Alexander Bublik and Corentin Moutet will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Firenze Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.5
Corentin Moutet -> 2.59

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Corentin Moutet

This will be the 2nd time that Alexander Bublik and Corentin Moutet clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bublik (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Bublik won 6-4 6-3 in the 1st round in the Captif Challenger back in 2017.

Alexander Bublik

Alexander Bublik

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
11
High
11
LLWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-24 12-11 23-6 8-6 5-1 0-0
2024 25-25 10-11 5-6 6-4 4-4 0-0
2023 28-30 3-12 7-9 9-7 9-2 0-0
2022 33-27 5-8 2-6 17-8 9-5 0-0
2021 35-30 14-12 4-6 10-8 7-4 0-0

Ranked no. 43, the Kazakhstani got to the 2nd round after beating Cristian Garin 7-5 6-2.

In the 1st round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Garin (7-5 6-2). During the match, Bublik scored 72 points vs Garin’s 56. Bublik was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Bublik submerged his opponent with 20 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexander Bublik was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Kazakhstani broke Garin 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Bublik has a winning win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (295-205). 14-5 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bublik has a composed89-50 win-loss record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Montpellier where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-4 6-3.

Alexander has a compiled 30-24 win-loss record in 2022, 14-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Florence

Alexander has never competed in this tournament before.

Florence
Bublik's Record

Corentin Moutet

Corentin Moutet

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
35
High
31
LLLWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-30 15-12 10-9 7-5 9-4 0-0
2024 31-26 4-6 22-15 4-4 1-1 0-0
2023 19-25 5-10 3-6 7-4 4-5 0-0
2022 40-21 13-6 20-8 7-7 0-0 0-0
2021 18-16 8-4 5-8 3-1 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 69, the French player got to the 2nd round after beating Flavio Cobolli 4-6 7-5 6-4.

In the 1st round against Cobolli, Corentin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-4). During the match Moutet scored 94 points vs Cobolli’s 89. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.

About the serving games, Moutet recorded 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Corentin Moutet lost the serve 6 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Moutet put 69% of his first serves in, winning 63% (38/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. Corentin broke Cobolli 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).

The French player best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Lyon Challenger and the Szczecin Challenger.

Moutet has an aggregate 35-17 win-loss record in 2022, 3-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Florence
Moutet's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Bublik
C.Moutet
1h:26
1h:26
Time on court​
!
2h:34
2h:34
1h:26
1h:26
Last match​
!
2h:34
2h:34
1
1
Match played
1
1
20
20
Games Played​
32
32
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
72
72
Total points​
94
94
72
72
Avg point​
94
94
30
30
Winners
38
38
30
30
Avg Winners​
38
38
42%
42%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
20
20
Aces
5
5
!
20
20
Avg Aces
5
5
4
4
Double Faults
2
2
4
4
Avg Double Faults
2
2
30/37
30/37
1st won total​
38/60
38/60
!
81%
81%
1st won %
63%
63%
15/29
15/29
2nd won total​
11/27
11/27
52%
52%
2nd won %
41%
41%
-- Break Points --
3/7
3/7
BP won
7/11
7/11
3/7
3/7
Avg BP won
7/11
7/11
43%
43%
Won
!
64%
64%
3
3
Conceded
11
11
3
3
Avg Conceded
11
11
0
0
Broken
6
6
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
6
6
3
3
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bublik Moutet
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 20 32
Pts 72-56 94-89
Total Points 128 183
Winners 30 38
%Winners 42% 40%

Both Bublik and Moutet played 1 match. At the moment, Corentin Moutet dropped 1 set while Alexander Bublik hasn’t lost a set so far. Bublik has played 1 set(s) less than Moutet (2 vs 3). Therefore, Bublik played 12 games less than Moutet. Alexander scored 30 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Corentin scored 38 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bublik Moutet
Aces 20 5
Avg per match 20 5
1st in 37/66 60/87
%1st in 56% 69%
1st pts 30/37 38/60
%1st pts 81% 63%
2nd pts 15/29 11/27
%2nd pts 52% 41%

Bublik bagged 20 aces . Moutet scored 5 aces . Bublik won 81% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 63% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bublik Moutet
Won 3 7
Converted 3/7 7/11
% Converted 43% 64%
Conceded 3 11
Saved 3 5
% Saved 100% 45%
Times Broken 0 6

The Kazakhstani broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Alexander pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. Moutet broke his opponent 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Corentin conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded.

Bublik
R1
Garin
Total
Score 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 72-56 72-56
Total points 128 128
Winners 30 30
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 20 20
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 37/66 37/66
% 1st in 56% 56%
1st pts 30/37 30/37
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 15/29 15/29
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/7 3/7
Converted % 43% 43%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Moutet
R1
Cobolli
Total
Score 4-6 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 94-89 94-89
Total points 183 183
Winners 38 38
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 60/87 60/87
% 1st in 69% 69%
1st pts 38/60 38/60
% 1st pts 63% 63%
2nd pts 11/27 11/27
% 2nd pts 41% 41%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/11 7/11
Converted % 64% 64%
Conceded 11 11
Saved 5/11 5
Saved % 45% 45%
Times Broken 6 6

Tennis Scores in Florence

Upcoming matches in the draw