Hiroki Moriya and Sho Shimabukuro will face off in the qualifications of the Seoul Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:30 am on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hiroki Moriya who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hiroki Moriya is the pick to win this match.
Hiroki Moriya -> 1.85
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Hiroki Moriya vs. Sho Shimabukuro
This will be the 2nd time that Hiroki Moriya and Sho Shimabukuro play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Shimabukuro (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Shimabukuro won 5-7 6-3 6-3 in the qualifications in Tokyo back in October 2022.
Hiroki Moriya
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-18 | 19-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-28 | 31-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-30 | 18-19 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 22-28 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 253, Moriya reached the qualifications after defeating Seita Watanabe 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Watanabe (6-3 6-2). During the match, Moriya scored 60 points vs Watanabe’s 44. Hiroki was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, Moriya was unable to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Hiroki Moriya was very effective on serve to win 75% (18/24) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Moriya broke Watanabe 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Moriya has a losing record in the last 10 years having won only 48% of his matches (271-295). 16-14 on hard in 2022. . In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Moriya has an overall 198-190 record in the last years on hard.
The Japanese’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Nottingham.
Moriya has an overall 25-24 win-loss record in 2022, 16-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Seoul Challenger
Sho Shimabukuro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-26 | 19-17 | 7-1 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-25 | 38-20 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 353, the Japanese got to the qualifications after beating Ben Patael 6-1 7-64.
In the qualifications, Shimabukuro had a good straight sets win against Fatael (6-1 7-64). During the match Shimabukuro scored 79 points vs Fatael’s 60. Sho was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Shimabukuro bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Sho Shimabukuro lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Shimabukuro put 54% of his first serves in, winning 85% (28/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (12/28) on the 2nd serve. Sho broke Fatael 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Sho’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Monastir and M25 Harmon.
The Japanese has a compiled 35-20 win-loss record in 2022, 32-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Moriya | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 |
| Pts | 60-44 | 79-60 |
| Total Points | 104 | 139 |
| Winners | 18 | 28 |
| %Winners | 30% | 35% |
Both Moriya and Shimabukuro played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Moriya and Shimabukuro have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Moriya played 3 games less than Shimabukuro. The Japanese scored 18 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, Shimabukuro fired 28 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Moriya | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 4 |
| 1st in | 24/43 | 33/61 |
| %1st in | 56% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 18/24 | 28/33 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 12/28 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 43% |
Moriya didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Shimabukuro scored 4 aces . Moriya won 75% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Moriya | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 38% | 63% |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 4 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Moriya conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Shimabukuro conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Moriya | |||
| Q1 Watanabe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 60-44 | 60-44 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 24/43 | 24/43 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 18/24 | 18/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 11/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Shimabukuro | |||
| Q1 Fatael |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 79-60 | 79-60 | |
| Total points | 139 | 139 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 33/61 | 33/61 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 28/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/28 | 12/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLLLWWL
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