Jelena Ostapenko and Ekaterina Alexandrova will clash against each other in the final of the Hana Bank Korea Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ekaterina Alexandrova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ekaterina Alexandrova is the pick to win this match.
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 1.83
Jelena Ostapenko -> 2.02
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
This will be the 7th time that Jelena Ostapenko and Ekaterina Alexandrova clash against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Alexandrova won 6-2 4-6 6-4 in the 1st round in Madrid back in April 2022.
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-8 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Ostapenko reached the final after defeating Boyoung Jeong 6-4 3-6 7-62, Anastasia Gasanova 6-3 5-7 7-5, Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 6-2 6-1 and Emma Raducanu 4-6 6-3 3-0 ret..
In the semifinal against Raducanu, The Latvian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 3-0 ret.). During the match, Ostapenko scored 82 points vs Raducanu’s 66. Jelena was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ostapenko bagged 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 58% of her first serves in, winning 67% (32/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the 2nd serve. Ostapenko broke Raducanu 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ostapenko has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (300-186). 17-8 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Ostapenko has an aggregate 100-84 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Dubai where she beat Veronika Kudermetova in the final 6-0 6-4.
The Latvian has a composed 29-15 win-loss record in 2022, 17-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Seoul
The Latvian has never competed in this tournament before.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-10 | 9-7 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 9-4 | 4-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24 (career-high), Alexandrova got to the final after defeating Asia Muhammad 6-1 3-6 6-1, Na-Lae Han 6-1 6-3, Lulu Sun 7-5 7-66 and Tatjana Maria 6-2 6-4.
In the semifinal, Alexandrova had a good straight sets win against Maria (6-2 6-4). During the match Alexandrova scored 63 points vs Maria’s 38. Alexandrova was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Alexandrova fired 3 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Ekaterina Alexandrova was pretty efficient on serve to win 79% (23/29) of her 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Ekaterina broke Maria 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ekaterina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Hertogenbosch where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 6-0.
Alexandrova has a composed 31-16 win-loss record in 2022, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 102 | 82 |
| Pts | 370-318 | 279-201 |
| Total Points | 688 | 480 |
| Winners | 127 | 94 |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% |
Both Ostapenko and Alexandrova played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jelena Ostapenko lost 3 sets, while Ekaterina Alexandrova surrendered 1 set. Ostapenko has played 3 sets more than Alexandrova (12 vs 9). Therefore, Ostapenko played 20 games more than Alexandrova. Ostapenko scored 127 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Alexandrova blasted 94 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 192/357 | 120/229 |
| %1st in | 54% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 127/192 | 94/120 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 74/165 | 55/109 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 50% |
Ostapenko recorded 13 aces (3.3 per match). Alexandrova recorded 10 aces (2.5 per match). Ostapenko won 66% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 78% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 25 | 22 |
| Converted | 25/48 | 22/37 |
| % Converted | 52% | 59% |
| Conceded | 35 | 18 |
| Saved | 16 | 8 |
| % Saved | 46% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 19 | 10 |
The Latvian broke her opponents 25 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Latvian surrendered her serve 19 times and she saved 46% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 22 times with a 59% conversion rate. Alexandrova conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | ||||||
| R1 Jeong |
R2 Gasanova |
1/4 Jimenez |
1/2 Raducanu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 7-62 | 6-3 5-7 7-5 | 6-2 6-1 | 4-6 6-3 3-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 33 | 15 | 22 | 102 | |
| pts | 106-99 | 118-111 | 64-42 | 82-66 | 370-318 | |
| Total points | 205 | 229 | 106 | 148 | 688 | |
| Winners | 30 | 44 | 21 | 32 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 37% | 33% | 39% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 32 | |
| 1st in | 46/91 | 69/125 | 29/58 | 48/83 | 192/357 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 55% | 50% | 58% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 30/46 | 44/69 | 21/29 | 32/48 | 127/192 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 64% | 72% | 67% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/45 | 25/56 | 13/29 | 18/35 | 74/165 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 45% | 45% | 51% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25 | |
| Converted | 7/15 | 7/15 | 6/10 | 5/8 | 25/48 | |
| Converted % | 47% | 47% | 60% | 63% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 35 | |
| Saved | 1/9 | 8/14 | 2/4 | 5/8 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 11% | 57% | 50% | 63% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | |
| Alexandrova | ||||||
| R1 Muhammad |
R2 Han |
1/4 Sun |
1/2 Maria |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 6-1 | 6-1 6-3 | 7-5 7-66 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 16 | 25 | 18 | 82 | |
| pts | 73-54 | 62-35 | 81-74 | 63-38 | 279-201 | |
| Total points | 127 | 97 | 155 | 101 | 480 | |
| Winners | 24 | 16 | 31 | 23 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 26% | 38% | 37% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 25 | |
| 1st in | 28/62 | 19/43 | 44/76 | 29/48 | 120/229 | |
| % 1st in | 45% | 44% | 58% | 60% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 16/19 | 31/44 | 23/29 | 94/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 84% | 70% | 79% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/34 | 16/24 | 12/32 | 10/19 | 55/109 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 67% | 38% | 53% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 22 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/9 | 6/11 | 5/7 | 22/37 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 56% | 55% | 71% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 3/4 | 2/7 | 1/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 29% | 33% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 | |
Head 2 Head
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LLLWWWWLLL Tennis Scores in Seoul
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Gerald MelzerMelzer (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (2-4) – H2H and prediction
