Roberto Carballes Baena and Mikael Ymer will face off in the quarter of the Firenze Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mikael Ymer who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mikael Ymer is the pick to win this match.
Mikael Ymer -> 1.37
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Mikael Ymer
This will be the 6th time that Roberto Carballes Baena and Mikael Ymer clash against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Ymer (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Ymer won 6-4 0-6 4-6 6-2 6-2 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in 2021.
Roberto Carballes Baena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-31 | 10-12 | 24-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-18 | 3-4 | 16-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 80, the Spaniard got to the quarter after beating Daniel Elahi Galan 6-2 6-1 and Matteo Berrettini 5-7 7-65 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Berrettini, The Spaniard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-65 7-5).During the match, Carballes Baena scored less points (1) than Berrettini. In fact, the world no. 80 won 113 points vs Berrettini’s. That means that Carballes Baena was more focused during the important points. Roberto was extremely aggressive to blast 55 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carballes Baena fired 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve 5 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 72% of his first serves in, winning 61% (55/90) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Berrettini 5 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Roberto has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Carballes Baena has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (420-296). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carballes Baena has a composed 12-10 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Gran Canaria Challenger,the Tunis Challenger,the Amersfoort Challenger and the Seville Challenger.
Carballes Baena has an overall 44-30 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Florence
Roberto has never competed in this tournament before.
Mikael Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24-18 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 11-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-25 | 9-6 | 3-8 | 17-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-24 | 9-5 | 10-7 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-11 | 6-6 | 2-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 54-20 | 13-4 | 20-7 | 17-6 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, the Swede got to the quarter after beating Andreas Seppi 7-5 6-3, Borna Gojo 4-6 6-4 6-4, Tim Van Rijthoven 6-1 6-2 and Aslan Karatsev 6-1 6-76 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Mikael defeated Karatsev (6-1 6-76 6-1). During the match Ymer scored 104 points vs Karatsev’s 77. Ymer was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Ymer wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Mikael Ymer lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ymer put 71% of his first serves in, winning 70% (47/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Mikael broke Karatsev 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mikael started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Ymer’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Montpellier and Washington.
Mikael has a composed 25-22 win-loss record in 2022, 11-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carballes Baena | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 93 |
| Pts | 176-153 | 328-252 |
| Total Points | 329 | 580 |
| Winners | 69 | 147 |
| %Winners | 39% | 45% |
Carballes Baena played 2 matches while Ymer competed in 4 matches. Ymer started his run from the qualifications while Carballes Baena had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Roberto Carballes Baena dropped 1 set, while Mikael Ymer surrendered 2 sets. Carballes Baena has played 5 set(s) less than Ymer (5 vs 10). Therefore, Carballes Baena played 41 games less than Ymer. The Spaniard scored 69 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Ymer scored 147 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carballes Baena | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 105/160 | 208/282 |
| %1st in | 66% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 69/105 | 147/208 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 35/55 | 44/74 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 59% |
Carballes Baena made 6 aces (3 per match). Ymer struck 5 aces (1.3 per match). Carballes Baena won 66% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carballes Baena | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 19 |
| Converted | 10/18 | 19/44 |
| % Converted | 56% | 43% |
| Conceded | 15 | 15 |
| Saved | 10 | 7 |
| % Saved | 67% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 8 |
Roberto broke his opponents 10 times with a 56% conversion rate. Carballes Baena conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Swede broke his opponents 19 times with a 43% conversion rate. Ymer conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carballes Baena | ||||
| R1 Elahi Galan Riveros |
R2 Berrettini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 5-7 7-65 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 37 | 52 | |
| pts | 63-39 | 113-114 | 176-153 | |
| Total points | 102 | 227 | 329 | |
| Winners | 14 | 55 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 22% | 49% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 15/35 | 90/125 | 105/160 | |
| % 1st in | 43% | 72% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 14/15 | 55/90 | 69/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 61% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 20/35 | 35/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 57% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/5 | 10/18 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 100% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 14 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 9/14 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 64% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Ymer | ||||||
| Q1 Seppi |
Q3 Gojo |
R1 Van Rijthoven |
R2 Karatsev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-76 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 30 | 15 | 27 | 93 | |
| pts | 81-68 | 89-81 | 54-26 | 104-77 | 328-252 | |
| Total points | 149 | 170 | 80 | 181 | 580 | |
| Winners | 37 | 38 | 25 | 47 | 147 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 43% | 46% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 57/73 | 54/76 | 30/38 | 67/95 | 208/282 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 71% | 79% | 71% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 37/57 | 38/54 | 25/30 | 47/67 | 147/208 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 70% | 83% | 70% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 13/22 | 7/8 | 14/28 | 44/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 59% | 88% | 50% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | 4/9 | 7/13 | 19/44 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | 44% | 54% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/4 | 0/0 | 3/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 25% | – | 50% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWLWWL
Tennis Scores in Florence
- Nicolas Mahut/Edouard Roger-VasselinMahut/Edouard Roger-Vasselin – Maxime Cressy/John-Patrick SmithCressy/John-Patrick Smith (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lorenzo Sonego/Andrea VavassoriSonego/Andrea Vavassori – Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jeff WolfWolf (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Mikael YmerYmer – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (0-0) – H2H and prediction
