Max Purcell and Naoki Nakagawa will play each other in the qualifications of the Seoul Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:30 am on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Max Purcell who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Max Purcell is the pick to win this match.
Max Purcell -> 1.35
Naoki Nakagawa -> 2.98
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Prediction and head to head Max Purcell vs. Naoki Nakagawa
There is no head to head record between Max Purcell and Naoki Nakagawa since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Max Purcell
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-19 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-28 | 45-17 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-29 | 21-15 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-14 | 13-9 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 296, Purcell got to the qualifications after defeating Shintaro Imai 2-6 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications against Imai, Max recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-4).During the match, Purcell scored less points (5) than Imai. In fact, the world no. 296 won 87 points vs Imai’s. That means that Purcell was more focused during the important points. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Purcell scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 4 double faults. Max Purcell lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Purcell put 66% of his first serves in, winning 58% (33/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the 2nd serve. Purcell broke Imai 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Purcell has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 56% of his matches (201-155). 12-11 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Purcell has a compiled141-106 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Max has a compiled 27-25 win-loss record in 2022, 12-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Seoul Challenger
Naoki Nakagawa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-27 | 16-16 | 10-9 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-15 | 32-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 454 (career-high), Naoki got to the qualifications after defeating Keegan Smith 6-4 3-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, Naoki defeated Smith (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match Nakagawa scored 88 points vs Smith’s 87. Nakagawa was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Nakagawa made 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Naoki Nakagawa lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nakagawa put 57% of his first serves in, winning 67% (36/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the 2nd serve. Naoki broke Smith 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
The Japanese has a compiled 24-19 win-loss record in 2022, 12-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Purcell | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 28 |
| Pts | 87-92 | 88-87 |
| Total Points | 179 | 175 |
| Winners | 33 | 36 |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% |
Both Purcell and Nakagawa played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Max Purcell conceded 1 set, while Naoki Nakagawa dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Purcell and Nakagawa have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Purcell played 1 game less than Nakagawa. Max scored 33 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Naoki blasted 36 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Purcell | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 10 |
| 1st in | 57/87 | 54/94 |
| %1st in | 66% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 33/57 | 36/54 |
| %1st pts | 58% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 22/40 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 55% |
Purcell made 1 ace . Nakagawa also scored 10 aces . Purcell won 58% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Nakagawa won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Purcell | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/13 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 31% | 60% |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 |
| Saved | 5 | 5 |
| % Saved | 56% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
The Australian broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Purcell lost his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Naoki broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Naoki conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Purcell | |||
| Q1 Imai |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 87-92 | 87-92 | |
| Total points | 179 | 179 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 57/87 | 57/87 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 33/57 | 33/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 17/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Nakagawa | |||
| Q1 Smith |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 88-87 | 88-87 | |
| Total points | 175 | 175 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 54/94 | 54/94 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 36/54 | 36/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/40 | 22/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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