Li Tu and Naoki Nakagawa will square off in the 2nd round of the Seoul Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Li Tu who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Li Tu is the pick to win this match.
Li Tu -> 1.49
Naoki Nakagawa -> 2.54

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Prediction and head to head Li Tu vs. Naoki Nakagawa

There is no head to head record between Li Tu and Naoki Nakagawa since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Li Tu

Li Tu

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
178
High
178
WLWLWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 36-25 31-19 1-1 0-0 4-5 0-0
2023 38-32 29-19 0-3 3-6 6-4 0-0
2022 50-25 34-16 15-6 1-3 0-0 0-0
2021 41-7 28-4 0-0 13-3 0-0 0-0
2020 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 292, the Australian got to the 2nd round after beating Sehyuk Cho 6-1 6-0, Mukund Sasikumar 7-5 7-5 and Kaichi Uchida 6-4 6-0.

In the 1st round, Tu had a good straight sets win against Uchida (6-4 6-0). During the match, Tu scored 64 points vs Uchida’s 45. Li was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tu struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Li Tu lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Tu put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the 2nd serve. Tu was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Uchida 5 times.

Tu has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 3 years having won 75% of his matches (86-28). 29-12 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tu has an overall57-16 record in the last 3 years on hard.

The Australian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Bendigo,M25 Cairo,M15 Monastir,M25 Monastir and M15 Waco.

Tu has a composed 45-20 win-loss record in 2022, 29-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Seoul Challenger

The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.

Seoul Challenger
Tu's Record

Naoki Nakagawa

Naoki Nakagawa

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
380
High
334
LWLWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 23-13 11-10 1-1 11-2 0-0 0-0
2023 43-23 42-19 1-3 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 31-27 16-16 10-9 5-2 0-0 0-0
2021 34-15 32-13 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 14-4 14-4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 455, Nakagawa got to the 2nd round after defeating Keegan Smith 6-4 3-6 6-3, Max Purcell 6-4 3-6 7-5 and Alexei Popyrin 3-6 7-5 7-66.

In the 1st round against Popyrin, Nakagawa recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 7-66).During the match Nakagawa scored less points (4) than Popyrin. In fact, the world no. 292 won 104 points vs Popyrin’s. That means that Nakagawa was more focused during the important points. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about serving, Nakagawa scored 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Naoki Nakagawa lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Nakagawa put 59% of his first serves in, winning 77% (47/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (20/42) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Popyrin twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

The Japanese has a composed 26-19 win-loss record in 2022, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Seoul Challenger
Nakagawa's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

L.Tu
N.Nakagawa
3h:11
3h:11
Time on court​
!
6h:37
6h:37
!
0h:56
0h:56
Last match​
!
2h:30
2h:30
3
3
Match played
3
3
53
53
Games Played​
93
93
6
6
Set played​​
9
9
196
196
Total points​
283
283
65.3
65.3
Avg point​
94.3
94.3
81
81
Winners
115
115
27
27
Avg Winners​
38.3
38.3
41%
41%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
23
23
4.3
4.3
Avg Aces
7.7
7.7
7
7
Double Faults
6
6
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
2
2
81/114
81/114
1st won total​
115/163
115/163
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
34/63
34/63
2nd won total​
66/124
66/124
54%
54%
2nd won %
53%
53%
-- Break Points --
14/22
14/22
BP won
9/18
9/18
4.7/7.3
4.7/7.3
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
!
64%
64%
Won
50%
50%
9
9
Conceded
18
18
3
3
Avg Conceded
6
6
3
3
Broken
7
7
1
1
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
6
6
Saved
11
11

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tu Nakagawa
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 9
Tot Games 53 93
Pts 196-144 283-287
Total Points 340 570
Winners 81 115
%Winners 41% 41%

Both Tu and Nakagawa played 3 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Naoki Nakagawa surrendered 3 sets while Li Tu hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Tu has played 3 set(s) less than Nakagawa (6 vs 9). Therefore, Tu played 40 games less than Nakagawa. Li scored 81 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese scored 115 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tu Nakagawa
Aces 13 23
Avg per match 4.3 7.7
1st in 114/177 163/287
%1st in 64% 57%
1st pts 81/114 115/163
%1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 34/63 66/124
%2nd pts 54% 53%

Tu managed to score 13 aces (4.3 per match). Nakagawa blasted 23 aces (7.7 per match). Tu won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Nakagawa won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tu Nakagawa
Won 14 9
Converted 14/22 9/18
% Converted 64% 50%
Conceded 9 18
Saved 6 11
% Saved 67% 61%
Times Broken 3 7

Li broke his opponents 14 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Australian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Nakagawa broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.

Tu
Q1
Cho
Q3
Kumar Mukund
R1
Uchida
Total
Score 6-1 6-0 7-5 7-5 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 13 24 16 53
pts 55-34 77-65 64-45 196-144
Total points 89 142 109 340
Winners 24 32 25 81
%Winners 44% 42% 39% 41%
SERVE
Aces 4 6 3 13
Double Faults 1 3 3 7
1st in 32/49 46/69 36/59 114/177
% 1st in 65% 67% 61% 64%
1st pts 24/32 32/46 25/36 81/114
% 1st pts 75% 70% 69% 71%
2nd pts 8/17 14/23 12/23 34/63
% 2nd pts 47% 61% 52% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 4 5 14
Converted 5/10 4/7 5/5 14/22
Converted % 50% 57% 100% 64%
Conceded 2 3 4 9
Saved 2/2 1/3 3/4 6
Saved % 100% 33% 75% 69%
Times Broken 0 2 1 3
Nakagawa
Q1
Smith
Q3
Purcell
R1
Popyrin
Total
Score 6-4 3-6 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-5 3-6 7-5 7-66
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 28 31 34 93
pts 88-87 91-92 104-108 283-287
Total points 175 183 212 570
Winners 36 32 47 115
%Winners 41% 35% 45% 41%
SERVE
Aces 10 8 5 23
Double Faults 4 1 1 6
1st in 54/94 48/90 61/103 163/287
% 1st in 57% 53% 59% 57%
1st pts 36/54 32/48 47/61 115/163
% 1st pts 67% 67% 77% 71%
2nd pts 22/40 24/42 20/42 66/124
% 2nd pts 55% 57% 48% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 4 2 9
Converted 3/5 4/10 2/3 9/18
Converted % 60% 40% 67% 50%
Conceded 7 7 4 18
Saved 5/7 4/7 2/4 11
Saved % 71% 57% 50% 59%
Times Broken 2 3 2 7

Tennis Scores in Seoul Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw