H2H, PREDICTION Aslan Karatsev vs Mikael Ymer | Florence odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Florence. Karatsev and Ymer will square off in the 2nd round of the Firenze Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Mikael Ymer

Aslan Karatsev and Mikael Ymer will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Firenze Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mikael Ymer who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Mikael Ymer is the pick to win this match.
Mikael Ymer -> 1.65
Aslan Karatsev -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Mikael Ymer

This will be the 3rd time that Aslan Karatsev and Mikael Ymer square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Ymer (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Ymer won 6-4 3-6 6-4 in the 2nd round in Washington back in August 2022.

Aslan Karatsev

Aslan Karatsev
Aslan Karatsev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
291
High
14
LLWWLWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 12-18 6-9 1-4 5-3 0-2 0-0
2023 32-22 13-10 14-5 2-3 3-4 0-0
2022 18-31 8-9 5-9 4-10 1-3 0-0
2021 37-20 23-9 9-6 4-3 1-2 0-0
2020 36-11 7-4 17-2 12-5 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 39, Karatsev got to the 2nd round after beating Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 2-1 ret..

In the 1st round against Griekspoor, the Russian had a free pass after Griekspoor retired on a 6-3 2-1 . scoreline.

Karatsev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (349-227). 2-5 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Karatsev has a composed 78-60 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Sydney where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-3 6-3.

Aslan has an overall 16-26 win-loss record in 2022, 2-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Florence

The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.

Karatsev
Florence
Karatsev's Record

Mikael Ymer

Mikael Ymer
Mikael Ymer

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
136
High
50
LWWLWWLLLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2023 24-18 6-7 3-3 11-4 4-4 0-0
2022 31-25 9-6 3-8 17-9 2-2 0-0
2021 27-24 9-5 10-7 5-9 3-3 0-0
2020 12-11 6-6 2-3 4-2 0-0 0-0
2019 54-20 13-4 20-7 17-6 4-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 99, the Swede got to the 2nd round after defeating Andreas Seppi 7-5 6-3, Borna Gojo 4-6 6-4 6-4 and Tim Van Rijthoven 6-1 6-2.

In the 1st round, The Swede had a good straight sets win against Van Rijthoven (6-1 6-2). During the match Ymer scored 54 points vs Van Rijthoven’s 26. Mikael was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Ymer wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Mikael Ymer was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 83% (25/30) of his 1st serve and 88% (7/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ymer broke Van Rijthoven 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Ymer’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Montpellier and Washington.

The Swede has a compiled 24-22 win-loss record in 2022, 10-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Ymer
Florence
Ymer's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Karatsev
M.Ymer
1h:05
1h:05
Time on court​
!
4h:57
4h:57
1h:05
1h:05
Last match​
!
0h:56
0h:56
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
12
12
Games Played​
66
66
3
3
Set played​​
7
7
48
48
Total points​
224
224
48
48
Avg point​
74.7
74.7
21
21
Winners
100
100
21
21
Avg Winners​
33.3
33.3
44%
44%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
5
5
2
2
Avg Aces
1.7
1.7
3
3
Double Faults
2
2
3
3
Avg Double Faults
0.7
0.7
21/23
21/23
1st won total​
100/141
100/141
!
91%
91%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
10/22
10/22
2nd won total​
30/46
30/46
45%
45%
2nd won %
!
65%
65%
-- Break Points --
2/3
2/3
BP won
12/31
12/31
2/3
2/3
Avg BP won
4/10.3
4/10.3
!
67%
67%
Won
39%
39%
3
3
Conceded
9
9
3
3
Avg Conceded
3
3
0
0
Broken
5
5
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
3
3
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Karatsev Ymer
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 3 7
Tot Games 12 66
Pts 48-36 224-175
Total Points 84 399
Winners 21 100
%Winners 44% 45%

Karatsev played 1 match while Ymer competed in 3 matches. Ymer started his run from the qualifications while Karatsev had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Mikael Ymer surrendered 1 set while Aslan Karatsev hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Karatsev has played 4 set(s) less than Ymer (3 vs 7). Therefore, Karatsev played 54 games less than Ymer. Aslan scored 21 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Swede blasted 100 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Karatsev Ymer
Aces 2 5
Avg per match 2 1.7
1st in 23/45 141/187
%1st in 51% 75%
1st pts 21/23 100/141
%1st pts 91% 71%
2nd pts 10/22 30/46
%2nd pts 45% 65%

Karatsev fired 2 aces . Ymer blasted 5 aces (1.7 per match). Karatsev won 91% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Karatsev Ymer
Won 2 12
Converted 2/3 12/31
% Converted 67% 39%
Conceded 3 9
Saved 3 4
% Saved 100% 44%
Times Broken 0 5

The Russian broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Karatsev pretty effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. Mikael broke his opponents 12 times with a 39% conversion rate. Mikael conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.

Karatsev
R1
Griekspoor		 Total
Score 6-3 2-1 ret.
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 12 12
pts 48-36 48-36
Total points 84 84
Winners 21 21
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 23/45 23/45
% 1st in 51% 51%
1st pts 21/23 21/23
% 1st pts 91% 91%
2nd pts 10/22 10/22
% 2nd pts 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/3 2/3
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Ymer
Q1
Seppi		 Q3
Gojo		 R1
Van Rijthoven		 Total
Score 7-5 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 21 30 15 66
pts 81-68 89-81 54-26 224-175
Total points 149 170 80 399
Winners 37 38 25 100
%Winners 46% 43% 46% 45%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 0 5
Double Faults 0 1 1 2
1st in 57/73 54/76 30/38 141/187
% 1st in 78% 71% 79% 75%
1st pts 37/57 38/54 25/30 100/141
% 1st pts 65% 70% 83% 71%
2nd pts 10/16 13/22 7/8 30/46
% 2nd pts 63% 59% 88% 65%
Breaks
Won 4 4 4 12
Converted 4/11 4/11 4/9 12/31
Converted % 36% 36% 44% 39%
Conceded 5 4 0 9
Saved 3/5 1/4 0/0 4
Saved % 60% 25% – 85%
Times Broken 2 3 0 5

Head 2 Head

Aslan Karatsev
  • 0Slam
  • 3Main
  • 3Chall
  • 10Minor
Mikael Ymer
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 4Chall
  • 2Minor

Aslan
Karatsev

0:3

Mikael
Ymer

Rank

291

High

14

0Hard1

0I.hard2

Rank

478

High

50

Win Loss
Karatsev
LLWWLWWWLW
Ymer
2024 2023 2022
12 - 18
0 - 0
6-9
Hard
0-0
5-3
I Hard
0-0
1-4
Clay
0-0

Tennis Scores in Florence

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Upcoming matches in the draw

Karatsev Aslan Karatsev
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Ymer Mikael Ymer