Marco Cecchinato and Jakub Paul will play each other in the 2nd round of the Rio De Janeiro Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marco Cecchinato who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marco Cecchinato is the pick to win this match.
Marco Cecchinato -> 1.101
Jakub Paul -> 6.4

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Prediction and head to head Marco Cecchinato vs. Jakub Paul

There is no head to head record between Marco Cecchinato and Jakub Paul since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Marco Cecchinato

Marco Cecchinato

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
230
High
16
LWLLWWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-34 0-0 39-34 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 26-25 0-2 26-23 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 13-23 1-4 12-17 0-0 0-2 0-0
2022 43-33 0-3 43-30 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 32-27 1-5 31-19 0-2 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 117, Cecchinato got to the 2nd round after defeating Gonzalo Villanueva 6-4 6-2.

In the 1st round, Cecchinato had a good straight sets win against Villanueva (6-4 6-2). During the match, Cecchinato scored 66 points vs Villanueva’s 46. Cecchinato was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Cecchinato scored 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Marco Cecchinato lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cecchinato put 67% of his first serves in, winning 74% (28/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. Cecchinato broke Villanueva 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Cecchinato has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (382-269). 31-26 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Cecchinato has a composed 342-188 record in the last years on clay.

Marco’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Lisbon Challenger.

The Italian has a composed 31-29 win-loss record in 2022, 31-26 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rio De Janeiro Challenger

Marco has never competed in this tournament before.

Rio De Janeiro Challenger
Cecchinato's Record

Jakub Paul

Jakub Paul

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
342
High
288
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-21 14-5 12-7 9-9 0-0 0-0
2024 44-27 15-9 17-11 12-7 0-0 0-0
2023 37-24 20-4 14-12 2-6 0-0 1-2
2022 25-26 4-4 20-18 1-3 0-0 0-1
2021 34-21 4-3 17-10 11-7 0-0 2-1

Ranked no. 533, Paul reached the 2nd round after beating Jose Pereira 6-2 6-3, Sean Cuenin 6-3 6-1 and Joao Fonseca 6-2 6-3.

In the 1st round, Jakub had a good straight sets win against Fonseca (6-2 6-3). During the match Paul scored 69 points vs Fonseca’s 53. Jakub was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Paul scored 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jakub Paul lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 72% of his first serves in, winning 57% (25/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. The Swiss broke Fonseca 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).

Paul’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Monastir.

Jakub has an aggregate 22-24 win-loss record in 2022, 17-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Rio De Janeiro Challenger
Paul's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Cecchinato
J.Paul
1h:20
1h:20
Time on court​
!
4h:05
4h:05
1h:20
1h:20
Last match​
1h:15
1h:15
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
18
18
Games Played​
50
50
2
2
Set played​​
6
6
66
66
Total points​
205
205
66
66
Avg point​
68.3
68.3
28
28
Winners
81
81
28
28
Avg Winners​
27
27
42%
42%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
6
6
4
4
Avg Aces
2
2
1
1
Double Faults
6
6
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2
2
28/38
28/38
1st won total​
81/121
81/121
!
74%
74%
1st won %
67%
67%
8/19
8/19
2nd won total​
37/63
37/63
42%
42%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
5/8
5/8
BP won
13/32
13/32
5/8
5/8
Avg BP won
4.3/10.7
4.3/10.7
!
63%
63%
Won
41%
41%
5
5
Conceded
10
10
5
5
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
2
2
Broken
3
3
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
3
3
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Cecchinato Paul
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 6
Tot Games 18 50
Pts 66-46 205-152
Total Points 112 357
Winners 28 81
%Winners 42% 40%

Cecchinato played 1 match while Paul competed in 3 matches. Paul started his run from the qualifications while Cecchinato had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Cecchinato has played 4 set(s) less than Paul (2 vs 6). Therefore, Cecchinato played 32 games less than Paul. Marco scored 28 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Jakub bagged 81 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Cecchinato Paul
Aces 4 6
Avg per match 4 2
1st in 38/57 121/184
%1st in 67% 66%
1st pts 28/38 81/121
%1st pts 74% 67%
2nd pts 8/19 37/63
%2nd pts 42% 59%

Cecchinato bagged 4 aces . Paul recorded 6 aces (2 per match). Cecchinato won 74% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Cecchinato Paul
Won 5 13
Converted 5/8 13/32
% Converted 63% 41%
Conceded 5 10
Saved 3 7
% Saved 60% 70%
Times Broken 2 3

The Italian broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Marco surrendered his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Jakub broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Swiss conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Cecchinato
R1
Villanueva
Total
Score 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 66-46 66-46
Total points 112 112
Winners 28 28
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 38/57 38/57
% 1st in 67% 67%
1st pts 28/38 28/38
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 8/19 8/19
% 2nd pts 42% 42%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/8 5/8
Converted % 63% 63%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 3/5 3
Saved % 60% 60%
Times Broken 2 2
Paul
Q1
Pereira
Q3
Cuenin
R1
Fonseca
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-3 6-1 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 17 16 17 50
pts 76-61 60-38 69-53 205-152
Total points 137 98 122 357
Winners 29 27 25 81
%Winners 38% 45% 36% 40%
SERVE
Aces 2 2 2 6
Double Faults 2 0 4 6
1st in 43/74 34/49 44/61 121/184
% 1st in 58% 69% 72% 66%
1st pts 29/43 27/34 25/44 81/121
% 1st pts 67% 79% 57% 67%
2nd pts 20/31 9/15 8/17 37/63
% 2nd pts 65% 60% 47% 59%
Breaks
Won 3 4 6 13
Converted 3/11 4/7 6/14 13/32
Converted % 27% 57% 43% 41%
Conceded 4 2 4 10
Saved 4/4 2/2 1/4 7
Saved % 100% 100% 25% 225%
Times Broken 0 0 3 3

Tennis Scores in Rio De Janeiro Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw