H2H, PREDICTION Matteo Arnaldi vs Mattia Bellucci | St. Tropez Challenger odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. St. Tropez Challenger. Arnaldi and Bellucci will play each other in the final of the St. Tropez Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Mattia Bellucci

Matteo Arnaldi and Mattia Bellucci will face off in the final of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTRAL TAG HEUER. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.66
Mattia Bellucci -> 2.17

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

See Updated Draw
Bonus
Rebelbetting

Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Mattia Bellucci

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Mattia Bellucci since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
38
High
30
LLLWLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0
2020 17-9 16-4 0-1 1-3 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 154 (career-high), Arnaldi reached the final after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-1 6-2, Harold Mayot 6-2 6-3, Gregoire Barrere 6-4 6-0 and Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Humbert (6-4 6-3). During the match, Arnaldi scored 61 points vs Humbert’s 49. Arnaldi was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Arnaldi bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve once. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 51% of his first serves in, winning 85% (23/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. Arnaldi broke Humbert 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 60% of the points he played.

Arnaldi has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 64% of his matches (133-75). 9-2 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Arnaldi has a composed36-12 match record in the last 5 years on hard.

The Italian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Francavilla Challenger and the San Marino Challenger.

The Italian has a compiled 47-28 win-loss record in 2022, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger

Matteo has never competed in this tournament before.

Arnaldi
St. Tropez Challenger
Arnaldi's Record

Mattia Bellucci

Mattia Bellucci
Mattia Bellucci

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
104
High
101
WLWWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 49-30 31-16 5-2 7-8 6-4 0-0
2023 33-34 22-19 2-9 4-3 5-3 0-0
2022 66-23 30-4 25-12 11-7 0-0 0-0
2021 39-18 29-10 5-3 5-4 0-1 0-0
2020 15-6 13-3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2-1

Ranked no. 275, Mattia reached the final after defeating Alexandre Aubriot 6-2 6-2, Elliot Benchetrit 7-5 6-4, Louis Wessels 6-4 7-66, Hugo Grenier 6-4 7-65, Salvatore Caruso 6-3 6-1 and Jurij Rodionov 7-62 2-6 6-2.

In the semifinal, Bellucci defeated Rodionov (7-62 2-6 6-2). During the match Bellucci scored 96 points vs Rodionov’s 83. Mattia was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

About the serving games, Bellucci scored 6 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Mattia Bellucci lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Bellucci put 71% of his first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Rodionov 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mattia started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir,M15 Poitiers,M25 Grasse and M25 Klosters.

Mattia has an overall 59-20 win-loss record in 2022, 29-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Bellucci
St. Tropez Challenger
Bellucci's Record
Bonus
Rebelbetting

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Arnaldi
M.Bellucci
4h:59
4h:59
Time on court​
!
9h:39
9h:39
1h:28
1h:28
Last match​
!
2h:08
2h:08
4
4
Match played
!
6
6
67
67
Games Played​
129
129
8
8
Set played​​
13
13
247
247
Total points​
454
454
61.8
61.8
Avg point​
75.7
75.7
91
91
Winners
176
176
22.8
22.8
Avg Winners​
29.3
29.3
37%
37%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
37
37
4.3
4.3
Avg Aces
6.2
6.2
12
12
Double Faults
13
13
3
3
Avg Double Faults
2.2
2.2
91/108
91/108
1st won total​
176/236
176/236
!
84%
84%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
51/97
51/97
2nd won total​
81/140
81/140
53%
53%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
17/27
17/27
BP won
22/50
22/50
4.3/6.8
4.3/6.8
Avg BP won
3.7/8.3
3.7/8.3
!
63%
63%
Won
44%
44%
9
9
Conceded
28
28
2.3
2.3
Avg Conceded
4.7
4.7
2
2
Broken
10
10
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
7
7
Saved
18
18

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Arnaldi Bellucci
Match played 4 6
Tot Set 8 13
Tot Games 67 129
Pts 247-163 454-357
Total Points 410 811
Winners 91 176
%Winners 37% 39%

