Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula will clash against each other in the semifinal of the San Diego Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Stadium Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.42
Jessica Pegula -> 2.96

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Jessica Pegula

This will be the 5th time that Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Swiatek won 6-3 7-6(4) in the quarter in at the U.S. Open back in September 2022.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula – U.S. Open 07-September-2022

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0

Currently world no. 1 the Pole reached the semifinal after defeating Qinwen Zheng 6-4 4-6 6-1 and Cori Gauff 6-0 6-3.

In the quarter, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-0 6-3). During the match, Swiatek scored 56 points vs Gauff’s 35. The Pole was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Swiatek couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 72% of her first serves in, winning 81% (25/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Gauff 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Pole has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 79% of her matches (212-55). 37-5 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a compiled86-28 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Doha where she overcame Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-2 6-0 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-1 and in Miami where she beat Naomi Osaka in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Rome where she defeated Ons Jabeur in the final 6-2 6-2 and at the French Open where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-1 6-3 and at the U.S. Open where she defeated Ons Jabeur in the final 6-2 7-6(5).

The Pole has a composed 62-8 win-loss record in 2022, 37-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in San Diego

Iga has never competed in this tournament before.

San Diego
Swiatek's Record

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 6, Pegula got to the semifinal after beating Coco Vandeweghe 6-3 6-1

and Madison Keys 6-4 7-5.

In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Keys (6-4 7-5). During the match Pegula scored 78 points vs Keys’s 70. Jessica was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Pegula scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 61% of her first serves in, winning 77% (36/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. Pegula broke Keys 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Madrid.

The American has an aggregate 37-17 win-loss record in 2022, 23-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

San Diego
Pegula's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
J.Pegula
3h:23
3h:23
Time on court​
2h:42
2h:42
1h:05
1h:05
Last match​
1h:33
1h:33
2
2
Match played
2
2
42
42
Games Played​
38
38
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
150
150
Total points​
140
140
75
75
Avg point​
70
70
60
60
Winners
57
57
30
30
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
40%
40%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
3
3
1
1
Avg Aces
1.5
1.5
3
3
Double Faults
4
4
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
60/78
60/78
1st won total​
57/74
57/74
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
25/42
25/42
2nd won total​
26/51
26/51
60%
60%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
9/21
9/21
BP won
8/22
8/22
4.5/10.5
4.5/10.5
Avg BP won
4/11
4/11
43%
43%
Won
36%
36%
7
7
Conceded
9
9
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
4.5
4.5
1
1
Broken
2
2
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
1
1
6
6
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Pegula
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 42 38
Pts 150-114 140-111
Total Points 264 251
Winners 60 57
%Winners 40% 41%

Both Swiatek and Pegula played 2 matches. At the moment, Iga Swiatek dropped 1 set while Jessica Pegula hasn’t conceded a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set more than Pegula (5 vs 4). Therefore, Swiatek played 4 games more than Pegula. Iga scored 60 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Pegula bagged 57 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Pegula
Aces 2 3
Avg per match 1 1.5
1st in 78/120 74/125
%1st in 65% 59%
1st pts 60/78 57/74
%1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 25/42 26/51
%2nd pts 60% 51%

Swiatek made 2 aces (1 per match). Pegula made 3 aces (1.5 per match). Swiatek won 77% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 77% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Pegula
Won 9 8
Converted 9/21 8/22
% Converted 43% 36%
Conceded 7 9
Saved 6 7
% Saved 86% 78%
Times Broken 1 2

Swiatek broke her opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Iga dropped her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded. Jessica broke her opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve twice and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R2
Zheng
1/4
Gauff
Total
Score 6-4 4-6 6-1 6-0 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 27 15 42
pts 94-79 56-35 150-114
Total points 173 91 264
Winners 35 25 60
%Winners 37% 45% 40%
SERVE
Aces 2 0 2
Double Faults 2 1 3
1st in 47/77 31/43 78/120
% 1st in 61% 72% 65%
1st pts 35/47 25/31 60/78
% 1st pts 74% 81% 77%
2nd pts 19/30 6/12 25/42
% 2nd pts 63% 50% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/12 5/9 9/21
Converted % 33% 56% 43%
Conceded 4 3 7
Saved 3/4 3/3 6
Saved % 75% 100% 88%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Pegula
R2
Vandeweghe
1/4
Keys
Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 22 38
pts 62-41 78-70 140-111
Total points 103 148 251
Winners 21 36 57
%Winners 34% 46% 41%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 3
Double Faults 1 3 4
1st in 27/48 47/77 74/125
% 1st in 56% 61% 59%
1st pts 21/27 36/47 57/74
% 1st pts 78% 77% 77%
2nd pts 12/21 14/30 26/51
% 2nd pts 57% 47% 51%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/13 3/9 8/22
Converted % 38% 33% 36%
Conceded 4 5 9
Saved 3/4 4/5 7
Saved % 75% 80% 78%
Times Broken 1 1 2

Tennis Scores in San Diego

Upcoming matches in the draw