Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Nicolas Moreno De Alboran will fight against each other in the final of the Braga Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Moreno De Alboran who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Moreno De Alboran is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran -> 1.64
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs. Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
This will be the 2nd time that Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Nicolas Moreno De Alboran play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Moreno De Alboran (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Moreno De Alboran won 6-7(5) 7-6(11) 4-1 ret. in the quarter in M25 Klosters back in 2021.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-26 | 0-0 | 38-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-25 | 1-3 | 19-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-29 | 1-3 | 27-24 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 72-29 | 0-0 | 72-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 13-7 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 216, matheus got to the final after defeating Jeremy Jahn 6-4 6-4, Nuno Borges 6-2 6-4, Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-3 6-3 and Jelle Sels 6-2 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Sels (6-2 6-2). During the match, Pucinelli De Almeida scored 62 points vs Sels’s 42. Pucinelli De Almeida was pretty aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pucinelli De Almeida scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 4 double faults. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Pucinelli De Almeida put 52% of his first serves in, winning 70% (19/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Sels 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Pucinelli De Almeida has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (140-83). 21-18 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Pucinelli De Almeida has a compiled119-67 win-loss record in the last 6 years on clay.
Pucinelli De Almeida’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Iasi Challenger and the Braga Challenger.
Matheus has an overall 23-23 win-loss record in 2022, 21-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Braga Challenger
The Brazilian has never competed in this tournament before.
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-35 | 21-12 | 27-19 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-30 | 25-16 | 10-8 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-20 | 8-2 | 28-17 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-20 | 22-11 | 22-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 14-8 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 308, Nicolas reached the final after beating Fabio Coelho 6-1 6-2, Tristan Lamasine 6-2 6-3, Marco Trungelliti 7-61 6-2, Alexandre Muller 4-6 6-3 6-4, Javier Barranco Cosano 7-66 7-5 and Timofey Skatov 3-6 7-5 6-2.
In the semifinal against Skatov, Nicolas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-2). During the match Moreno De Alboran scored 90 points vs Skatov’s 88. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Moreno De Alboran bagged 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Nicolas Moreno De Alboran lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Moreno De Alboran put 58% of his first serves in, winning 57% (32/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (24/41) on the 2nd serve. Moreno De Alboran broke Skatov 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Nicolas’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Salinas Challenger and M25 Madrid.
Moreno De Alboran has an overall 37-19 win-loss record in 2022, 27-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Braga Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pucinelli De Almeida | Moreno De Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 72 | 136 |
| Pts | 260-198 | 481-414 |
| Total Points | 458 | 895 |
| Winners | 96 | 187 |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% |
Pucinelli De Almeida played 4 matches while Moreno De Alboran competed in 6 matches. Moreno De Alboran started his run from the qualifications while Pucinelli De Almeida had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Nicolas Moreno De Alboran surrendered 2 sets while Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida hasn’t lost a set so far. Pucinelli De Almeida has played 6 set(s) less than Moreno De Alboran (8 vs 14). Therefore, Pucinelli De Almeida played 64 games less than Moreno De Alboran. Pucinelli De Almeida scored 96 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolas made 187 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pucinelli De Almeida | Moreno De Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 139/222 | 290/463 |
| %1st in | 63% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 96/139 | 187/290 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 48/83 | 97/173 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 56% |
Pucinelli De Almeida managed to score 7 aces (1.8 per match). Moreno De Alboran fired 15 aces (2.5 per match). Pucinelli De Almeida won 69% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Moreno De Alboran won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pucinelli De Almeida | Moreno De Alboran |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 27 |
| Converted | 17/32 | 27/51 |
| % Converted | 53% | 53% |
| Conceded | 11 | 39 |
| Saved | 6 | 25 |
| % Saved | 55% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 14 |
Matheus broke his opponents 17 times with a 53% conversion rate. Pucinelli De Almeida surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded. Nicolas broke his opponents 27 times with a 53% conversion rate. Moreno De Alboran conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pucinelli De Almeida | ||||||
| R1 Jahn |
R2 Borges |
1/4 Llamas Ruiz |
1/2 Sels |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 72 | |
| pts | 67-53 | 58-44 | 73-59 | 62-42 | 260-198 | |
| Total points | 120 | 102 | 132 | 104 | 458 | |
| Winners | 22 | 27 | 28 | 19 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 47% | 38% | 31% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 37/61 | 36/49 | 39/60 | 27/52 | 139/222 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 73% | 65% | 52% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 22/37 | 27/36 | 28/39 | 19/27 | 96/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 75% | 72% | 70% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 9/13 | 11/21 | 16/25 | 48/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 69% | 52% | 64% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 3/7 | 4/7 | 4/6 | 17/32 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 57% | 67% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 3/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 20% | – | 67% | 100% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Moreno De Alboran | ||||||||
| Q1 Coelho |
Q3 Lamasine |
R1 Trungelliti |
R2 Muller |
1/4 Barranco Cosano |
1/2 Skatov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-61 6-2 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 7-66 7-5 | 3-6 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 21 | 29 | 25 | 29 | 136 | |
| pts | 69-45 | 59-45 | 76-59 | 92-90 | 95-87 | 90-88 | 481-414 | |
| Total points | 114 | 104 | 135 | 182 | 182 | 178 | 895 | |
| Winners | 20 | 16 | 34 | 46 | 39 | 32 | 187 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 27% | 45% | 50% | 41% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | |
| 1st in | 30/55 | 28/47 | 50/73 | 66/102 | 60/89 | 56/97 | 290/463 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 60% | 68% | 65% | 67% | 58% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 20/30 | 16/28 | 34/50 | 46/66 | 39/60 | 32/56 | 187/290 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 57% | 68% | 70% | 65% | 57% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 14/19 | 16/23 | 15/36 | 14/29 | 24/41 | 97/173 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 74% | 70% | 42% | 48% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 27 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/10 | 3/4 | 4/8 | 4/10 | 5/9 | 27/51 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 40% | 56% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 39 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 1/2 | 5/6 | 8/11 | 3/6 | 4/8 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 83% | 73% | 50% | 50% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida – Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran (0-1) – H2H and prediction