Arnaldi played 4 matches while Bellucci competed in 6 matches. Bellucci started his run from the qualifications while Arnaldi had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Mattia Bellucci surrendered 1 set while Matteo Arnaldi hasn’t lost a set so far. Arnaldi has played 5 set(s) less than Bellucci (8 vs 13). Therefore, Arnaldi played 62 games less than Bellucci. Arnaldi scored 91 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Mattia struck 176 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Arnaldi Bellucci
Aces 17 37
Avg per match 4.3 6.2
1st in 108/205 236/376
%1st in 53% 63%
1st pts 91/108 176/236
%1st pts 84% 75%
2nd pts 51/97 81/140
%2nd pts 53% 58%

Arnaldi managed to score 17 aces (4.3 per match). Bellucci recorded 37 aces (6.2 per match). Arnaldi won 84% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Bellucci won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Arnaldi Bellucci
Won 17 22
Converted 17/27 22/50
% Converted 63% 44%
Conceded 9 28
Saved 7 18
% Saved 78% 64%
Times Broken 2 10

Matteo broke his opponents 17 times with a 63% conversion rate. Matteo lost his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Mattia broke his opponents 22 times with a 44% conversion rate. Mattia conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Arnaldi
R1
Shevchenko
R2
Mayot
1/4
Barrere
1/2
Humbert
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-2 6-3 6-4 6-0 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 15 17 16 19 67
pts 57-30 73-51 56-33 61-49 247-163
Total points 87 124 89 110 410
Winners 21 23 24 23 91
%Winners 37% 32% 43% 38% 37%
SERVE
Aces 4 7 4 2 17
Double Faults 4 4 3 1 12
1st in 25/43 28/63 28/46 27/53 108/205
% 1st in 58% 44% 61% 51% 53%
1st pts 21/25 23/28 24/28 23/27 91/108
% 1st pts 84% 82% 86% 85% 84%
2nd pts 10/18 19/35 9/18 13/26 51/97
% 2nd pts 56% 54% 50% 50% 53%
Breaks
Won 5 4 4 4 17
Converted 5/7 4/7 4/6 4/7 17/27
Converted % 71% 57% 67% 57% 63%
Conceded 2 4 2 1 9
Saved 2/2 3/4 2/2 0/1 7
Saved % 100% 75% 100% 0% 69%
Times Broken 0 1 0 1 2
Bellucci
Q1
Aubriot
Q3
Benchetrit
R1
Wessels
R2
Grenier
1/4
Caruso
1/2
Rodionov
Total
Score 6-2 6-2 7-5 6-4 6-4 7-66 6-4 7-65 6-3 6-1 7-62 2-6 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 2 3 13
Tot Games 16 22 23 23 16 29 129
pts 57-35 81-67 83-69 77-67 60-36 96-83 454-357
Total points 92 148 152 144 96 179 811
Winners 23 30 33 30 22 38 176
%Winners 40% 37% 40% 39% 37% 40% 39%
SERVE
Aces 4 5 8 5 9 6 37
Double Faults 2 4 2 2 3 0 13
1st in 27/46 38/69 42/67 44/69 28/45 57/80 236/376
% 1st in 59% 55% 63% 64% 62% 71% 63%
1st pts 23/27 30/38 33/42 30/44 22/28 38/57 176/236
% 1st pts 85% 79% 79% 68% 79% 67% 75%
2nd pts 12/19 14/31 14/25 14/25 12/17 15/23 81/140
% 2nd pts 63% 45% 56% 56% 71% 65% 58%
Breaks
Won 4 4 2 4 4 4 22
Converted 4/9 4/8 2/10 4/6 4/7 4/10 22/50
Converted % 44% 50% 20% 67% 57% 40% 44%
Conceded 3 4 3 6 4 8 28
Saved 3/3 2/4 2/3 3/6 4/4 4/8 18
Saved % 100% 50% 67% 50% 100% 50% 104%
Times Broken 0 2 1 3 0 4 10

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Arnaldi
LLLWLWLWWL
Bellucci
WLWWWWLWLW
2024 2023 2022
28 - 26
49 - 30
17-13
Hard
31-16
0-2
I Hard
7-8
10-9
Clay
5-2
1-2
Grass
6-4
See Updated Draw
Rebelbetting
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw