Alexander Bublik and Corentin Moutet will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Firenze Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.5
Corentin Moutet -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Corentin Moutet
This will be the 2nd time that Alexander Bublik and Corentin Moutet clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bublik (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Bublik won 6-4 6-3 in the 1st round in the Captif Challenger back in 2017.
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-24 | 12-11 | 23-6 | 8-6 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 43, the Kazakhstani got to the 2nd round after beating Cristian Garin 7-5 6-2.
In the 1st round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Garin (7-5 6-2). During the match, Bublik scored 72 points vs Garin’s 56. Bublik was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bublik submerged his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexander Bublik was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Kazakhstani broke Garin 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Bublik has a winning win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (295-205). 14-5 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bublik has a composed89-50 win-loss record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Montpellier where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-4 6-3.
Alexander has a compiled 30-24 win-loss record in 2022, 14-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Florence
Alexander has never competed in this tournament before.
Corentin Moutet
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-30 | 15-12 | 10-9 | 7-5 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-26 | 4-6 | 22-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-25 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 7-4 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 13-6 | 20-8 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 8-4 | 5-8 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 69, the French player got to the 2nd round after beating Flavio Cobolli 4-6 7-5 6-4.
In the 1st round against Cobolli, Corentin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-4). During the match Moutet scored 94 points vs Cobolli’s 89. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Moutet recorded 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Corentin Moutet lost the serve 6 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Moutet put 69% of his first serves in, winning 63% (38/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. Corentin broke Cobolli 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).
The French player best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Lyon Challenger and the Szczecin Challenger.
Moutet has an aggregate 35-17 win-loss record in 2022, 3-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 32 |
| Pts | 72-56 | 94-89 |
| Total Points | 128 | 183 |
| Winners | 30 | 38 |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% |
Both Bublik and Moutet played 1 match. At the moment, Corentin Moutet dropped 1 set while Alexander Bublik hasn’t lost a set so far. Bublik has played 1 set(s) less than Moutet (2 vs 3). Therefore, Bublik played 12 games less than Moutet. Alexander scored 30 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Corentin scored 38 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 20 | 5 |
| 1st in | 37/66 | 60/87 |
| %1st in | 56% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 38/60 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 11/27 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 41% |
Bublik bagged 20 aces . Moutet scored 5 aces . Bublik won 81% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 63% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bublik | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 7 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 7/11 |
| % Converted | 43% | 64% |
| Conceded | 3 | 11 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 100% | 45% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 |
The Kazakhstani broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Alexander pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. Moutet broke his opponent 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Corentin conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bublik | |||
| R1 Garin | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 72-56 | 72-56 | |
| Total points | 128 | 128 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 20 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 37/66 | 37/66 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 30/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 15/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Moutet | |||
| R1 Cobolli | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 94-89 | 94-89 | |
| Total points | 183 | 183 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 60/87 | 60/87 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 38/60 | 38/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/27 | 11/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/11 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 45% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Florence
- Alexander BublikBublik – Cristian GarinGarin (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Mikael YmerYmer – Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Oscar OtteOtte – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (3-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 2-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Jeff WolfWolf – Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli (4-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Flavio CobolliCobolli (4-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Altug CelikbilekCelikbilek – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Nicolas Mahut/Edouard Roger-VasselinMahut/Edouard Roger-Vasselin – Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Oscar OtteOtte – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (3-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Cristian GarinGarin (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Mikael YmerYmer – Tim Van RijthovenVan Rijthoven (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Richard GasquetGasquet – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Mikael YmerYmer (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Corentin MoutetMoutet (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Francesco PassaroPassaro (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Oscar OtteOtte (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jeff WolfWolf – Maxime CressyCressy (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (2-0) – H2H and prediction