Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Dmitry Popko will face off in the semifinal of the Buenos Aires Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.36
Dmitry Popko -> 3.04
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Dmitry Popko
There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Dmitry Popko since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-26 | 2-4 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 118, Camilo got to the semifinal after beating Daniel Dutra Da Silva 6-2 6-2, Juan Bautista Otegui 6-2 0-6 6-4 and Renzo Olivo 6-3 4-6 6-2.
In the quarter, Camilo defeated Olivo (6-3 4-6 6-2). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 95 points vs Olivo’s 82. Camilo was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored just 1 ace in the match and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 68% of his first serves in, winning 70% (43/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. Ugo Carabelli broke Olivo 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 64% of his matches (244-137). 33-14 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate217-115 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
Ugo Carabelli’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger,the Buenos Aires 2 Challenger and the Lima Challenger.
Camilo has an aggregate 36-19 win-loss record in 2022, 33-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Buenos Aires Challenger
Dmitry Popko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 62-29 | 5-1 | 57-28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-20 | 1-1 | 38-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-30 | 11-11 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-34 | 0-4 | 27-19 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-23 | 13-8 | 15-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 235, the Kazakhstani got to the semifinal after beating Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna 7-68 0-6 7-5, Wilson Leite 6-4 6-3 and Roman Andres Burruchaga 7-5 0-6 6-2.
In the quarter, Dmitry defeated Andres Burruchaga (7-5 0-6 6-2).During the match Popko scored less points (4) than Andres Burruchaga. In fact, the world no. 118 won 86 points vs Andres Burruchaga’s. That means that Popko was more focused during the important points. The Kazakhstani was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Popko couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 5 double faults. Dmitry Popko lost the serve 6 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Popko put 51% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (13/41) on the 2nd serve. Popko broke Andres Burruchaga 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dmitry has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
Dmitry’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Sultan Challenger.
The Kazakhstani has a composed 18-26 win-loss record in 2022, 7-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Buenos Aires Challenger
The Kazakhstani has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Popko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 76 |
| Pts | 239-202 | 258-258 |
| Total Points | 441 | 516 |
| Winners | 95 | 93 |
| %Winners | 40% | 36% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Popko played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost 2 sets, while Dmitry Popko conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Ugo Carabelli and Popko have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Ugo Carabelli played 9 games less than Popko. Ugo Carabelli scored 95 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani made 93 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Popko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4.7 |
| 1st in | 140/218 | 142/250 |
| %1st in | 64% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 95/140 | 93/142 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 41/78 | 43/108 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 40% |
Ugo Carabelli struck 3 aces (1 per match). Popko bagged 14 aces (4.7 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 68% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Popko won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 40% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Popko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 16 |
| Converted | 13/26 | 16/41 |
| % Converted | 50% | 39% |
| Conceded | 25 | 32 |
| Saved | 18 | 17 |
| % Saved | 72% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 15 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli lost his serve 7 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 16 times with a 39% conversion rate. Dmitry conceded his serve 15 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||||
| R1 Dutra Da Silva |
R2 Bautista Otegui |
1/4 Olivo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 0-6 6-4 | 6-3 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 24 | 27 | 67 | |
| pts | 65-40 | 79-80 | 95-82 | 239-202 | |
| Total points | 105 | 159 | 177 | 441 | |
| Winners | 28 | 24 | 43 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 30% | 45% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/54 | 43/74 | 61/90 | 140/218 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 58% | 68% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 24/43 | 43/61 | 95/140 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 56% | 70% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 19/31 | 14/29 | 41/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 61% | 48% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | 4/14 | 4/7 | 13/26 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 29% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 10 | 8 | 25 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6/10 | 6/8 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 60% | 75% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| Popko | |||||
| R1 Fa Rodriguez Taverna |
R2 Leite |
1/4 Andres |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-68 0-6 7-5 | 6-4 6-3 | 7-5 0-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 19 | 26 | 76 | |
| pts | 110-121 | 62-47 | 86-90 | 258-258 | |
| Total points | 231 | 109 | 176 | 516 | |
| Winners | 44 | 19 | 30 | 93 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 31% | 35% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 0 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 72/116 | 27/50 | 43/84 | 142/250 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 54% | 51% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 44/72 | 19/27 | 30/43 | 93/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 70% | 70% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/44 | 11/23 | 13/41 | 43/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 48% | 32% | 40% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 6/13 | 6/14 | 16/41 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 46% | 43% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 6 | 11 | 32 | |
| Saved | 9/15 | 3/6 | 5/11 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 50% | 45% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 | 6 | 15 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWLLL
LWLLLLLLWL Tennis Scores in Buenos Aires Challenger
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-3 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Dmitry PopkoPopko – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (7-5 0-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Renzo OlivoOlivo (6-3 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Dmitry PopkoPopko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (2-1) – H2H and prediction
