Felix Auger-Aliassime and Lorenzo Musetti will play each other in the semifinal of the Firenze Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 8:30 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Felix Auger-Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.47
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.76

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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This will be the 4^th time that Felix Auger-Aliassime and Lorenzo Musetti fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1

for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played, Musetti won 6-2 7-6(2) in the 2^nd round in Monte carlo back in April 2022.

Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – Monte carlo 13-April-2022

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranked no. 13, the Canadian reached the semifinal after beating Oscar Otte 6-4 6-7² 6-2 and Brandon Nakashima 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (6-3 6-4). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 59 points vs Nakashima’s 51. Felix was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about the service games, Auger-Aliassime made 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 66% of his first serves in, winning 90% (35/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 30% (6/20) on the 2nd serve. Felix broke Nakashima 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Auger-Aliassime has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Auger-Aliassime has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (266-156). 13-4 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Auger-Aliassime has a compiled50-30 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 6-2.

Auger-Aliassime has a composed 42-24 win-loss record in 2022, 13-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Florence

Felix has never competed in this tournament before.

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 28, Musetti got to the semifinal after beating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-3 6-0 and Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (6-3 6-2). During the match Musetti scored 62 points vs Mcdonald’s 38. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Musetti fired 3 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was exceptionally effective on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 70% (7/10) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Musetti broke Mcdonald 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 64% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Hamburg where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 6-4.

The Italian has an aggregate 36-23 win-loss record in 2022, 8-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Auger-Aliassime	Musetti
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	4
Tot Games	50	32
Pts	154-141	121-68
Total Points	295	189
Winners	78	49
%Winners	51%	40%

Both Auger-Aliassime and Musetti played 2 matches. At the moment, Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded 1 set while Lorenzo Musetti hasn’t dropped a set so far. Auger-Aliassime has played 1 set more than Musetti (5 vs 4). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 18 games more than Musetti. Auger-Aliassime scored 78 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo struck 49 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Auger-Aliassime	Musetti
Aces	20	12
Avg per match	10	6
1st in	100/153	62/88
%1st in	65%	70%
1st pts	78/100	49/62
%1st pts	78%	79%
2nd pts	25/53	19/26
%2nd pts	47%	73%

Auger-Aliassime struck 20 aces (10 per match). Musetti bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Auger-Aliassime	Musetti
Won	8	8
Converted	8/15	8/16
% Converted	53%	50%
Conceded	9	5
Saved	6	4
% Saved	67%	80%
Times Broken	3	1

The Canadian broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Canadian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Auger-Aliassime
	R2 Otte	1/4 Nakashima	Total
Score	6-4 6-72 6-2	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	31	19	50
pts	95-90	59-51	154-141
Total points	185	110	295
Winners	43	35	78
%Winners	45%	59%	51%
SERVE
Aces	13	7	20
Double Faults	2	1	3
1st in	61/94	39/59	100/153
% 1st in	65%	66%	65%
1st pts	43/61	35/39	78/100
% 1st pts	70%	90%	78%
2nd pts	19/33	6/20	25/53
% 2nd pts	58%	30%	47%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/10	3/5	8/15
Converted %	50%	60%	53%
Conceded	6	3	9
Saved	4/6	2/3	6
Saved %	67%	67%	67%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Musetti
	R2 Zapata Miralles	1/4 Mcdonald	Total
Score	6-3 6-0	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	15	17	32
pts	59-30	62-38	121-68
Total points	89	100	189
Winners	20	29	49
%Winners	34%	47%	40%
SERVE
Aces	9	3	12
Double Faults	1	0	1
1st in	22/38	40/50	62/88
% 1st in	58%	80%	70%
1st pts	20/22	29/40	49/62
% 1st pts	91%	73%	79%
2nd pts	12/16	7/10	19/26
% 2nd pts	75%	70%	73%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/9	4/7	8/16
Converted %	44%	57%	50%
Conceded	0	5	5
Saved	0/0	4/5	4
Saved %	–	80%	40%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Florence

• Jeff WolfWolf – Alexander BublikBublik (3-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Mikael YmerYmer – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Nicolas Mahut/Edouard Roger-VasselinMahut/Edouard Roger-Vasselin – Maxime Cressy/John-Patrick SmithCressy/John-Patrick Smith (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Lorenzo Sonego/Andrea VavassoriSonego/Andrea Vavassori – Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-3 6-2) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jeff WolfWolf – Mikael YmerYmer (0-0) – H2H and prediction