Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula will clash against each other in the semifinal of the San Diego Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Stadium Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.42
Jessica Pegula -> 2.96
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Jessica Pegula
This will be the 5th time that Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Swiatek won 6-3 7-6(4) in the quarter in at the U.S. Open back in September 2022.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula – U.S. Open 07-September-2022
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Pole reached the semifinal after defeating Qinwen Zheng 6-4 4-6 6-1 and Cori Gauff 6-0 6-3.
In the quarter, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-0 6-3). During the match, Swiatek scored 56 points vs Gauff’s 35. The Pole was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 72% of her first serves in, winning 81% (25/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Gauff 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 79% of her matches (212-55). 37-5 on hard in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a compiled86-28 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Doha where she overcame Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-2 6-0 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-1 and in Miami where she beat Naomi Osaka in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Rome where she defeated Ons Jabeur in the final 6-2 6-2 and at the French Open where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-1 6-3 and at the U.S. Open where she defeated Ons Jabeur in the final 6-2 7-6(5).
The Pole has a composed 62-8 win-loss record in 2022, 37-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in San Diego
Iga has never competed in this tournament before.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 35-12 | 11-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Pegula got to the semifinal after beating Coco Vandeweghe 6-3 6-1
and Madison Keys 6-4 7-5.In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Keys (6-4 7-5). During the match Pegula scored 78 points vs Keys’s 70. Jessica was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Pegula scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 61% of her first serves in, winning 77% (36/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. Pegula broke Keys 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Madrid.
The American has an aggregate 37-17 win-loss record in 2022, 23-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 38 |
| Pts | 150-114 | 140-111 |
| Total Points | 264 | 251 |
| Winners | 60 | 57 |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% |
Both Swiatek and Pegula played 2 matches. At the moment, Iga Swiatek dropped 1 set while Jessica Pegula hasn’t conceded a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set more than Pegula (5 vs 4). Therefore, Swiatek played 4 games more than Pegula. Iga scored 60 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Pegula bagged 57 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 78/120 | 74/125 |
| %1st in | 65% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 60/78 | 57/74 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 25/42 | 26/51 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 51% |
Swiatek made 2 aces (1 per match). Pegula made 3 aces (1.5 per match). Swiatek won 77% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 77% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/21 | 8/22 |
| % Converted | 43% | 36% |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 |
| Saved | 6 | 7 |
| % Saved | 86% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Swiatek broke her opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Iga dropped her serve once and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded. Jessica broke her opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve twice and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||
| R2 Zheng | 1/4 Gauff | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-1 | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 15 | 42 | |
| pts | 94-79 | 56-35 | 150-114 | |
| Total points | 173 | 91 | 264 | |
| Winners | 35 | 25 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 45% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 47/77 | 31/43 | 78/120 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 72% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 35/47 | 25/31 | 60/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 81% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/30 | 6/12 | 25/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 50% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 5/9 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 56% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Pegula | ||||
| R2 Vandeweghe | 1/4 Keys | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 22 | 38 | |
| pts | 62-41 | 78-70 | 140-111 | |
| Total points | 103 | 148 | 251 | |
| Winners | 21 | 36 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 46% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 27/48 | 47/77 | 74/125 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 61% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 36/47 | 57/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 14/30 | 26/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 47% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 3/9 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 33% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 80% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores in San Diego
- Yusuke WatanukiWatanuki – Yuki MochizukiMochizuki (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Jessica PegulaPegula (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-1) – H2H and prediction