Alexander Bublik and Stan Wawrinka will square off in the semifinal of the Moselle Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:30 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.71
Stan Wawrinka -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Stan Wawrinka
This will be the 2nd time that Alexander Bublik and Stan Wawrinka square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Bublik (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Bublik won 3-6 7-5 6-2 in the 1st round in Monte carlo back in April 2022.
Highlights Alexander Bublik vs Stan Wawrinka – Monte carlo 11-April-2022
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 44, Bublik got to the semifinal after defeating Evan Furness 5-7 6-4 7-65, Emil Ruusuvuori 6-74 6-4 6-3 and Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 6-3 5-7 6-4.
In the quarter, Alexander defeated Vitus Nodskov Rune (6-3 5-7 6-4). During the match, Bublik scored 93 points vs Vitus Nodskov Rune’s 88. The Kazakhstani was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bublik struck 15 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 61% of his first serves in, winning 80% (47/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (15/37) on the 2nd serve. Bublik broke Vitus Nodskov Rune 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bublik has lost 3 set in this event to conquer 51% of the points he played.
Bublik has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (292-203). 11-3 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Bublik has an aggregate86-48 match record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title in in Montpellier where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-4 6-3.
Alexander has a composed 27-22 win-loss record in 2022, 11-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Metz
Alexander has never competed in this tournament before.
Stan Wawrinka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-20 | 1-5 | 5-10 | 5-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-24 | 8-6 | 11-8 | 8-9 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-15 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-8 | 8-3 | 9-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 284, Stan reached the semifinal after beating Laslo Djere 6-4 6-3, Zsombor Piros 6-74 6-2 6-0, Joao Sousa 7-61 6-2, Daniil Medvedev 6-4 6-77 6-3 and Mikael Ymer 6-4 4-6 7-65.
In the quarter, Stan defeated Ymer (6-4 4-6 7-65). During the match Wawrinka scored 114 points vs Ymer’s 111. The Swiss was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, Wawrinka scored 7 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Stan Wawrinka lost the serve 3 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Wawrinka put 60% of his first serves in, winning 67% (45/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (28/45) on the 2nd serve. Stan broke Ymer 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stan started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Wawrinka has a compiled 8-10 win-loss record in 2022, 5-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bublik | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 98 | 132 |
| Pts | 327-311 | 454-387 |
| Total Points | 638 | 841 |
| Winners | 159 | 180 |
| %Winners | 49% | 40% |
Bublik played 3 matches while Wawrinka competed in 5 matches. Wawrinka started his run from the qualifications while Bublik had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Bublik conceded 3 sets, while Stan Wawrinka dropped 3 sets. Bublik has played 4 set(s) less than Wawrinka (9 vs 13). Therefore, Bublik played 34 games less than Wawrinka. Alexander scored 159 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Swiss scored 180 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bublik | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 42 | 27 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 5.4 |
| 1st in | 209/327 | 244/425 |
| %1st in | 64% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 159/209 | 180/244 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 50/118 | 114/181 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 63% |
Bublik fired 42 aces (14 per match). Wawrinka struck 27 aces (5.4 per match). Bublik won 76% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Wawrinka won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bublik | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 17 |
| Converted | 13/20 | 17/41 |
| % Converted | 65% | 41% |
| Conceded | 18 | 27 |
| Saved | 8 | 21 |
| % Saved | 44% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 6 |
The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani lost his serve 10 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. The Swiss broke his opponents 17 times with a 41% conversion rate. Stan conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bublik | |||||
| R1 Furness |
R2 Ruusuvuori |
1/4 Vitus Nodskov Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-4 7-65 | 6-74 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 32 | 31 | 98 | |
| pts | 123-117 | 111-106 | 93-88 | 327-311 | |
| Total points | 240 | 217 | 181 | 638 | |
| Winners | 54 | 58 | 47 | 159 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 52% | 51% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 14 | 13 | 15 | 42 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | |
| 1st in | 69/102 | 81/129 | 59/96 | 209/327 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 63% | 61% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 54/69 | 58/81 | 47/59 | 159/209 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 72% | 80% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/33 | 23/48 | 15/37 | 50/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 48% | 41% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 13/20 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 80% | 80% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18 | |
| Saved | 1/6 | 5/7 | 2/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 17% | 71% | 40% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Wawrinka | |||||||
| Q1 Djere |
Q3 Piros |
R1 Sousa |
R2 Medvedev |
1/4 Ymer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-74 6-2 6-0 | 7-61 6-2 | 6-4 6-77 6-3 | 6-4 4-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 27 | 21 | 32 | 33 | 132 | |
| pts | 64-45 | 99-76 | 70-60 | 107-95 | 114-111 | 454-387 | |
| Total points | 109 | 175 | 130 | 202 | 225 | 841 | |
| Winners | 20 | 42 | 29 | 44 | 45 | 180 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 42% | 41% | 41% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 1 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 24/51 | 61/95 | 35/69 | 57/98 | 67/112 | 244/425 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 64% | 51% | 58% | 60% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 42/61 | 29/35 | 44/57 | 45/67 | 180/244 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 69% | 83% | 77% | 67% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/27 | 22/34 | 20/34 | 25/41 | 28/45 | 114/181 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 65% | 59% | 61% | 62% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/9 | 2/3 | 4/11 | 3/11 | 17/41 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 56% | 67% | 36% | 27% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 27 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/4 | 3/3 | 2/4 | 11/14 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 79% | 126% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLLWLLL
LLWLWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Metz
- Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski – Gregoire Barrere/Quentin HalysBarrere/Quentin Halys (6-1 6-79 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Alexander BublikBublik (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (3-2) – H2H and prediction
