, win 87% (27/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (5/10) on the 2nd serve. Ajla broke Contreras Gomez 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).

Tomljanovic has a compiled 36-24 win-loss record in 2022, 19-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Tomljanovic
Guadalajara
Tomljanovic's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Keys
A.Tomljanovic
1h:28
1h:28
Time on court​
1h:02
1h:02
1h:28
1h:28
Last match​
1h:02
1h:02
1
1
Match played
1
1
18
18
Games Played​
15
15
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
75
75
Total points​
57
57
75
75
Avg point​
57
57
22
22
Winners
27
27
22
22
Avg Winners​
27
27
29%
29%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
0
0
5
5
Avg Aces
0
0
5
5
Double Faults
3
3
5
5
Avg Double Faults
3
3
22/35
22/35
1st won total​
27/31
27/31
63%
63%
1st won %
!
87%
87%
11/21
11/21
2nd won total​
5/10
5/10
52%
52%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
6/17
6/17
BP won
4/12
4/12
6/17
6/17
Avg BP won
4/12
4/12
35%
35%
Won
33%
33%
8
8
Conceded
0
0
8
8
Avg Conceded
0
0
3
3
Broken
0
0
3
3
Avg Broken
!
0
0
5
5
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Keys Tomljanovic
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 15
Pts 75-58 57-34
Total Points 133 91
Winners 22 27
%Winners 29% 47%

Both Keys and Tomljanovic played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Keys and Tomljanovic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Keys played 3 games more than Tomljanovic. Madison scored 22 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Tomljanovic managed to score 27 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Keys Tomljanovic
Aces 5 0
Avg per match 5 0
1st in 35/56 31/41
%1st in 63% 76%
1st pts 22/35 27/31
%1st pts 63% 87%
2nd pts 11/21 5/10
%2nd pts 52% 50%

Keys managed to score 5 aces . Tomljanovic didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Keys won 63% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Tomljanovic won 87% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Keys Tomljanovic
Won 6 4
Converted 6/17 4/12
% Converted 35% 33%
Conceded 8 0
Saved 5 0
% Saved 63% 0%
Times Broken 3 0

Madison broke her opponent 6 times with a 35% conversion rate. The American surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Tomljanovic broke her opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Australian was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Keys
R1
Linette
Total
Score 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 75-58 75-58
Total points 133 133
Winners 22 22
%Winners 29% 29%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 35/56 35/56
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 22/35 22/35
% 1st pts 63% 63%
2nd pts 11/21 11/21
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/17 6/17
Converted % 35% 35%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 5/8 5
Saved % 63% 63%
Times Broken 3 3
Tomljanovic
R1
Contreras Gomez
Total
Score 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 15
pts 57-34 57-34
Total points 91 91
Winners 27 27
%Winners 47% 47%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 31/41 31/41
% 1st in 76% 76%
1st pts 27/31 27/31
% 1st pts 87% 87%
2nd pts 5/10 5/10
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/12
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Keys
LLLLWWLWWW
Tomljanovic
LWLWLWWWWL
2025 2024 2023
37 - 15
27 - 26
24-6
Hard
14-15
9-4
Clay
8-6
4-3
Grass
5-4

Tennis Scores in Guadalajara

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