Andrey Rublev and Adrian Mannarino will square off in the quarter of the Astana Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.24
Adrian Mannarino -> 4.25
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Adrian Mannarino
This will be the 3rd time that Andrey Rublev and Adrian Mannarino fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Rublev and Mannarino (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Mannarino won 5-7 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 2nd round in Moscow back in 2021.
Highlights Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev – Moscow 21-October-2021
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-10 | 13-5 | 9-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Russian reached the quarter after defeating Laslo Djere 6-4 6-3 and Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-3 6-2). During the match, Rublev scored 58 points vs Zhang’s 34. Andrey was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev blasted 6 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Andrey Rublev was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (29/35) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Andrey broke Zhang 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rublev hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 60% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (370-205). 9-1 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a composed 111-58 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Marseille where he beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in Dubai where he overcame Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Belgrade where he overcame Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-7(4) 6-0.
Rublev has a compiled 42-15 win-loss record in 2022, 9-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Astana
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 0-5 | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-17 | 8-7 | 0-3 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 51, the French player reached the quarter after beating Stan Wawrinka 1-6 6-2 6-3 and David Goffin 3-6 6-1 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Goffin, Adrian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 7-5). During the match Mannarino scored 98 points vs Goffin’s 85. Mannarino was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Mannarino scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (36/49) of his 1st serve and 59% (16/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Adrian broke Goffin 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mannarino has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Salem where he beat Laslo Djere in the final 7-6(1) 6-4.
Mannarino has an aggregate 31-28 win-loss record in 2022, 8-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 52 |
| Pts | 118-78 | 164-143 |
| Total Points | 196 | 307 |
| Winners | 59 | 62 |
| %Winners | 50% | 38% |
Both Rublev and Mannarino played 2 matches. At the moment, Adrian Mannarino conceded 2 sets while Andrey Rublev hasn’t lost a set so far. Rublev has played 2 set(s) less than Mannarino (4 vs 6). Therefore, Rublev played 16 games less than Mannarino. Andrey scored 59 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Adrian recorded 62 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 68/100 | 88/136 |
| %1st in | 68% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 59/68 | 62/88 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 20/32 | 32/48 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 67% |
Rublev managed to score 13 aces (6.5 per match). Mannarino managed to score 2 aces (1 per match). Rublev won 87% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 7/22 |
| % Converted | 56% | 32% |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 |
| Saved | 6 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Andrey broke his opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 6 break points. Mannarino broke his opponents 7 times with a 32% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||
| R1 Djere |
R2 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 36 | |
| pts | 60-44 | 58-34 | 118-78 | |
| Total points | 104 | 92 | 196 | |
| Winners | 30 | 29 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 33/52 | 35/48 | 68/100 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 73% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 30/33 | 29/35 | 59/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 83% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 9/13 | 20/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 69% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 3/4 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 75% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mannarino | ||||
| R1 Wawrinka |
R2 Goffin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-2 6-3 | 3-6 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 28 | 52 | |
| pts | 66-58 | 98-85 | 164-143 | |
| Total points | 124 | 183 | 307 | |
| Winners | 26 | 36 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 37% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/60 | 49/76 | 88/136 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/39 | 36/49 | 62/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 73% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/21 | 16/27 | 32/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 59% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/16 | 7/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 3/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 60% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWWW
LWLLLLLLLW Tennis Scores in Astana
- Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic – Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek (7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hubert Hurkacz/Jan ZielinskiHurkacz/Jan Zielinski – Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini (4-6 6-2 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Andrey RublevRublev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (1-6) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-2) – H2H and prediction
