Lorenzo Musetti and Jan-Lennard Struff will face off in the quarter of the Sofia Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan-Lennard Struff who should win in 3 sets.
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 1.82
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.03
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Jan-Lennard Struff
There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Musetti and Jan-Lennard Struff since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-22 | 18-11 | 19-4 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30 (career-high), Lorenzo got to the quarter after defeating Alexandar Lazarov 6-75 7-68 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Lazarov, Musetti recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 7-68 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 125 points vs Lazarov’s 99. Lorenzo was very aggressive to blast 58 winners.
Talking about the service games, Musetti made 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (58/70) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Lazarov 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Musetti has a winning win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 58% of his matches (131-94). 5-2 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a compiled23-21 record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Hamburg where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 6-4 6-7(6) 6-4.
Musetti has a composed 33-22 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Sofia
Jan-Lennard Struff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-30 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 12-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-21 | 4-8 | 15-5 | 5-6 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-24 | 21-9 | 14-7 | 5-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-22 | 3-10 | 7-4 | 12-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-30 | 8-11 | 11-8 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 132, the German reached the quarter after defeating Aziz Dougaz 6-3 6-2, Mirza Basic 6-3 6-4, Dusan Lajovic 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Ugo Humbert 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The German had a good straight sets win against Humbert (6-3 6-1). During the match Struff scored 57 points vs Humbert’s 35. Jan-Lennard was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Struff blasted 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jan-Lennard Struff was extremely efficient on serve to win 95% (21/22) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Struff broke Humbert 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jan-Lennard started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Jan-Lennard’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Braunschweig Challenger.
The German has a compiled 18-18 win-loss record in 2022, 7-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Sofia
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019 and 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 79 |
| Pts | 125-99 | 274-195 |
| Total Points | 224 | 469 |
| Winners | 58 | 118 |
| %Winners | 46% | 43% |
Musetti played 1 match while Struff competed in 4 matches. Struff started his run from the qualifications while Musetti had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti conceded 1 set, while Jan-Lennard Struff lost 1 set. Musetti has played 6 set(s) less than Struff (3 vs 9). Therefore, Musetti played 45 games less than Struff. The Italian scored 58 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Struff managed to score 118 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 38 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 9.5 |
| 1st in | 70/101 | 129/218 |
| %1st in | 69% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 58/70 | 118/129 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 91% |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 48/89 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 54% |
Musetti scored 8 aces . Struff struck 38 aces (9.5 per match). Musetti won 83% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Struff won 91% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 13 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 13/29 |
| % Converted | 43% | 45% |
| Conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Saved | 4 | 7 |
| % Saved | 80% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Musetti surrendered his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Struff broke his opponents 13 times with a 45% conversion rate. Struff conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | |||
| R2 Lazarov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 7-68 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 125-99 | 125-99 | |
| Total points | 224 | 224 | |
| Winners | 58 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 70/101 | 70/101 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 58/70 | 58/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 18/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Struff | ||||||
| Q1 Dougaz | Q3 Basic | R1 Lajovic | R2 Humbert | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 27 | 16 | 79 | |
| pts | 56-34 | 70-57 | 91-69 | 57-35 | 274-195 | |
| Total points | 90 | 127 | 160 | 92 | 469 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | 43 | 21 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 39% | 47% | 37% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 12 | 14 | 6 | 38 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 28/42 | 31/58 | 48/77 | 22/41 | 129/218 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 53% | 62% | 54% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 27/28 | 27/31 | 43/48 | 21/22 | 118/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 87% | 90% | 95% | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 16/27 | 12/29 | 11/19 | 48/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 59% | 41% | 58% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/8 | 4/9 | 4/6 | 13/29 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 44% | 67% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 5/7 | 0/0 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 71% | – | 171% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Fernando VerdascoVerdasco (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (2-0) – H2H and prediction