Ugo Humbert and Dominic Thiem will face off in the final of the Rennes Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:15 pm on COURT LE LIBERTE. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 3 sets.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.82
Dominic Thiem -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Dominic Thiem
There is no head to head record between Ugo Humbert and Dominic Thiem since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-20 | 8-9 | 2-5 | 11-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 139, Humbert reached the final after beating Karl Friberg 6-3 6-4, Antoine Bellier 6-4 6-1, Gijs Brouwer 6-1 7-65 and Peter Gojowczyk 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Humbert had a good straight sets win against Gojowczyk (6-3 6-4). During the match, Humbert scored 72 points vs Gojowczyk’s 49. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Humbert blasted 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Ugo Humbert was pretty effective on serve to win 94% (33/35) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ugo broke Gojowczyk twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Humbert has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (243-162). 4-2 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Humbert has a compiled68-49 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
Ugo’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Pozoblanco Challenger,the Segovia Challenger,the Vancouver Challenger and the Rennes Challenger.
Ugo has a compiled 23-24 win-loss record in 2022, 4-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rennes Challenger
Dominic Thiem
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-30 | 1-5 | 18-15 | 8-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-19 | 2-2 | 8-11 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-9 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-9 | 14-4 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 216, the Austrian got to the final after defeating Gilles Simon 4-6 6-3 6-2, Ryan Peniston 6-3 6-4, Adrian Andreev 3-6 6-3 6-2 and Hugo Gaston 6-2 7-5.
In the semifinal, Dominic had a good straight sets win against Gaston (6-2 7-5). During the match Thiem scored 81 points vs Gaston’s 63. Thiem was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Thiem made 11 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Dominic Thiem lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Thiem put 73% of his first serves in, winning 71% (39/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Thiem broke Gaston 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dominic has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Thiem’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Gstaad and the Rennes Challenger.
Dominic has a composed 14-13 win-loss record in 2022, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Humbert | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 92 |
| Pts | 274-190 | 331-261 |
| Total Points | 464 | 592 |
| Winners | 123 | 145 |
| %Winners | 45% | 44% |
Both Humbert and Thiem played 4 matches. At the moment, Dominic Thiem conceded 2 sets while Ugo Humbert hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Humbert has played 2 set(s) less than Thiem (8 vs 10). Therefore, Humbert played 17 games less than Thiem. Humbert scored 123 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Dominic made 145 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Humbert | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 32 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 7.3 |
| 1st in | 146/229 | 192/285 |
| %1st in | 64% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 123/146 | 145/192 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 51/83 | 51/93 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 55% |
Humbert managed to score 32 aces (8 per match). Thiem managed to score 29 aces (7.3 per match). Humbert won 84% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Thiem won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Humbert | Thiem |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 16 |
| Converted | 9/25 | 16/41 |
| % Converted | 36% | 39% |
| Conceded | 16 | 27 |
| Saved | 16 | 20 |
| % Saved | 100% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 7 |
Humbert broke his opponents 9 times with a 36% conversion rate. Ugo pretty effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 16 break points. Thiem broke his opponents 16 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Austrian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.
| Humbert | ||||||
| R1 Friberg | R2 Bellier | 1/4 Brouwer | 1/2 Gojowczyk | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-1 7-65 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 75 | |
| pts | 60-41 | 60-33 | 82-67 | 72-49 | 274-190 | |
| Total points | 101 | 93 | 149 | 121 | 464 | |
| Winners | 28 | 27 | 35 | 33 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 45% | 43% | 46% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 36/53 | 30/44 | 45/81 | 35/51 | 146/229 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | 56% | 69% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 27/30 | 35/45 | 33/35 | 123/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 90% | 78% | 94% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/17 | 10/14 | 18/36 | 9/16 | 51/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 71% | 50% | 56% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/6 | 2/10 | 2/6 | 9/25 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 16 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/0 | 9/9 | 6/6 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 100% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Thiem | ||||||
| R1 Simon | R2 Peniston | 1/4 Andreev | 1/2 Gaston | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 19 | 26 | 20 | 92 | |
| pts | 90-73 | 74-55 | 86-70 | 81-63 | 331-261 | |
| Total points | 163 | 129 | 156 | 144 | 592 | |
| Winners | 37 | 28 | 41 | 39 | 145 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% | 48% | 48% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 47/83 | 40/54 | 50/73 | 55/75 | 192/285 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 74% | 68% | 73% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 37/47 | 28/40 | 41/50 | 39/55 | 145/192 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 70% | 82% | 71% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/36 | 10/14 | 11/23 | 10/20 | 51/93 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 71% | 48% | 50% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/15 | 4/11 | 4/9 | 16/41 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 27% | 36% | 44% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 27 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 2/4 | 5/7 | 7/8 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 50% | 71% | 88% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur ReymondReymond – Maxime MoraMora (1-0) – H2H and prediction