Liudmila Samsonova and Qinwen Zheng will play each other in the final of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.58
Qinwen Zheng -> 2.45
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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Qinwen Zheng
This will be the 2nd time that Liudmila Samsonova and Qinwen Zheng square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Zheng (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Zheng won 6-3 6-2 in the 1st round in Palermo back in 2021.
Liudmila Samsonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-23 | 15-15 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Ludmilla got to the final after beating Elena Rybakina 6-2 6-4, Xinyu Wang 7-65 6-3, Garbine Muguruza 6-4 6-2 and Shuai Zhang 7-64 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Zhang (7-64 6-2). During the match, Samsonova scored 75 points vs Zhang’s 58. Ludmilla was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Samsonova fired 13 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Liudmila Samsonova was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 73% (27/37) of her 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Ludmilla broke Zhang 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ludmilla hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Samsonova has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 65% of her matches (231-126). 23-8 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Samsonova has an overall70-37 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Washington where she beat Kaia Kanepi in the final 4-6 6-3 6-3 and in Cleveland where she overcame Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the final 6-1 6-3.
Ludmilla has a composed 27-15 win-loss record in 2022, 23-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-12 | 8-6 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-18 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36 (career-high), Qinwen got to the final after defeating Misaki Doi 6-2 6-4, Paula Badosa Gibert 6-3 6-2, Claire Liu 6-4 7-5 and Veronika Kudermetova 5-7 6-3 7-63.
In the semifinal against Kudermetova, Qinwen recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 7-63). During the match Zheng scored 110 points vs Kudermetova’s 107. Qinwen was very aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about serving, Zheng scored 8 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve twice and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 53% of her first serves in, winning 78% (52/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (29/59) on the 2nd serve. Zheng broke Kudermetova twice after converting 67% of her break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Zheng has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the Valencia where she defeated Xiyu Wang in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3.
Qinwen has an aggregate 36-15 win-loss record in 2022, 25-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Samsonova | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 91 |
| Pts | 284-224 | 311-266 |
| Total Points | 508 | 577 |
| Winners | 114 | 136 |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% |
Both Samsonova and Zheng played 4 matches. At the moment, Qinwen Zheng surrendered 1 set while Liudmila Samsonova hasn’t lost a set so far. Samsonova has played 1 set(s) less than Zheng (8 vs 9). Therefore, Samsonova played 12 games less than Zheng. Ludmilla scored 114 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Zheng bagged 136 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Samsonova | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 34 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 150/241 | 171/299 |
| %1st in | 62% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 114/150 | 136/171 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 50/91 | 59/128 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 46% |
Samsonova recorded 34 aces (8.5 per match). Zheng fired 28 aces (7 per match). Samsonova won 76% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Zheng won 80% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Samsonova | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 14 |
| Converted | 14/26 | 14/27 |
| % Converted | 54% | 52% |
| Conceded | 11 | 22 |
| Saved | 6 | 16 |
| % Saved | 55% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
Ludmilla broke her opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded. Qinwen broke her opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Samsonova | ||||||
| R1 Rybakina |
R2 Wang |
1/4 Muguruza |
1/2 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 7-65 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | 7-64 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 18 | 21 | 79 | |
| pts | 71-54 | 75-68 | 63-44 | 75-58 | 284-224 | |
| Total points | 125 | 143 | 107 | 133 | 508 | |
| Winners | 31 | 38 | 18 | 27 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 51% | 29% | 36% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 51/74 | 25/47 | 37/64 | 150/241 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 69% | 53% | 58% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 38/51 | 18/25 | 27/37 | 114/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 75% | 72% | 73% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/19 | 11/23 | 13/22 | 17/27 | 50/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 48% | 59% | 63% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 2/5 | 5/7 | 4/5 | 14/26 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 40% | 71% | 80% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 2/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Zheng | ||||||
| R1 Doi |
R2 Badosa |
1/4 Liu |
1/2 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 7-5 | 5-7 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 22 | 34 | 91 | |
| pts | 63-44 | 59-44 | 79-71 | 110-107 | 311-266 | |
| Total points | 107 | 103 | 150 | 217 | 577 | |
| Winners | 25 | 27 | 32 | 52 | 136 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 46% | 41% | 47% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 32/53 | 33/51 | 39/69 | 67/126 | 171/299 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 65% | 57% | 53% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 25/32 | 27/33 | 32/39 | 52/67 | 136/171 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 82% | 82% | 78% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 7/18 | 12/30 | 29/59 | 59/128 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 39% | 40% | 49% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/6 | 4/11 | 2/3 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 67% | 36% | 67% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/2 | 4/6 | 8/10 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 67% | 80% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLLWLW
LWLLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Daniel NguyenNguyen – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (7-68 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
