Lucas Gerch and Oleksandr Ovcharenko will face off in the qualifications of the Parma Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Gerch who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lucas Gerch is the pick to win this match.
Lucas Gerch -> 1.42
Oleksandr Ovcharenko -> 2.69
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Prediction and head to head Lucas Gerch vs. Oleksandr Ovcharenko
There is no head to head record between Lucas Gerch and Oleksandr Ovcharenko since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-17 | 0-2 | 27-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-18 | 14-9 | 7-7 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 310 (career-high), the German reached the qualifications after defeating Luigi Sorrentino 6-4 6-3.
In the qualifications, The German had a good straight sets win against Sorrentino (6-4 6-3). During the match, Gerch scored 59 points vs Sorrentino’s 42. Lucas was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gerch recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Lucas Gerch was very efficient on serve to win 76% (22/29) of his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Gerch broke Sorrentino 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Gerch has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 61% of his matches (191-120). 36-18 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Gerch has a compiled122-69 record in the last 6 years on clay.
Lucas’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Cancun,M15 Ueberlingen and the Prague 3 Challenger.
The German has a composed 49-23 win-loss record in 2022, 36-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Parma Challenger
The German has never competed in this tournament before.
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-10 | 0-0 | 34-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-13 | 0-5 | 9-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-26 | 13-6 | 38-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-25 | 1-3 | 40-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 16-5 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 437, the Ukrainian reached the qualifications after defeating Jaroslav Pospisil 6-3 7-5.
In the qualifications, Oleksandr had a good straight sets win against Pospisil (6-3 7-5). During the match Ovcharenko scored 68 points vs Pospisil’s 57. Ovcharenko was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Ovcharenko managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Oleksandr Ovcharenko lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ovcharenko put 61% of his first serves in, winning 59% (26/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the 2nd serve. Ovcharenko broke Pospisil 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Oleksandr’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Prijedor,M15 Bergamo,M15 Litija and M25 Radomlje.
The Ukrainian has a compiled 43-22 win-loss record in 2022, 37-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gerch | Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 |
| Pts | 59-42 | 68-57 |
| Total Points | 101 | 125 |
| Winners | 22 | 26 |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% |
Both Gerch and Ovcharenko played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gerch and Ovcharenko have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gerch played 2 games less than Ovcharenko. Lucas scored 22 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Ukrainian made 26 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gerch | Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 29/48 | 44/72 |
| %1st in | 60% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 26/44 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 14/19 | 15/28 |
| %2nd pts | 74% | 54% |
Gerch recorded 3 aces . Ovcharenko managed to score 4 aces . Gerch won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 74% of the points. On the other side, Ovcharenko won 59% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gerch | Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/6 |
| % Converted | 43% | 83% |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Gerch broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Lucas lost his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The Ukrainian broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gerch | |||
| Q1 Sorrentino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 59-42 | 59-42 | |
| Total points | 101 | 101 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 29/48 | 29/48 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 22/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/19 | 14/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 74% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Ovcharenko | |||
| Q1 Pospisil |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 68-57 | 68-57 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 44/72 | 44/72 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 26/44 | 26/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 15/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWWL
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