Sebastian Korda and Lorenzo Sonego will face off in the quarter of the Moselle Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on COURT PATRICE DOMINGUEZ. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 2 sets.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.37
Lorenzo Sonego -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Korda vs. Lorenzo Sonego
This will be the 4th time that Sebastian Korda and Lorenzo Sonego clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Sonego (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Sonego won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in San diego back in 2021.
Sebastian Korda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-18 | 12-8 | 5-5 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 49, Korda got to the quarter after beating Hugo Gaston 6-3 7-62 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 7-66.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-3 7-66). During the match, Korda scored 74 points vs Musetti’s 72. Sebastian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Korda made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Sebastian Korda was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (33/43) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sebastian broke Musetti twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Korda hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Korda has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (176-116). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Korda has a composed26-15 win-loss record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
Korda’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Estoril.
Sebastian has a composed 25-17 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Metz
Korda has never competed in this tournament before.
Lorenzo Sonego
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-29 | 11-14 | 1-5 | 8-6 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-33 | 10-14 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 65, the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Aslan Karatsev 7-5 6-3 and Gilles Simon 7-62 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Simon (7-62 6-4). During the match Sonego scored 80 points vs Simon’s 66. Sonego was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Sonego scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Lorenzo Sonego was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (28/39) of his 1st serve and 75% (18/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sonego broke Simon twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Buenos Aires.
The Italian has an overall 22-24 win-loss record in 2022, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in Metz
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019 and 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Korda | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 44 |
| Pts | 157-138 | 161-130 |
| Total Points | 295 | 291 |
| Winners | 70 | 67 |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% |
Both Korda and Sonego played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Korda and Sonego have played the same amount of sets 4. They also played the same amount of games (44). The American scored 70 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Sonego made 67 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Korda | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 94/144 | 98/146 |
| %1st in | 65% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 70/94 | 67/98 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 28/50 | 31/48 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 65% |
Korda fired 8 aces (4 per match). Sonego fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Korda won 74% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Korda | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 6/12 |
| % Converted | 36% | 50% |
| Conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 60% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Korda broke his opponents 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Sebastian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Lorenzo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Korda | ||||
| R1 Gaston | R2 Musetti | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-62 | 6-3 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | 44 | |
| pts | 83-66 | 74-72 | 157-138 | |
| Total points | 149 | 146 | 295 | |
| Winners | 37 | 33 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 51/72 | 43/72 | 94/144 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 60% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 37/51 | 33/43 | 70/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 77% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 15/29 | 28/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 52% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/5 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 40% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 0% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Sonego | ||||
| R1 Karatsev | R2 Simon | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 7-62 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 23 | 44 | |
| pts | 81-64 | 80-66 | 161-130 | |
| Total points | 145 | 146 | 291 | |
| Winners | 39 | 28 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 35% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 59/83 | 39/63 | 98/146 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 62% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 39/59 | 28/39 | 67/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 72% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 18/24 | 31/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 75% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 2/7 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 29% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 0/1 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 0% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Metz
- Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski – Rafael Matos/David Vega HernandezMatos/David Vega Hernandez (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – Mikael YmerYmer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Sebastian KordaKorda (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction