Matteo Arnaldi and Nick Hardt will play each other in the semifinal of the Alicante Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 12:30 pm on PISTA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.53
Nick Hardt -> 2.44

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Nick Hardt

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Nick Hardt since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
63
High
30
LLWWWLLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-26 11-14 7-6 5-4 0-2 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 158, Arnaldi reached the semifinal after beating Ulises Blanch 6-1 7-5, Jesper De Jong 6-3 6-2 and Frederico Ferreira Silva 7-5 4-6 6-4.

In the quarter, Matteo defeated Ferreira Silva (7-5 4-6 6-4). During the match, Arnaldi scored 110 points vs Ferreira Silva’s 103. Arnaldi was extremely aggressive to blast 54 winners.

Regarding the service games, Arnaldi made 11 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 4 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 64% of his first serves in, winning 66% (54/82) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (22/46) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Ferreira Silva 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Matteo has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Arnaldi has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 64% of his matches (129-74). 5-1 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Arnaldi has an aggregate32-11 record in the last 5 years on hard.

Matteo’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Francavilla Challenger and the San Marino Challenger.

Matteo has a compiled 43-27 win-loss record in 2022, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Alicante Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Alicante Challenger
Arnaldi's Record

Nick Hardt

Nick Hardt

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
552
High
177
LWWLWLWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-21 1-3 30-18 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 41-25 6-6 34-18 0-0 1-1 0-0
2023 22-28 11-9 10-16 1-2 0-1 0-0
2022 51-25 18-6 28-16 5-3 0-0 0-0
2021 44-19 9-6 35-13 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 255 (career-high), Nick reached the semifinal after defeating Geoffrey Blancaneaux 6-2 1-0 ret.

, Nicolas Alvarez Varona 7-66 6-4 and Emilio Nava 6-75 7-63 6-1.

In the quarter against Nava, The Dominican recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 7-63 6-1). During the match Hardt scored 109 points vs Nava’s 99. Hardt was quite aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Hardt made 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nick Hardt lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Hardt put 65% of his first serves in, winning 69% (47/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (23/37) on the 2nd serve. The Dominican broke Nava 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hardt has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The Dominican’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Santo Domingo,M25 La Nucia,M25 Denia and M25 Wetzlar.

Nick has an aggregate 40-20 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Alicante Challenger
Hardt's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Arnaldi
N.Hardt
5h:27
5h:27
Time on court​
5h:16
5h:16
!
2h:39
2h:39
Last match​
!
2h:32
2h:32
3
3
Match played
3
3
68
68
Games Played​
65
65
7
7
Set played​​
8
8
247
247
Total points​
226
226
82.3
82.3
Avg point​
75.3
75.3
112
112
Winners
90
90
37.3
37.3
Avg Winners​
30
30
45%
45%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
22
22
Aces
8
8
7.3
7.3
Avg Aces
2.7
2.7
11
11
Double Faults
5
5
3.7
3.7
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
112/157
112/157
1st won total​
90/133
90/133
!
71%
71%
1st won %
68%
68%
48/92
48/92
2nd won total​
44/65
44/65
52%
52%
2nd won %
!
68%
68%
-- Break Points --
11/24
11/24
BP won
10/25
10/25
3.7/8
3.7/8
Avg BP won
3.3/8.3
3.3/8.3
46%
46%
Won
40%
40%
18
18
Conceded
8
8
6
6
Avg Conceded
2.7
2.7
4
4
Broken
4
4
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
14
14
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Arnaldi Hardt
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 8
Tot Games 68 65
Pts 247-208 226-186
Total Points 455 412
Winners 112 90
%Winners 45% 40%

Both Arnaldi and Hardt played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Arnaldi lost 1 set, while Nick Hardt dropped 1 set. Arnaldi has played 1 set(s) less than Hardt (7 vs 8). However, it’s interesting to notice that Arnaldi played 3 games more than Hardt. Arnaldi scored 112 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Hardt made 90 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Arnaldi Hardt
Aces 22 8
Avg per match 7.3 2.7
1st in 157/249 133/198
%1st in 63% 67%
1st pts 112/157 90/133
%1st pts 71% 68%
2nd pts 48/92 44/65
%2nd pts 52% 68%

Arnaldi fired 22 aces (7.3 per match). Hardt managed to score 8 aces (2.7 per match). Arnaldi won 71% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Hardt won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Arnaldi Hardt
Won 11 10
Converted 11/24 10/25
% Converted 46% 40%
Conceded 18 8
Saved 14 4
% Saved 78% 50%
Times Broken 4 4

The Italian broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Matteo lost his serve 4 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. The Dominican broke his opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. Nick conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Arnaldi
R1
Blanch		 R2
De		 1/4
Ferreira Silva		 Total
Score 6-1 7-5 6-3 6-2 7-5 4-6 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 19 17 32 68
pts 64-50 73-55 110-103 247-208
Total points 114 128 213 455
Winners 29 29 54 112
%Winners 45% 40% 49% 45%
SERVE
Aces 6 5 11 22
Double Faults 2 3 6 11
1st in 35/55 40/66 82/128 157/249
% 1st in 64% 61% 64% 63%
1st pts 29/35 29/40 54/82 112/157
% 1st pts 83% 73% 66% 71%
2nd pts 12/20 14/26 22/46 48/92
% 2nd pts 60% 54% 48% 52%
Breaks
Won 3 3 5 11
Converted 3/7 3/9 5/8 11/24
Converted % 43% 33% 63% 46%
Conceded 1 2 15 18
Saved 1/1 2/2 11/15 14
Saved % 100% 100% 73% 91%
Times Broken 0 0 4 4
Hardt
R1
Blancaneaux		 R2
Alvarez		 1/4
Nava		 Total
Score 6-2 1-0 ret. 7-66 6-4 6-75 7-63 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 9 23 33 65
pts 34-19 83-68 109-99 226-186
Total points 53 151 208 412
Winners 10 33 47 90
%Winners 29% 40% 43% 40%
SERVE
Aces 0 4 4 8
Double Faults 0 2 3 5
1st in 17/26 48/67 68/105 133/198
% 1st in 65% 72% 65% 67%
1st pts 10/17 33/48 47/68 90/133
% 1st pts 59% 69% 69% 68%
2nd pts 8/9 13/19 23/37 44/65
% 2nd pts 89% 68% 62% 68%
Breaks
Won 3 3 4 10
Converted 3/5 3/10 4/10 10/25
Converted % 60% 30% 40% 40%
Conceded 1 5 2 8
Saved 0/1 3/5 1/2 4
Saved % 0% 60% 50% 37%
Times Broken 1 2 1 4

Tennis Scores in Alicante Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw

Arnaldi
More Stats
Click here
Hardt

Click for FULL STATS