Hugo Gaston and Dominic Thiem will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Rennes Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on COURT LE LIBERTE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dominic Thiem who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Dominic Thiem is the pick to win this match.
Dominic Thiem -> 1.44
Hugo Gaston -> 2.62

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Prediction and head to head Hugo Gaston vs. Dominic Thiem

This will be the 3rd time that Hugo Gaston and Dominic Thiem square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Thiem (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they squared off, Thiem won 1-6 6-1 7-6(7) in the 1st round in Gstaad back in July 2022.

Highlights Dominic Thiem vs Hugo Gaston – Gstaad 19-July-2022

Hugo Gaston

Hugo Gaston

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
98
High
58
LWWWWWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-31 9-12 6-14 15-4 0-1 0-0
2024 31-31 5-12 15-11 8-6 3-2 0-0
2023 45-32 6-5 30-18 8-6 1-3 0-0
2022 27-31 4-9 4-8 16-11 3-3 0-0
2021 44-30 2-3 32-16 10-10 0-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 85, the French player got to the semifinal after defeating Yannick Mertens 7-5 6-4, Gabriel Debru 6-2 4-6 6-3 and Benoit Paire 6-3 6-1.

In the quarter, The French player had a good straight sets win against Paire (6-3 6-1). During the match, Gaston scored 62 points vs Paire’s 41. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Regarding the service games, Gaston blasted 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Hugo Gaston was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (21/26) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Hugo broke Paire 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gaston has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

Gaston has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (154-113). 5-4 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Gaston has an aggregate36-37 match record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

Gaston has an aggregate 16-24 win-loss record in 2022, 5-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rennes Challenger

Rennes Challenger
Gaston's Record

Dominic Thiem

Dominic Thiem

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
524
High
3
LLLLLLWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 7-14 2-3 4-9 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 27-30 1-5 18-15 8-8 0-2 0-0
2022 23-19 2-2 8-11 13-6 0-0 0-0
2021 9-9 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-1 0-0
2020 25-9 14-4 6-2 5-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 216, the Austrian reached the semifinal after beating Gilles Simon 4-6 6-3 6-2, Ryan Peniston 6-3 6-4 and Adrian Andreev 3-6 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter against Andreev, The Austrian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Thiem scored 86 points vs Andreev’s 70. The Austrian was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Thiem bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Dominic Thiem lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Thiem put 68% of his first serves in, winning 82% (41/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. Dominic broke Andreev 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dominic has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Thiem’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Gstaad.

Thiem has an overall 13-13 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)

.
Rennes Challenger
Thiem's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

H.Gaston
D.Thiem
4h:26
4h:26
Time on court​
6h:04
6h:04
!
0h:58
0h:58
Last match​
1h:59
1h:59
3
3
Match played
3
3
65
65
Games Played​
72
72
7
7
Set played​​
8
8
228
228
Total points​
250
250
76
76
Avg point​
83.3
83.3
77
77
Winners
106
106
25.7
25.7
Avg Winners​
35.3
35.3
34%
34%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
18
18
4.7
4.7
Avg Aces
6
6
3
3
Double Faults
3
3
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1
1
77/105
77/105
1st won total​
106/137
106/137
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
49/77
49/77
2nd won total​
41/73
41/73
!
64%
64%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
13/32
13/32
BP won
12/32
12/32
4.3/10.7
4.3/10.7
Avg BP won
4/10.7
4/10.7
41%
41%
Won
38%
38%
8
8
Conceded
19
19
2.7
2.7
Avg Conceded
6.3
6.3
4
4
Broken
6
6
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
2
2
4
4
Saved
13
13
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Gaston Thiem
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 8
Tot Games 65 72
Pts 228-178 250-198
Total Points 406 448
Winners 77 106
%Winners 34% 42%

Both Gaston and Thiem played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hugo Gaston surrendered 1 set, while Dominic Thiem dropped 2 sets. Gaston has played 1 set(s) less than Thiem (7 vs 8). Therefore, Gaston played 7 games less than Thiem. Hugo scored 77 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Austrian fired 106 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Gaston Thiem
Aces 14 18
Avg per match 4.7 6
1st in 105/182 137/210
%1st in 58% 65%
1st pts 77/105 106/137
%1st pts 73% 77%
2nd pts 49/77 41/73
%2nd pts 64% 56%

Gaston bagged 14 aces (4.7 per match). Thiem recorded 18 aces (6 per match). Gaston won 73% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Thiem won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Gaston Thiem
Won 13 12
Converted 13/32 12/32
% Converted 41% 38%
Conceded 8 19
Saved 4 13
% Saved 50% 68%
Times Broken 4 6

Hugo broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. Gaston surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Thiem broke his opponents 12 times with a 38% conversion rate. Thiem conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Gaston
R1
Mertens		 R2
Debru		 1/4
Paire		 Total
Score 7-5 6-4 6-2 4-6 6-3 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 22 27 16 65
pts 76-64 90-73 62-41 228-178
Total points 140 163 103 406
Winners 26 30 21 77
%Winners 34% 33% 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 7 1 6 14
Double Faults 1 1 1 3
1st in 36/66 43/70 26/46 105/182
% 1st in 55% 61% 57% 58%
1st pts 26/36 30/43 21/26 77/105
% 1st pts 72% 70% 81% 73%
2nd pts 21/30 15/27 13/20 49/77
% 2nd pts 70% 56% 65% 64%
Breaks
Won 2 7 4 13
Converted 2/6 7/16 4/10 13/32
Converted % 33% 44% 40% 41%
Conceded 2 5 1 8
Saved 2/2 1/5 1/1 4
Saved % 100% 20% 100% 73%
Times Broken 0 4 0 4
Thiem
R1
Simon		 R2
Peniston		 1/4
Andreev		 Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-2 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 27 19 26 72
pts 90-73 74-55 86-70 250-198
Total points 163 129 156 448
Winners 37 28 41 106
%Winners 41% 38% 48% 42%
SERVE
Aces 6 7 5 18
Double Faults 1 0 2 3
1st in 47/83 40/54 50/73 137/210
% 1st in 57% 74% 68% 65%
1st pts 37/47 28/40 41/50 106/137
% 1st pts 79% 70% 82% 77%
2nd pts 20/36 10/14 11/23 41/73
% 2nd pts 56% 71% 48% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 4 4 12
Converted 4/6 4/15 4/11 12/32
Converted % 67% 27% 36% 38%
Conceded 8 4 7 19
Saved 6/8 2/4 5/7 13
Saved % 75% 50% 71% 65%
Times Broken 2 2 2 6

Tennis Scores in Rennes Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw

Gaston
More Stats
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Thiem

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