Jan-Lennard Struff and Mirza Basic will face off in the qualifications of the Sofia Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan-Lennard Struff who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jan-Lennard Struff is the pick to win this match.
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 1.17
Mirza Basic -> 4.8
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Prediction and head to head Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Mirza Basic
This will be the 3rd time that Jan-Lennard Struff and Mirza Basic face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Struff (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Struff won 7-6(2) 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Mons Challenger back in 2015.
Jan-Lennard Struff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-17 | 4-8 | 15-5 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-24 | 21-9 | 14-7 | 5-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-22 | 3-10 | 7-4 | 12-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-30 | 8-11 | 11-8 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-15 | 10-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 132, Struff got to the qualifications after defeating Aziz Dougaz 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, The German had a good straight sets win against Dougaz (6-3 6-2). During the match, Struff scored 56 points vs Dougaz’s 34. Jan-Lennard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Struff blasted 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jan-Lennard Struff was exceptionally effective on serve to win 96% (27/28) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Struff broke Dougaz 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Struff has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (329-277). 4-0 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Struff has an overall 110-77 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The German’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Braunschweig Challenger.
Struff has an overall 15-18 win-loss record in 2022, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Sofia
Mirza Basic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-19 | 0-4 | 19-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-19 | 0-1 | 23-12 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 17-29 | 1-6 | 6-11 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 37-27 | 9-7 | 17-13 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2020 | 8-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 293, Basic got to the qualifications after beating Alexey Vatutin 7-5 6-1.
In the qualifications, Mirza had a good straight sets win against Vatutin (7-5 6-1). During the match Basic scored 65 points vs Vatutin’s 47. The Bosnian was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Basic managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mirza Basic lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Basic put 59% of his first serves in, winning 85% (28/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Mirza broke Vatutin 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Mirza’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Forli 5 Challenger.
The Bosnian has a compiled 13-23 win-loss record in 2022, 5-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Struff | Basic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 |
| Pts | 56-34 | 65-47 |
| Total Points | 90 | 112 |
| Winners | 27 | 28 |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% |
Both Struff and Basic played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Struff and Basic have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Struff played 2 games less than Basic. The German scored 27 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Mirza blasted 28 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Struff | Basic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 4 |
| 1st in | 28/42 | 33/56 |
| %1st in | 67% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 27/28 | 28/33 |
| %1st pts | 96% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 11/23 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 48% |
Struff fired 6 aces . Basic struck 4 aces . Struff won 96% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Basic won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Struff | Basic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Struff broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Jan-Lennard was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Bosnian broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Basic conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Struff | |||
| Q1 Dougaz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 56-34 | 56-34 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 28/42 | 28/42 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 27/28 | 27/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 96% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 9/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Basic | |||
| Q1 Vatutin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 65-47 | 65-47 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/56 | 33/56 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 28/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 11/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWLWW
LWLWLLWWLW
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