Daniil Medvedev and Novak Djokovic will face off in the semifinal of the Astana Open for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:00 pm on Center Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 3 sets.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.59
Daniil Medvedev -> 2.42
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Novak Djokovic
This will be the 11th time that Daniil Medvedev and Novak Djokovic face off. The head to head is 6-4 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Djokovic won 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the final in Paris back in 2021.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev – Paris 07-November-2021
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-3 6-1, Emil Ruusuvuori 6-3 6-2 and Roberto Bautista Agut 6-1 6-1.
In the quarter, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Bautista-Agut (6-1 6-1). During the match, Medvedev scored 54 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 26. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev fired 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 72% of his first serves in, winning 88% (23/26) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (4/10) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Bautista-Agut 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 62% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a tremendous record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (419-175). 3-1 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has an overall 112-48 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Los Cabos where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 7-5 6-0.
The Russian has an overall 40-14 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Astana
Medvedev has never competed in this tournament before.
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-11 | 21-7 | 9-3 | 4-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Serbian got to the semifinal after defeating Cristian Garin 6-1 6-1, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-1 and Karen Khachanov 6-4 6-3.
In the quarter, Novak had a good straight sets win against Khachanov (6-4 6-3). During the match Djokovic scored 65 points vs Khachanov’s 45. Djokovic was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Djokovic blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Novak Djokovic was quite effective on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Novak broke Khachanov 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Serbian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 63% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Rome where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-0 7-6(5) and at the Wimbledon where he overcame Nick Kyrgios in the final 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(3) and in Tel Aviv where he beat Marin Cilic in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Serbian has an aggregate 31-6 win-loss record in 2022, 8-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 49 |
| Pts | 172-105 | 176-105 |
| Total Points | 277 | 281 |
| Winners | 74 | 78 |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% |
Both Medvedev and Djokovic played 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Djokovic have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Medvedev played 2 games less than Djokovic. Daniil scored 74 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Serbian bagged 78 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 6.7 | 4 |
| 1st in | 88/124 | 95/137 |
| %1st in | 71% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 74/88 | 78/95 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 17/36 | 27/42 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 64% |
Medvedev struck 20 aces (6.7 per match). Djokovic blasted 12 aces (4 per match). Medvedev won 84% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Djokovic won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 12 |
| Converted | 15/32 | 12/18 |
| % Converted | 47% | 67% |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Russian broke his opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. Medvedev lost his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Novak broke his opponents 12 times with a 67% conversion rate. Novak conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||
| R1 Ramos-Vinolas | R2 Ruusuvuori | 1/4 Bautista-Agut | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 17 | 14 | 47 | |
| pts | 59-40 | 59-39 | 54-26 | 172-105 | |
| Total points | 99 | 98 | 80 | 277 | |
| Winners | 29 | 22 | 23 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 37% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 6 | 6 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 35/49 | 27/39 | 26/36 | 88/124 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 69% | 72% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 22/27 | 23/26 | 74/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 81% | 88% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 7/12 | 4/10 | 17/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 58% | 40% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/10 | 6/14 | 15/32 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 43% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Djokovic | |||||
| R1 Garin | R2 Van De Zandschulp | 1/4 Khachanov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 16 | 19 | 49 | |
| pts | 54-25 | 57-35 | 65-45 | 176-105 | |
| Total points | 79 | 92 | 110 | 281 | |
| Winners | 17 | 32 | 29 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 56% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 21/35 | 40/51 | 34/51 | 95/137 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 78% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 17/21 | 32/40 | 29/34 | 78/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 80% | 85% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/14 | 5/11 | 10/17 | 27/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 86% | 45% | 59% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 12/18 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 80% | 60% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Astana
- Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic – Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (3-6 7-64 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (5-5) – H2H and prediction