Garbine Muguruza and Liudmila Samsonova will square off in the quarter of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.61
Garbine Muguruza -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Garbine Muguruza vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This will be the 2nd time that Garbine Muguruza and Liudmila Samsonova clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Muguruza (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Muguruza won 6-3 6-1 in the 2nd round in at the Australian Open back in 2021.
Highlights Garbine Muguruza vs Liudmila Samsonova – Australian Open 10-February-2021
Garbine Muguruza
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-17 | 9-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-17 | 34-11 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-7 | 17-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2019 | 22-16 | 17-10 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Garbine got to the quarter after beating Despina Papamichail 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Muguruza had a good straight sets win against Papamichail (6-4 6-2). During the match, Muguruza scored 63 points vs Papamichail’s 43. Garbine was pretty aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Regarding the service games, Muguruza was unable to score even 1 ace during the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Garbine Muguruza was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (18/23) of her 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Muguruza broke Papamichail 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Muguruza has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (324-172). 9-8 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Muguruza has an overall 204-101 record in the last years on hard.
Muguruza has a composed 12-15 win-loss record in 2022, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Liudmila Samsonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-23 | 15-15 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Ludmilla reached the quarter after defeating Elena Rybakina 6-2 6-4 and Xinyu Wang 7-65 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Wang (7-65 6-3). During the match Samsonova scored 75 points vs Wang’s 68. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Samsonova bagged 13 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 69% of her first serves in, winning 75% (38/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Samsonova broke Wang twice after converting 40% of her break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in in Washington where she beat Kaia Kanepi in the final 4-6 6-3 6-3 and in in Cleveland where she overcame Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the final 6-1 6-3.
Ludmilla has a compiled 25-15 win-loss record in 2022, 21-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muguruza | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 40 |
| Pts | 63-43 | 146-122 |
| Total Points | 106 | 268 |
| Winners | 18 | 69 |
| %Winners | 29% | 47% |
Muguruza played 1 match while Samsonova competed in 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Muguruza has played 2 set(s) less than Samsonova (2 vs 4). Therefore, Muguruza played 22 games less than Samsonova. Garbine scored 18 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 69 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muguruza | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 9.5 |
| 1st in | 23/46 | 88/130 |
| %1st in | 50% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 69/88 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 20/42 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 48% |
Muguruza didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Samsonova managed to score 19 aces (9.5 per match). Muguruza won 78% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 78% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muguruza | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 5/14 |
| % Converted | 36% | 36% |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Spaniard broke her opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Muguruza surrendered her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Ludmilla broke her opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Ludmilla conceded her serve once and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.
| Muguruza | |||
| R2 Papamichail | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 63-43 | 63-43 | |
| Total points | 106 | 106 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 23/46 | 23/46 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 18/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 15/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Samsonova | ||||
| R1 Rybakina | R2 Wang | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 40 | |
| pts | 71-54 | 75-68 | 146-122 | |
| Total points | 125 | 143 | 268 | |
| Winners | 31 | 38 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 51% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 13 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 37/56 | 51/74 | 88/130 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 69% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 38/51 | 69/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 75% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/19 | 11/23 | 20/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 2/5 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 40% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 1/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 150% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Desirae Krawczyk/Demi SchuursKrawczyk/Demi Schuurs – Sofia Kenin/Liudmila SamsonovaKenin/Liudmila Samsonova (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Tyler LuLu (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tung-Lin WuWu – Kento TakeuchiTakeuchi (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi – Shinta FujiiFujii (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel NguyenNguyen – Nicholas S. HuS. Hu (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Claire LiuLiu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Shuai ZhangZhang (2-0) – H2H and prediction