Stefanos Tsitsipas and Andrey Rublev will face off in the semifinal of the Astana Open for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.87
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 1.97
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Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Andrey Rublev
This will be the 11th time that Stefanos Tsitsipas and Andrey Rublev clash against each other. The head to head is 5-5 (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Tsitsipas won 6-3 2-6 6-4 in the quarter in Madrid back in May 2022.
Highlights Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev – Madrid 06-May-2022
Stefanos Tsitsipas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-9 | 9-5 | 5-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-22 | 13-11 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-24 | 19-9 | 17-5 | 11-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-24 | 18-8 | 17-4 | 18-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-19 | 26-8 | 23-5 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Tsitsipas got to the semifinal after defeating Mikhail Kukushkin 6-3 6-4, Luca Nardi 7-62 7-63 and Hubert Hurkacz 7-68 6-3.
In the quarter, Tsitsipas had a good straight sets win against Hurkacz (7-68 6-3). During the match, Tsitsipas scored 84 points vs Hurkacz’s 63. The Greek was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tsitsipas recorded 4 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Stefanos Tsitsipas was exceptionally effective on serve to win 86% (38/44) of his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tsitsipas broke Hurkacz once after converting 11% of his break points (1/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tsitsipas hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Tsitsipas has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 69% of his matches (382-173). 9-3 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Tsitsipas has a composed68-37 match record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Carlo where he beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 6-3 7-6(3) and in Mallorca where he defeated Roberto Bautista Agut in the final 6-4 3-6 7-6(2).
The Greek has a compiled 50-18 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Astana
The Greek has never competed in this tournament before.
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-10 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, Rublev reached the semifinal after defeating Laslo Djere 6-4 6-3, Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 6-2 and Adrian Mannarino 6-1 6-2.
In the quarter, Rublev had a good straight sets win against Mannarino (6-1 6-2). During the match Rublev scored 56 points vs Mannarino’s 30. Rublev was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Rublev struck 4 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Andrey Rublev was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rublev broke Mannarino 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rublev hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 62% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Marseille where he overcame Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in Dubai where he overcame Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Belgrade where he overcame Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-7(4) 6-0.
Andrey has a compiled 43-15 win-loss record in 2022, 10-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tsitsipas | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 51 |
| Pts | 229-178 | 174-108 |
| Total Points | 407 | 282 |
| Winners | 115 | 85 |
| %Winners | 50% | 49% |
Both Tsitsipas and Rublev played 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Tsitsipas and Rublev have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Tsitsipas played 16 games more than Rublev. Stefanos scored 115 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Rublev struck 85 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tsitsipas | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 5.7 |
| 1st in | 137/191 | 100/146 |
| %1st in | 72% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 115/137 | 85/100 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 37/54 | 28/46 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 61% |
Tsitsipas fired 19 aces (6.3 per match). Rublev recorded 17 aces (5.7 per match). Tsitsipas won 84% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tsitsipas | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 9 |
| Converted | 3/17 | 9/14 |
| % Converted | 18% | 64% |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Saved | 2 | 7 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Tsitsipas broke his opponents 3 times with a 18% conversion rate. Tsitsipas pretty effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Russian broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Russian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 7 break points.
| Tsitsipas | |||||
| R1 Kukushkin |
R2 Nardi |
1/4 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-62 7-63 | 7-68 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 26 | 22 | 67 | |
| pts | 64-48 | 81-67 | 84-63 | 229-178 | |
| Total points | 112 | 148 | 147 | 407 | |
| Winners | 36 | 41 | 38 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 51% | 45% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 10 | 4 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 44/56 | 49/73 | 44/62 | 137/191 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 67% | 71% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 36/44 | 41/49 | 38/44 | 115/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 84% | 86% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 17/24 | 14/18 | 37/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 71% | 78% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 0/0 | 1/9 | 3/17 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 0% | 11% | 18% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | – | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rublev | |||||
| R1 Djere |
R2 Zhang |
1/4 Mannarino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 15 | 51 | |
| pts | 60-44 | 58-34 | 56-30 | 174-108 | |
| Total points | 104 | 92 | 86 | 282 | |
| Winners | 30 | 29 | 26 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | 46% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 33/52 | 35/48 | 32/46 | 100/146 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 73% | 70% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 30/33 | 29/35 | 26/32 | 85/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 83% | 81% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 9/13 | 8/14 | 28/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 69% | 57% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 3/4 | 4/5 | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 75% | 80% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWWLW
LLWLWLLLWW Tennis Scores in Astana
- Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic – Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (3-6 7-64 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (5-5) – H2H and prediction
