Juan Pablo Varillas and Jan Choinski will square off in the final of the Campinas Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:05 pm on QUADRA JOÃO LIMA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Pablo Varillas who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juan Pablo Varillas is the pick to win this match.
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 1.4
Jan Choinski -> 2.86
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Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Jan Choinski
There is no head to head record between Juan Pablo Varillas and Jan Choinski since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Juan Pablo Varillas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-16 | 0-4 | 13-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 4-7 | 23-17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-27 | 2-3 | 51-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 51-23 | 0-2 | 51-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 107, the Peruvian got to the final after beating Gastao Elias 7-62 6-4, Wilson Leite 6-1 6-3, Facundo Juarez 6-3 6-2 and Luciano Darderi 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Peruvian had a good straight sets win against Darderi (6-3 6-4). During the match, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 64 points vs Darderi’s 48. Juan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pablo Patino-Samudio managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Juan Pablo Varillas lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Pablo Patino-Samudio put 46% of his first serves in, winning 67% (16/24) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (20/28) on the 2nd serve. The Peruvian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Darderi 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pablo Patino-Samudio hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (349-218). 38-18 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pablo Patino-Samudio has an overall317-186 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Pablo Patino-Samudio’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a compiled 40-22 win-loss record in 2022, 38-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Campinas Challenger
Jan Choinski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-16 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-35 | 1-4 | 30-19 | 5-5 | 2-5 | 3-2 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 5-5 | 35-14 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 457, the German reached the final after beating Sean Cuenin 7-65 6-1, Nicolas Zanellato 6-4 6-3, Gonzalo Lama 6-3 6-1, Juan Bautista Torres 6-2 6-1, Alexandre Muller 6-0 1-6 6-4 and Remy Bertola 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, The German had a good straight sets win against Bertola (6-4 6-4). During the match Choinski scored 59 points vs Bertola’s 47. The German was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Choinski wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jan Choinski was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (22/27) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The German broke Bertola 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Choinski started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Choinski’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Frankfurt am Main.
The German has a composed 31-14 win-loss record in 2022, 20-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Campinas Challenger
Choinski has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 113 |
| Pts | 263-197 | 411-314 |
| Total Points | 460 | 725 |
| Winners | 75 | 143 |
| %Winners | 29% | 35% |
Pablo Patino-Samudio played 4 matches while Choinski competed in 6 matches. Choinski started his run from the qualifications while Pablo Patino-Samudio had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jan Choinski surrendered 1 set while Juan Pablo Varillas hasn’t lost a set so far. Pablo Patino-Samudio has played 5 set(s) less than Choinski (8 vs 13). Therefore, Pablo Patino-Samudio played 38 games less than Choinski. The Peruvian scored 75 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, The German made 143 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 101/213 | 179/347 |
| %1st in | 47% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 75/101 | 143/179 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 60/112 | 86/168 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 51% |
Pablo Patino-Samudio fired 9 aces (2.3 per match). Choinski scored 24 aces (4 per match). Pablo Patino-Samudio won 74% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Choinski won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 25 |
| Converted | 20/28 | 25/41 |
| % Converted | 71% | 61% |
| Conceded | 15 | 24 |
| Saved | 7 | 15 |
| % Saved | 47% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 9 |
Pablo Patino-Samudio broke his opponents 20 times with a 71% conversion rate. Juan conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponents 25 times with a 61% conversion rate. Jan conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pablo Patino-Samudio | ||||||
| R1 Elias |
R2 Leite |
1/4 Juarez |
1/2 Darderi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 6-4 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 75 | |
| pts | 83-75 | 57-35 | 59-39 | 64-48 | 263-197 | |
| Total points | 158 | 92 | 98 | 112 | 460 | |
| Winners | 29 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 32% | 20% | 25% | 29% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 38/81 | 22/43 | 17/37 | 24/52 | 101/213 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 51% | 46% | 46% | 47% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 18/22 | 12/17 | 16/24 | 75/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 82% | 71% | 67% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/43 | 12/21 | 13/20 | 20/28 | 60/112 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 57% | 65% | 71% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/7 | 6/8 | 4/4 | 20/28 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 71% | 75% | 100% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 1/2 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| Choinski | ||||||||
| Q1 Cuenin |
Q3 Zanellato |
R1 Lama |
R2 Bautista |
1/4 Muller |
1/2 Bertola |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-0 1-6 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 23 | 20 | 113 | |
| pts | 72-55 | 68-54 | 65-41 | 73-49 | 74-68 | 59-47 | 411-314 | |
| Total points | 127 | 122 | 106 | 122 | 142 | 106 | 725 | |
| Winners | 26 | 30 | 17 | 19 | 29 | 22 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 44% | 26% | 26% | 39% | 37% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 34/61 | 35/61 | 21/49 | 23/46 | 39/76 | 27/54 | 179/347 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 57% | 43% | 50% | 51% | 50% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | 30/35 | 17/21 | 19/23 | 29/39 | 22/27 | 143/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 86% | 81% | 83% | 74% | 81% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 9/26 | 16/28 | 16/23 | 17/37 | 14/27 | 86/168 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 35% | 57% | 70% | 46% | 52% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 25 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/8 | 5/8 | 4/8 | 4/6 | 4/6 | 25/41 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 50% | 63% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 24 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 1/1 | 3/6 | 4/6 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 50% | 67% | 99% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
