Carol Zhao and Xiaodi You will square off in the qualifications of the Toray Pan Pacific Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on Show Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carol Zhao who should win in 3 sets.
Carol Zhao -> 1.53
Xiaodi You -> 2.44
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Prediction and head to head Carol Zhao vs. Xiaodi You
There is no head to head record between Carol Zhao and Xiaodi You since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Carol Zhao
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-22 | 10-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-35 | 17-22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4-2 |
| 2023 | 26-30 | 14-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 3-1 |
| 2022 | 32-25 | 18-17 | 10-5 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 24-19 | 11-9 | 13-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 187, Carol reached the qualifications after defeating Giuliana Olmos 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Carol had a good straight sets win against Olmos (6-4 6-2). During the match, Zhao scored 66 points vs Olmos’s 51. Carol was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zhao managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Carol Zhao lost the serve twice and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Zhao put 60% of her first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (11/29) on the 2nd serve. Carol broke Olmos 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Zhao has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of her matches (196-157). 18-12 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zhao has an overall 117-101 record in the last years on hard.
The Canadian has a compiled 29-18 win-loss record in 2022, 18-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Zhao has never competed in this tournament before.
Xiaodi You
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-25 | 33-21 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-29 | 11-17 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-28 | 26-21 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-37 | 23-19 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 7-19 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 332, the Chinese reached the qualifications after beating Haruna Arakawa 3-6 6-1 6-0.
In the qualifications against Arakawa, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-0). During the match You scored 74 points vs Arakawa’s 51. The Chinese was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, You was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Xiaodi You lost the serve 5 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, You put 62% of her first serves in, winning 56% (20/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. You broke Arakawa 9 times after converting 75% of her break points (9/12).
You has an aggregate 23-28 win-loss record in 2022, 14-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zhao | You |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 |
| Pts | 66-51 | 74-51 |
| Total Points | 117 | 125 |
| Winners | 30 | 20 |
| %Winners | 45% | 27% |
Both Zhao and You played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Xiaodi You surrendered 1 set while Carol Zhao hasn’t lost a set so far. Zhao has played 1 set(s) less than You (2 vs 3). Therefore, Zhao played 4 games less than You. The Canadian scored 30 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese made 20 winners (27%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zhao | You |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 0 |
| 1st in | 43/72 | 36/58 |
| %1st in | 60% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 30/43 | 20/36 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 56% |
| 2nd pts | 11/29 | 11/22 |
| %2nd pts | 38% | 50% |
Zhao recorded 2 aces . You didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Zhao won 70% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 38% of the points. On the other side, You won 56% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zhao | You |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 9 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 9/12 |
| % Converted | 83% | 75% |
| Conceded | 14 | 8 |
| Saved | 12 | 3 |
| % Saved | 86% | 38% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Zhao broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Zhao conceded her serve twice and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded. The Chinese broke her opponent 9 times with a 75% conversion rate. You conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded.
| Zhao | |||
| Q1 Olmos | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 66-51 | 66-51 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 43/72 | 43/72 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 30/43 | 30/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/29 | 11/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 38% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 12/14 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| You | |||
| Q1 Arakawa | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 74-51 | 74-51 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 27% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/58 | 36/58 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 20/36 | 20/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 56% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/22 | 11/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 9 | 9 | |
| Converted | 9/12 | 9/12 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Tokyo
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