Li Tu and Naoki Nakagawa will square off in the 2nd round of the Seoul Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Li Tu who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Li Tu is the pick to win this match.
Li Tu -> 1.49
Naoki Nakagawa -> 2.54
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Li Tu vs. Naoki Nakagawa
There is no head to head record between Li Tu and Naoki Nakagawa since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Li Tu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-15 | 14-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-32 | 29-19 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 34-16 | 15-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-7 | 28-4 | 0-0 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 292, the Australian got to the 2nd round after beating Sehyuk Cho 6-1 6-0, Mukund Sasikumar 7-5 7-5 and Kaichi Uchida 6-4 6-0.
In the 1st round, Tu had a good straight sets win against Uchida (6-4 6-0). During the match, Tu scored 64 points vs Uchida’s 45. Li was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tu struck 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Li Tu lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Tu put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the 2nd serve. Tu was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Uchida 5 times.
Tu has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 3 years having won 75% of his matches (86-28). 29-12 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Tu has an overall57-16 record in the last 3 years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Bendigo,M25 Cairo,M15 Monastir,M25 Monastir and M15 Waco.
Tu has a composed 45-20 win-loss record in 2022, 29-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Seoul Challenger
The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.
Naoki Nakagawa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-27 | 16-16 | 10-9 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-15 | 32-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 455, Nakagawa got to the 2nd round after defeating Keegan Smith 6-4 3-6 6-3, Max Purcell 6-4 3-6 7-5 and Alexei Popyrin 3-6 7-5 7-66.
In the 1st round against Popyrin, Nakagawa recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 7-66).During the match Nakagawa scored less points (4) than Popyrin. In fact, the world no. 292 won 104 points vs Popyrin’s. That means that Nakagawa was more focused during the important points. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about serving, Nakagawa scored 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Naoki Nakagawa lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Nakagawa put 59% of his first serves in, winning 77% (47/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (20/42) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Popyrin twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
The Japanese has a composed 26-19 win-loss record in 2022, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tu | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 93 |
| Pts | 196-144 | 283-287 |
| Total Points | 340 | 570 |
| Winners | 81 | 115 |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% |
Both Tu and Nakagawa played 3 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Naoki Nakagawa surrendered 3 sets while Li Tu hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Tu has played 3 set(s) less than Nakagawa (6 vs 9). Therefore, Tu played 40 games less than Nakagawa. Li scored 81 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese scored 115 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tu | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 7.7 |
| 1st in | 114/177 | 163/287 |
| %1st in | 64% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 81/114 | 115/163 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 34/63 | 66/124 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 53% |
Tu managed to score 13 aces (4.3 per match). Nakagawa blasted 23 aces (7.7 per match). Tu won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Nakagawa won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tu | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 9 |
| Converted | 14/22 | 9/18 |
| % Converted | 64% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 18 |
| Saved | 6 | 11 |
| % Saved | 67% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 7 |
Li broke his opponents 14 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Australian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Nakagawa broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tu | |||||
| Q1 Cho |
Q3 Kumar Mukund |
R1 Uchida |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 7-5 7-5 | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 24 | 16 | 53 | |
| pts | 55-34 | 77-65 | 64-45 | 196-144 | |
| Total points | 89 | 142 | 109 | 340 | |
| Winners | 24 | 32 | 25 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 39% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 32/49 | 46/69 | 36/59 | 114/177 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 67% | 61% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 32/46 | 25/36 | 81/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 70% | 69% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 14/23 | 12/23 | 34/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 61% | 52% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/7 | 5/5 | 14/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 57% | 100% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 75% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Nakagawa | |||||
| Q1 Smith |
Q3 Purcell |
R1 Popyrin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | 3-6 7-5 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 31 | 34 | 93 | |
| pts | 88-87 | 91-92 | 104-108 | 283-287 | |
| Total points | 175 | 183 | 212 | 570 | |
| Winners | 36 | 32 | 47 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 35% | 45% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 8 | 5 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 54/94 | 48/90 | 61/103 | 163/287 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 53% | 59% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 36/54 | 32/48 | 47/61 | 115/163 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | 77% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/40 | 24/42 | 20/42 | 66/124 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 57% | 48% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/10 | 2/3 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 40% | 67% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 4 | 18 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 4/7 | 2/4 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 57% | 50% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLLWLW
WWWLWWWLWL Tennis Scores in Seoul Challenger
- Li TuTu – Kaichi UchidaUchida (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Tung-Lin WuWu (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Cedrik-Marcel StebeStebe – Aleksandar VukicVukic (7-5 6-76 6-4) – See score progression
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Emilio GomezGomez (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist – Marc PolmansPolmans (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Ryan PenistonPeniston (5-7 6-3 7-66) – See score progression
- Steve JohnsonJohnson – Cheong-Eui KimKim (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Maximilian MartererMarterer – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Hong ChungChung – Zsombor PirosPiros (4-6 6-3 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Naoki NakagawaNakagawa – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (3-6 7-5 7-66) – See score progression
- John MillmanMillman – Hiroki MoriyaMoriya (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Rinky HijikataHijikata – Jangjun KimKim (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Yibing WuWu – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-0 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Christopher EubanksEubanks (6-76 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Jay ClarkeClarke (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- John MillmanMillman – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- James DuckworthDuckworth – Hong ChungChung (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Li TuTu – Naoki NakagawaNakagawa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Maximilian MartererMarterer (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Rinky HijikataHijikata (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yibing WuWu – Cedrik-Marcel StebeStebe (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Steve JohnsonJohnson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
